v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Sven Jablonski runs average on cards, and 3 of the 3 rows we would back are England's.
239 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.
Harry KaneST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
James GarnerRDM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
Bukayo SakaRM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lewis HallLB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Dion BeljoST · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Marin PongračićRCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 68% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Martin BaturinaLM · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Petar SučićRM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Joško GvardiolLB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Anthony GordonLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Luka ModrićRDM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
Luka ModrićRDM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 54% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 70% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Lewis HallLB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 68% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
Bukayo SakaRM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 66% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Dion BeljoST · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Marin PongračićRCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 30% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Petar SučićRM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Joško GvardiolLB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 69% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Martin BaturinaLM · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Anthony GordonLM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
James GarnerRDM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Harry KaneST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Harry KaneST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 16% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
price too long
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Anthony GordonLM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Bukayo SakaRM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Dion BeljoST · #20Tackles
DataPitch 11% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too long
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 55% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Luka ModrićRDM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14Tackles
DataPitch 47% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Joško GvardiolLB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Martin BaturinaLM · #16Tackles
DataPitch 22% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
James GarnerRDM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 46% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
Lewis HallLB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
Petar SučićRM · #17Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
Marin PongračićRCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
price too short
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
price too short
Dion BeljoST · #20Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lewis HallLB · #3Shots
DataPitch 69% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 72% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Harry KaneST · #9Shots
DataPitch 100% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Martin BaturinaLM · #16Shots
DataPitch 76% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12Shots
DataPitch 35% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Bukayo SakaRM · #7Shots
DataPitch 91% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Marin PongračićRCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 25% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Anthony GordonLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 61% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 29% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10Shots
DataPitch 83% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14Shots
DataPitch 73% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 55% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 32% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 48% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
James GarnerRDM · #18Shots
DataPitch 61% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Petar SučićRM · #17Shots
DataPitch 43% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Joško GvardiolLB · #4Shots
DataPitch 24% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Luka ModrićRDM · #10Shots
DataPitch 30% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lewis HallLB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Harry KaneST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 87% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Dion BeljoST · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 61% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Petar SučićRM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Joško GvardiolLB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Marin PongračićRCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Luka ModrićRDM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
James GarnerRDM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 55% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Martin BaturinaLM · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Anthony GordonLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 52% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 37%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Bukayo SakaRM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 48% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
The books expect about 3 cards.
James GarnerRDM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Harry KaneST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Dion BeljoST · #20To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Marin PongračićRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Bukayo SakaRM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Anthony GordonLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Luka ModrićRDM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lewis HallLB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Joško GvardiolLB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Martin BaturinaLM · #16To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Petar SučićRM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Dominik LivakovićGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Jordan PickfordGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Marin PongračićRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Joško GvardiolLB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
James GarnerRDM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
level in the air (186cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Lewis HallLB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Dion BeljoST · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Luka ModrićRDM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
gives up height in the air (172cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Anthony GordonLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Bukayo SakaRM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (186cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
level in the air (186cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Harry KaneST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
level in the air (188cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Dominik LivakovićGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
wins headers against a smaller marker (187cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Jordan PickfordGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
gives up height in the air (185cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Lewis HallLB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 8 logged matches
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 12 logged matches
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
no shots from outside the box in the 7 matches we have logged
Marin PongračićRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
no shots from outside the box in the 12 matches we have logged
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 14 logged matches
Joško GvardiolLB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 12 logged matches
Dion BeljoST · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 6 logged matches
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 14 logged matches
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
Martin BaturinaLM · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 11 logged matches
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 14 logged matches
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 13 logged matches
Petar SučićRM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 11 logged matches
Harry KaneST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
shoots from range 1.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
Bukayo SakaRM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 15 logged matches
Luka ModrićRDM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
no shots from outside the box in the 11 matches we have logged
James GarnerRDM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 8 logged matches
Anthony GordonLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 15 logged matches
Dominik LivakovićGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 10 matches we have logged
Jordan PickfordGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Sven Jablonski will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 137 matches
League average is 3.98 yellows a match.
Home 1.78/match · Away 2.11/match
4.06/match in tight games · 3.58/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.