v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Jarred Gillett runs average on cards, and 2 of the 3 rows we would back are Bournemouth's.
164 players across every market.
Matthijs de LigtLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Adam SmithRB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 71% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 71% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 71% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Leny YoroRB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Youri TielemansCAM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -7pp
António SilvaLCB · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -8pp
37RayanRM · #37-9ppRayanRM · #37Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -10pp
5James HillRCB · #5-10ppJames HillRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Bryan MbeumoST · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -10pp
Marcus TavernierLM · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Carlos BalebaLDM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 70% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
23Luke ShawLB · #23-13ppLuke ShawLB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -13pp
Bruno FernandesRM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
9EvanilsonST · #9-15ppEvanilsonST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -15pp
Tyler AdamsRDM · #12Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -22pp
4Lewis CookLDM · #4-24ppLewis CookLDM · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -24pp
2Diogo DalotRDM · #2-28ppDiogo DalotRDM · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -28pp
Ryan ChristieCAM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
15Adam SmithRB · #15+16ppAdam SmithRB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 74% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 74% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap +16pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 74% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap +16pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap +2pp
EvanilsonST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 78% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Bryan MbeumoST · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 69% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
37RayanRM · #37-6ppRayanRM · #37Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
António SilvaLCB · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 32% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 42% at 2.40 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 42% at 2.40 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
2Diogo DalotRDM · #2-12ppDiogo DalotRDM · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Carlos BalebaLDM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 67% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 67% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 67% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
5James HillRCB · #5-17ppJames HillRCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Ryan ChristieCAM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Matthijs de LigtLCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -19pp
Marcus TavernierLM · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -20pp
Youri TielemansCAM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
4Lewis CookLDM · #4-21ppLewis CookLDM · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 29% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -21pp
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Tyler AdamsRDM · #12Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Bruno FernandesRM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
23Luke ShawLB · #23-30ppLuke ShawLB · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 32% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -30pp
15Leny YoroRB · #15-31ppLeny YoroRB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 29% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -33pp
The books expect about 33.5 tackles.
Bryan MbeumoST · #19Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap +0pp
Ryan ChristieCAM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 56% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -6pp
Marcus TavernierLM · #16Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -7pp
António SilvaLCB · #14Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Bruno FernandesRM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 47% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -11pp
5James HillRCB · #5-12ppJames HillRCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 48% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -12pp
23Luke ShawLB · #23-13ppLuke ShawLB · #23Tackles
DataPitch 45% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -13pp
Matthijs de LigtLCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -14pp
9EvanilsonST · #9-14ppEvanilsonST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -14pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -17pp
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 59% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -23pp
15Adam SmithRB · #15-24ppAdam SmithRB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -24pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Tackles
DataPitch 9% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -24pp
4Lewis CookLDM · #4-25ppLewis CookLDM · #4Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -25pp
15Leny YoroRB · #15-29ppLeny YoroRB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -29pp
Youri TielemansCAM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -30pp
Tyler AdamsRDM · #12Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -35pp
Carlos BalebaLDM · #20Tackles
DataPitch 46% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -36pp
2Diogo DalotRDM · #2-38ppDiogo DalotRDM · #2Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -38pp
Matthijs de LigtLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 60% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap +4pp
Bruno FernandesRM · #8Shots
DataPitch 96% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 96% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 96% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
EvanilsonST · #9Shots
DataPitch 91% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 91% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 91% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Ryan ChristieCAM · #10Shots
DataPitch 81% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 81% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 81% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Bryan MbeumoST · #19Shots
DataPitch 89% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 89% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 89% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
37RayanRM · #37-5ppRayanRM · #37Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Marcus TavernierLM · #16Shots
DataPitch 82% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 82% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 82% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -9pp
4Lewis CookLDM · #4-14ppLewis CookLDM · #4Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -14pp
23Luke ShawLB · #23-15ppLuke ShawLB · #23Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -15pp
Carlos BalebaLDM · #20Shots
DataPitch 61% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -16pp
2Diogo DalotRDM · #2-16ppDiogo DalotRDM · #2Shots
DataPitch 46% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
António SilvaLCB · #14Shots
DataPitch 32% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -16pp
5James HillRCB · #5-19ppJames HillRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 29% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -19pp
Youri TielemansCAM · #18Shots
DataPitch 57% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
15Adam SmithRB · #15-20ppAdam SmithRB · #15Shots
DataPitch 8% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
15Leny YoroRB · #15-27ppLeny YoroRB · #15Shots
DataPitch 17% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -27pp
Tyler AdamsRDM · #12Shots
DataPitch 13% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -35pp
Bruno FernandesRM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 72% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
António SilvaLCB · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
James HillRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Luke ShawLB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Matthijs de LigtLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Leny YoroRB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Ryan ChristieCAM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -6pp
Tyler AdamsRDM · #12Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Diogo DalotRDM · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Carlos BalebaLDM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
37RayanRM · #37-9ppRayanRM · #37Shots on target
DataPitch 51% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
9EvanilsonST · #9-11ppEvanilsonST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 47% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -11pp
15Adam SmithRB · #15-11ppAdam SmithRB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 11% at 9.00 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 11% at 9.00 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Youri TielemansCAM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -12pp
4Lewis CookLDM · #4-12ppLewis CookLDM · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Marcus TavernierLM · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 47% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -20pp
Bryan MbeumoST · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 47% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
The books expect about 4 cards.
Harry MaguireRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +6pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Adrien TruffertLB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Diogo DalotRDM · #2To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
EvanilsonST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Leny YoroRB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Bryan MbeumoST · #19To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Matthijs de LigtLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 8% at 12.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 8% at 12.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Adam SmithRB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Marcus TavernierLM · #16To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Bruno FernandesRM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Luke ShawLB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Carlos BalebaLDM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +0pp
James HillRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Youri TielemansCAM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Lewis CookLDM · #4To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
António SilvaLCB · #14To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Ryan ChristieCAM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -7pp
Tyler AdamsRDM · #12To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Senne LammensGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
37RayanRM · #37-22ppRayanRM · #37To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 32% at 3.10 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 32% at 3.10 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
15Leny YoroRB · #15+14ppLeny YoroRB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +14pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +14pp
23Luke ShawLB · #23+12ppLuke ShawLB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (194cm over a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +10pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +10pp
Matthijs de LigtLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (187cm over a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Diogo DalotRDM · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
level in the air (183cm against a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Adam SmithRB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 189cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 189cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Tyler AdamsRDM · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 189cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Bruno FernandesRM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Carlos BalebaLDM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Youri TielemansCAM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
António SilvaLCB · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (187cm against a 189cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Bryan MbeumoST · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Lewis CookLDM · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (175cm against a 189cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
James HillRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
gives up height in the air (184cm against a 189cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
EvanilsonST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 189cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Ryan ChristieCAM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 189cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
level in the air (180cm against a 182cm back line); the book expects 5.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Marcus TavernierLM · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 189cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
Senne LammensGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Đorđe PetrovićGK · #1Đorđe PetrovićGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
RayanRM · #37Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James HillRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Luke ShawLB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 5 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 14 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Youri TielemansCAM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
EvanilsonST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
António SilvaLCB · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Leny YoroRB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
no shots from outside the box in the 13 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 2% at 41.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 2% at 41.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Carlos BalebaLDM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 5 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Matthijs de LigtLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
no shots from outside the box in the 3 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Bryan MbeumoST · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Adam SmithRB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Tyler AdamsRDM · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
2Diogo DalotRDM · #2-11ppDiogo DalotRDM · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
4Lewis CookLDM · #4-11ppLewis CookLDM · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Bruno FernandesRM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 36% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
shoots from range 1.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -12pp
Ryan ChristieCAM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -15pp
Marcus TavernierLM · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -23pp
RayanRM · #37Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Senne LammensGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Đorđe PetrovićGK · #1Đorđe PetrovićGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Jarred Gillett will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 181 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.79/match · Away 1.82/match
3.11/match in tight games · 3.1/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
