v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Paul Tierney runs average on cards, and 5 of the 6 rows we would back are Crystal Palace's.
160 players across every market.
Christopher RichardsRCB · #26Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap +9pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap +9pp
Axel DisasiCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap +5pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Tyrick MitchellRAM · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap +2pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #12Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap +0pp
Sven BotmanLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Jacob MurphyRM · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 45% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -3pp
Jaydee CanvotLCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -6pp
Anan KhalailiRM · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -11pp
Harvey BarnesLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 44% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -12pp
Yeremy PinoLAM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
7JoelintonLDM · #7-16ppJoelintonLDM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 72% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Adam WhartonRCM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -20pp
Quinten TimberLCM · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -21pp
Lewis MileyRB · #67Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
9Yoane WissaST · #9-22ppYoane WissaST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Jørgen Strand LarsenST · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
William OsulaCAM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -23pp
Nico GonzálezRDM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -24pp
3Lewis HallLB · #3-24ppLewis HallLB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
Axel DisasiCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap +0pp
Jørgen Strand LarsenST · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -5pp
William OsulaCAM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Jacob MurphyRM · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 54% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Jaydee CanvotLCB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 30% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Harvey BarnesLM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Christopher RichardsRCB · #26Fouls drawn
DataPitch 24% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Adam WhartonRCM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -17pp
4Sven BotmanLCB · #4-17ppSven BotmanLCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #12Fouls drawn
DataPitch 25% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 42% at 2.40 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 42% at 2.40 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Lewis MileyRB · #67Fouls drawn
DataPitch 19% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -17pp
Tyrick MitchellRAM · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -18pp
Quinten TimberLCM · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -19pp
Yeremy PinoLAM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Anan KhalailiRM · #25Fouls drawn
DataPitch 25% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -19pp
3Lewis HallLB · #3-23ppLewis HallLB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -23pp
Nico GonzálezRDM · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
7JoelintonLDM · #7-40ppJoelintonLDM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
9Yoane WissaST · #9-45ppYoane WissaST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -45pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -45pp
Sven BotmanLCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 27% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Jaydee CanvotLCB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -7pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #12Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -7pp
Jacob MurphyRM · #23Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
William OsulaCAM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 14% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -9pp
5Axel DisasiCB · #5-10ppAxel DisasiCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -10pp
Harvey BarnesLM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 18% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Yeremy PinoLAM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -12pp
Jørgen Strand LarsenST · #22Tackles
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
9Yoane WissaST · #9-14ppYoane WissaST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -14pp
Adam WhartonRCM · #20Tackles
DataPitch 52% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Christopher RichardsRCB · #26Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -16pp
Lewis MileyRB · #67Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -17pp
Quinten TimberLCM · #23Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -24pp
Tyrick MitchellRAM · #3Tackles
DataPitch 47% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -28pp
3Lewis HallLB · #3-29ppLewis HallLB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -29pp
Anan KhalailiRM · #25Tackles
DataPitch 53% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -30pp
Nico GonzálezRDM · #6Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -32pp
7JoelintonLDM · #7-36ppJoelintonLDM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 24% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -36pp
4Sven BotmanLCB · #4+14ppSven BotmanLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 66% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap +14pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap +14pp
Yoane WissaST · #9Shots
DataPitch 95% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 95% · Market 94% at 1.06 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 95% · Market 94% at 1.06 Bet365, gap +1pp
Harvey BarnesLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 93% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 93% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Jørgen Strand LarsenST · #22Shots
DataPitch 89% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 89% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 89% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Lewis HallLB · #3Shots
DataPitch 56% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -4pp
William OsulaCAM · #10Shots
DataPitch 88% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 88% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 88% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Christopher RichardsRCB · #26Shots
DataPitch 43% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Yeremy PinoLAM · #10Shots
DataPitch 73% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 73% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 73% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #12Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -16pp
Jacob MurphyRM · #23Shots
DataPitch 64% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Nico GonzálezRDM · #6Shots
DataPitch 31% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -27pp
Quinten TimberLCM · #23Shots
DataPitch 47% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -28pp
Jaydee CanvotLCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 12% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -30pp
Adam WhartonRCM · #20Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -35pp
Anan KhalailiRM · #25Shots
DataPitch 44% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -36pp
Tyrick MitchellRAM · #3Shots
DataPitch 22% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -38pp
7JoelintonLDM · #7-41ppJoelintonLDM · #7Shots
DataPitch 39% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
5Axel DisasiCB · #5-41ppAxel DisasiCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 9% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -41pp
Lewis MileyRB · #67Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -42pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -42pp
Sven BotmanLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Christopher RichardsRCB · #26Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Lewis HallLB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #12Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Jaydee CanvotLCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Lewis MileyRB · #67Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Axel DisasiCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Nico GonzálezRDM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Adam WhartonRCM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Tyrick MitchellRAM · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 29% at 3.40 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 29% at 3.40 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Yeremy PinoLAM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 42% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Anan KhalailiRM · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 37%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
7JoelintonLDM · #7-15ppJoelintonLDM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 38% at 2.60 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 38% at 2.60 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Quinten TimberLCM · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Harvey BarnesLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 48% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -17pp
9Yoane WissaST · #9-18ppYoane WissaST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 49% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Jørgen Strand LarsenST · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 46% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
William OsulaCAM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 45% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -22pp
Jacob MurphyRM · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
The books expect about 4 cards.
Yeremy PinoLAM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +7pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
Christopher RichardsRCB · #26To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +6pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #12To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Quinten TimberLCM · #23To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Axel DisasiCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
JoelintonLDM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 34% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap +2pp
Anan KhalailiRM · #25To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Nico GonzálezRDM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 35% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Yoane WissaST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Adam WhartonRCM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Sven BotmanLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Tyrick MitchellRAM · #3To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Jaydee CanvotLCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
William OsulaCAM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Jacob MurphyRM · #23To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Harvey BarnesLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 6% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 13% at 8.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 13% at 8.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Lewis HallLB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Jørgen Strand LarsenST · #22To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Lewis MileyRB · #67To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Dean HendersonGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Lukáš HorníčekGK · #21To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
4Chadi RiadLM · #4Chadi RiadLM · #4To be booked
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sven BotmanLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
Jaydee CanvotLCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
level in the air (188cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Axel DisasiCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Lewis HallLB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Adam WhartonRCM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (191cm over a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Nico GonzálezRDM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
level in the air (189cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Anan KhalailiRM · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Tyrick MitchellRAM · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (175cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Christopher RichardsRCB · #26Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
level in the air (188cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Jacob MurphyRM · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Jørgen Strand LarsenST · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -8pp
Harvey BarnesLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (174cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Quinten TimberLCM · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Yeremy PinoLAM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
gives up height in the air (172cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
7JoelintonLDM · #7-14ppJoelintonLDM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
gives up height in the air (186cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
9Yoane WissaST · #9-18ppYoane WissaST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
William OsulaCAM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 4.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Lukáš HorníčekGK · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
4Chadi RiadLM · #4Chadi RiadLM · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dean HendersonGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sven BotmanLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Lewis HallLB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Tyrick MitchellRAM · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Harvey BarnesLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 28% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Yoane WissaST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 26% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 14 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Christopher RichardsRCB · #26Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Axel DisasiCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
no shots from outside the box in the 7 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Jaydee CanvotLCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
no shots from outside the box in the 9 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Adam WhartonRCM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Jørgen Strand LarsenST · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Yeremy PinoLAM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Quinten TimberLCM · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Jacob MurphyRM · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Nico GonzálezRDM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
JoelintonLDM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
no shots from outside the box in the 2 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Anan KhalailiRM · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Lewis MileyRB · #67Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
William OsulaCAM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 3 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Lukáš HorníčekGK · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dean HendersonGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
4Chadi RiadLM · #4Chadi RiadLM · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Paul Tierney will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 237 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.62/match · Away 1.87/match
3.79/match in tight games · 3.57/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
