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Your model for Lincoln v Burnley

Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

95 players across every market.

Shots16
Zeki AmdouniST · #11+4pp
Largie RamazaniRM · #19-5pp
More players (14)
Anel AhmedhodžićRCB · #15-6pp
Joshua LaurentCAM · #29-11pp
Robert StreetST · #17-12pp
Max AlleyneRDM · #3-12pp
Jacob Bruun LarsenLM · #7-17pp
Reo HatateLDM · #5-18pp
Ryley TowlerLCB · #6-18pp
Adam ReachLB · #3-22pp
Andrei CoubișRB · #4-26pp
Kyle WalkerRB · #2-28pp
Dominic JefferiesLM · #16-30pp
Sonny BradleyRCB · #15-30pp
Lucas PiresLB · #23-32pp
Yunus KonakRDM · #26-48pp
Shots on target16
Ryley TowlerLCB · #6+1pp
Adam ReachLB · #3-1pp
More players (14)
Anel AhmedhodžićRCB · #15-3pp
Dominic JefferiesLM · #16-4pp
Sonny BradleyRCB · #15-4pp
Yunus KonakRDM · #26-6pp
Lucas PiresLB · #23-9pp
Kyle WalkerRB · #2-9pp
Max AlleyneRDM · #3-9pp
Zeki AmdouniST · #11-10pp
Andrei CoubișRB · #4-10pp
Largie RamazaniRM · #19-12pp
Joshua LaurentCAM · #29-12pp
Jacob Bruun LarsenLM · #7-15pp
Robert StreetST · #17-17pp
Reo HatateLDM · #5-23pp
To be booked121

The books expect about 4.5 cards.

Joshua LaurentCAM · #29+10pp
Lucas PiresLB · #23+3pp
More players (19)
Andrei CoubișRB · #4+2pp
Anel AhmedhodžićRCB · #15+1pp
Ryley TowlerLCB · #6+0pp
Ivan VarfolomeevLDM · #24-1pp
Dominic JefferiesLM · #16-2pp
Reo HatateLDM · #5-2pp
Largie RamazaniRM · #19-4pp
Robert StreetST · #17-4pp
Zeki AmdouniST · #11-5pp
Adam ReachLB · #3-6pp
Sonny BradleyRCB · #15-6pp
Max AlleyneRDM · #3-9pp
Kyle WalkerRB · #2-11pp
Grégoire CoudertGK · #37-13pp
George WickensGK · #1-14pp
Yunus KonakRDM · #26-16pp
Jacob Bruun LarsenLM · #7-17pp
IgorLCB · #44
Reeco Hackett-FairchildRM · #7
Headed shot on target20
Sonny BradleyRCB · #15
Anel AhmedhodžićRCB · #15
More players (18)
Mikkel LadefogedCAM · #11
Robert StreetST · #17
Andrei CoubișRB · #4
Adam ReachLB · #3
Reeco Hackett-FairchildRM · #7
Zeki AmdouniST · #11
IgorLCB · #44
Kyle WalkerRB · #2
Joshua LaurentCAM · #29
Grégoire CoudertGK · #37
George WickensGK · #1
Lucas PiresLB · #23
Jacob Bruun LarsenLM · #7
Yunus KonakRDM · #26
Ivan VarfolomeevLDM · #24
Dominic JefferiesLM · #16
Largie RamazaniRM · #19
Reo HatateLDM · #5
Shot on target from outside the box22
Largie RamazaniRM · #19
Zeki AmdouniST · #11
More players (20)
Reo HatateLDM · #5
Joshua LaurentCAM · #29
Lucas PiresLB · #23
Jacob Bruun LarsenLM · #7
IgorLCB · #44
Reeco Hackett-FairchildRM · #7
Adam ReachLB · #3
Ivan VarfolomeevLDM · #24
Max AlleyneRDM · #3
Dominic JefferiesLM · #16
Andrei CoubișRB · #4
Kyle WalkerRB · #2
Anel AhmedhodžićRCB · #15
Grégoire CoudertGK · #37
Yunus KonakRDM · #26
Sonny BradleyRCB · #15
George WickensGK · #1
Ryley TowlerLCB · #6
Robert StreetST · #17
Mikkel LadefogedCAM · #11
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Lincoln
Burnley

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Thomas Parsons will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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