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Your model for Croatia v Spain

UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

228 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.

Fouls committed19
Iván FresnedaRB · #4
Dean HuijsenLCB · #2
More players (17)
Nikola VlašićCAM · #13
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Víctor MuñozLM · #7
Lamine YamalRM · #19
Martín ZubimendiRDM · #18
Josip ŠutaloRCB · #6
Ivan SmolčićRB · #3
Franjo IvanovićRM · #7
Mikel OyarzabalST · #21
PedriLDM · #20
Igor MatanovićST · #20
Marc CucurellaLB · #22
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Ivan PerišićLM · #14
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Fouls drawn19
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5
Dean HuijsenLCB · #2
More players (17)
Ivan PerišićLM · #14
Víctor MuñozLM · #7
Nikola VlašićCAM · #13
Igor MatanovićST · #20
Iván FresnedaRB · #4
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Josip ŠutaloRCB · #6
Mikel OyarzabalST · #21
Marc CucurellaLB · #22
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Martín ZubimendiRDM · #18
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Lamine YamalRM · #19
Franjo IvanovićRM · #7
Ivan SmolčićRB · #3
PedriLDM · #20
Tackles19
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Mikel OyarzabalST · #21
More players (17)
Igor MatanovićST · #20
Josip ŠutaloRCB · #6
Dean HuijsenLCB · #2
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5
Víctor MuñozLM · #7
Ivan PerišićLM · #14
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Marc CucurellaLB · #22
Martín ZubimendiRDM · #18
Lamine YamalRM · #19
PedriLDM · #20
Franjo IvanovićRM · #7
Iván FresnedaRB · #4
Ivan SmolčićRB · #3
Nikola VlašićCAM · #13
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Shots19
Igor MatanovićST · #20
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
More players (17)
Ivan PerišićLM · #14
Lamine YamalRM · #19
Mikel OyarzabalST · #21
Ivan SmolčićRB · #3
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Víctor MuñozLM · #7
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Nikola VlašićCAM · #13
Franjo IvanovićRM · #7
Josip ŠutaloRCB · #6
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5
Dean HuijsenLCB · #2
Marc CucurellaLB · #22
PedriLDM · #20
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Martín ZubimendiRDM · #18
Iván FresnedaRB · #4
Shots on target19
Igor MatanovićST · #20
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
More players (17)
Ivan SmolčićRB · #3
Nikola VlašićCAM · #13
Dean HuijsenLCB · #2
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Josip ŠutaloRCB · #6
Ivan PerišićLM · #14
Iván FresnedaRB · #4
Marc CucurellaLB · #22
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5
Lamine YamalRM · #19
Franjo IvanovićRM · #7
PedriLDM · #20
Martín ZubimendiRDM · #18
Víctor MuñozLM · #7
Mikel OyarzabalST · #21
To be booked722

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Dean HuijsenLCB · #2
Iván FresnedaRB · #4
More players (20)
Martín ZubimendiRDM · #18
Lamine YamalRM · #19
Mikel OyarzabalST · #21
Víctor MuñozLM · #7
Marc CucurellaLB · #22
Ivan SmolčićRB · #3
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
PedriLDM · #20
Ivan PerišićLM · #14
Unai SimónGK · #23
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Franjo IvanovićRM · #7
Igor MatanovićST · #20
Nikola VlašićCAM · #13
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Josip ŠutaloRCB · #6
Dominik LivakovićGK · #1
FermínCAM · #9
Headed shot on target14
Josip ŠutaloRCB · #6
Dean HuijsenLCB · #2
More players (12)
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Nikola VlašićCAM · #13
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Ivan PerišićLM · #14
Marc CucurellaLB · #22
PedriLDM · #20
Martín ZubimendiRDM · #18
Mikel OyarzabalST · #21
Víctor MuñozLM · #7
Unai SimónGK · #23
Dominik LivakovićGK · #1
Shot on target from outside the box22
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5
Dean HuijsenLCB · #2
More players (20)
Ivan SmolčićRB · #3
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Iván FresnedaRB · #4
Josip ŠutaloRCB · #6
Ivan PerišićLM · #14
Nikola VlašićCAM · #13
Marc CucurellaLB · #22
Mikel OyarzabalST · #21
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Martín ZubimendiRDM · #18
Igor MatanovićST · #20
PedriLDM · #20
Víctor MuñozLM · #7
Franjo IvanovićRM · #7
Lamine YamalRM · #19
FermínCAM · #9
Unai SimónGK · #23
Dominik LivakovićGK · #1
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Croatia
Spain

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Erik Lambrechts will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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