v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Tony Harrington runs average on cards, and 7 of the 9 rows we would back are Arsenal's.
165 players across every market.
Eberechi EzeLM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap +7pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
James TarkowskiRCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 68% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap +6pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Declan RiceRDM · #41Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap +1pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Myles Lewis-SkellyLDM · #49Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 67% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 67% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -4pp
Jarrad BranthwaiteLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 45% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Ezri KonsaRCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -6pp
Martin ØdegaardRM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Jack GrealishLM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
N. MaduekeCAM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Harrison ArmstrongRDM · #45Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Riccardo CalafioriLB · #33Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -18pp
James GarnerLDM · #37Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -19pp
Gabriel MagalhãesLCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 43% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Viktor GyökeresST · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -21pp
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallCAM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Ainsley Maitland-NilesRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -24pp
Merlin RöhlRM · #34Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -28pp
Benjamin WhiteRB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -29pp
Thierno BarryST · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -36pp
Jarrad BranthwaiteLCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap +20pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap +20pp
Thierno BarryST · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -3pp
Eberechi EzeLM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 78% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Myles Lewis-SkellyLDM · #49Fouls drawn
DataPitch 84% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -7pp
Gabriel MagalhãesLCB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Declan RiceRDM · #41Fouls drawn
DataPitch 30% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -8pp
Ainsley Maitland-NilesRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -10pp
Viktor GyökeresST · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -11pp
Ezri KonsaRCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Jack GrealishLM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 70% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallCAM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
James TarkowskiRCB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Riccardo CalafioriLB · #33Fouls drawn
DataPitch 21% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Merlin RöhlRM · #34Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
James GarnerLDM · #37Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Benjamin WhiteRB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 24% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Harrison ArmstrongRDM · #45Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -36pp
N. MaduekeCAM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Martin ØdegaardRM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 23% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Eberechi EzeLM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Gabriel MagalhãesLCB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Martin ØdegaardRM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Viktor GyökeresST · #14Tackles
DataPitch 7% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Ezri KonsaRCB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Riccardo CalafioriLB · #33Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -10pp
Declan RiceRDM · #41Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -11pp
James TarkowskiRCB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 44% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -11pp
Thierno BarryST · #11Tackles
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Myles Lewis-SkellyLDM · #49Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -15pp
N. MaduekeCAM · #20Tackles
DataPitch 26% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -16pp
Jack GrealishLM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 20% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -16pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16Tackles
DataPitch 54% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -17pp
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallCAM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -20pp
Jarrad BranthwaiteLCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 25% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -25pp
Merlin RöhlRM · #34Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -26pp
Ainsley Maitland-NilesRB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 44% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -27pp
Benjamin WhiteRB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -31pp
Harrison ArmstrongRDM · #45Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -33pp
James GarnerLDM · #37Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -40pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -40pp
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallCAM · #8Shots
DataPitch 76% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 76% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 76% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
Thierno BarryST · #11Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Viktor GyökeresST · #14Shots
DataPitch 88% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 88% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 88% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
N. MaduekeCAM · #20Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 85% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 85% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -6pp
Harrison ArmstrongRDM · #45Shots
DataPitch 44% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -8pp
Riccardo CalafioriLB · #33Shots
DataPitch 74% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 74% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 74% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Eberechi EzeLM · #10Shots
DataPitch 82% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 82% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 82% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16Shots
DataPitch 9% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -14pp
Jarrad BranthwaiteLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Martin ØdegaardRM · #8Shots
DataPitch 70% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -18pp
Ainsley Maitland-NilesRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -19pp
Ezri KonsaRCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 10% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -19pp
Declan RiceRDM · #41Shots
DataPitch 47% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
James GarnerLDM · #37Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -24pp
James TarkowskiRCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 10% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -28pp
Gabriel MagalhãesLCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -30pp
Benjamin WhiteRB · #4Shots
DataPitch 17% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -33pp
Merlin RöhlRM · #34Shots
DataPitch 22% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -43pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -43pp
Jack GrealishLM · #10Shots
DataPitch 22% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -47pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -47pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -47pp
Myles Lewis-SkellyLDM · #49Shots
DataPitch 19% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -54pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -54pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -54pp
Benjamin WhiteRB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Jarrad BranthwaiteLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Ainsley Maitland-NilesRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Harrison ArmstrongRDM · #45Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Jack GrealishLM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -3pp
Ezri KonsaRCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallCAM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 31% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
James GarnerLDM · #37Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Merlin RöhlRM · #34Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Gabriel MagalhãesLCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Viktor GyökeresST · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 60% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
James TarkowskiRCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Myles Lewis-SkellyLDM · #49Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Thierno BarryST · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 42% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -10pp
Declan RiceRDM · #41Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Riccardo CalafioriLB · #33Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 42% at 2.40 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 42% at 2.40 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Martin ØdegaardRM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 39% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Eberechi EzeLM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -21pp
N. MaduekeCAM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 39% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -26pp
The books expect about 3 cards.
Myles Lewis-SkellyLDM · #49To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +9pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +9pp
Riccardo CalafioriLB · #33To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +8pp
Gabriel MagalhãesLCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Viktor GyökeresST · #14To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Declan RiceRDM · #41To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Martin ØdegaardRM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Eberechi EzeLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Ezri KonsaRCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
N. MaduekeCAM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 8% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Benjamin WhiteRB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Harrison ArmstrongRDM · #45To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
James GarnerLDM · #37To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -3pp
Jack GrealishLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Merlin RöhlRM · #34To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
James TarkowskiRCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallCAM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Thierno BarryST · #11To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Ainsley Maitland-NilesRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Jarrad BranthwaiteLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
1David RayaGK · #1-13ppDavid RayaGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Jordan PickfordGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -22pp
Benjamin WhiteRB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
level in the air (186cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +15pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +15pp
Gabriel MagalhãesLCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Viktor GyökeresST · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (187cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Declan RiceRDM · #41Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
level in the air (185cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Jarrad BranthwaiteLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Thierno BarryST · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Ezri KonsaRCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
level in the air (183cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Merlin RöhlRM · #34Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (192cm over a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
James GarnerLDM · #37Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
level in the air (186cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Ainsley Maitland-NilesRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Harrison ArmstrongRDM · #45Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
level in the air (185cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Martin ØdegaardRM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Jack GrealishLM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
gives up height in the air (175cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Eberechi EzeLM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Riccardo CalafioriLB · #33Headed shot on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (188cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallCAM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
James TarkowskiRCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
level in the air (185cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
N. MaduekeCAM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
David RayaGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jordan PickfordGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gabriel MagalhãesLCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Thierno BarryST · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Ezri KonsaRCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Jack GrealishLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
James TarkowskiRCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Benjamin WhiteRB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
no shots from outside the box in the 10 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Jarrad BranthwaiteLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Harrison ArmstrongRDM · #45Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallCAM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Ainsley Maitland-NilesRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Myles Lewis-SkellyLDM · #49Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
James GarnerLDM · #37Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Merlin RöhlRM · #34Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
no shots from outside the box in the 6 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
N. MaduekeCAM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -11pp
Declan RiceRDM · #41Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -13pp
Riccardo CalafioriLB · #33Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Viktor GyökeresST · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -15pp
Martin ØdegaardRM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -30pp
Eberechi EzeLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -33pp
David RayaGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jordan PickfordGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Tony Harrington will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 186 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.60/match · Away 1.80/match
3.98/match in tight games · 2.32/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
