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Your model for Croatia v England

UEFA Nations League · Sat 3 Oct, 17:00 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

239 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.

Fouls committed20
Harry KaneST · #9
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6
More players (18)
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
James GarnerRDM · #18
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3
Bukayo SakaRM · #7
Lewis HallLB · #3
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8
Dion BeljoST · #20
Marin PongračićRCB · #3
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14
Martin BaturinaLM · #16
Petar SučićRM · #17
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Anthony GordonLM · #11
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Fouls drawn20
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14
More players (18)
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8
Lewis HallLB · #3
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6
Bukayo SakaRM · #7
Dion BeljoST · #20
Marin PongračićRCB · #3
Petar SučićRM · #17
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Martin BaturinaLM · #16
Anthony GordonLM · #11
James GarnerRDM · #18
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3
Harry KaneST · #9
Tackles20
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Harry KaneST · #9
More players (18)
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6
Anthony GordonLM · #11
Bukayo SakaRM · #7
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12
Dion BeljoST · #20
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Martin BaturinaLM · #16
James GarnerRDM · #18
Lewis HallLB · #3
Petar SučićRM · #17
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2
Marin PongračićRCB · #3
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Shots20
Dion BeljoST · #20
Lewis HallLB · #3
More players (18)
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Harry KaneST · #9
Martin BaturinaLM · #16
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12
Bukayo SakaRM · #7
Marin PongračićRCB · #3
Anthony GordonLM · #11
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
James GarnerRDM · #18
Petar SučićRM · #17
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Shots on target20
Lewis HallLB · #3
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2
More players (18)
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12
Harry KaneST · #9
Dion BeljoST · #20
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Petar SučićRM · #17
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6
Marin PongračićRCB · #3
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
James GarnerRDM · #18
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10
Martin BaturinaLM · #16
Anthony GordonLM · #11
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3
Bukayo SakaRM · #7
To be booked321

The books expect about 3 cards.

James GarnerRDM · #18
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10
More players (19)
Harry KaneST · #9
Dion BeljoST · #20
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2
Marin PongračićRCB · #3
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3
Bukayo SakaRM · #7
Anthony GordonLM · #11
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Lewis HallLB · #3
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Martin BaturinaLM · #16
Petar SučićRM · #17
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Dominik LivakovićGK · #1
Jordan PickfordGK · #1
Headed shot on target18
Marin PongračićRCB · #3
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12
More players (16)
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
James GarnerRDM · #18
Lewis HallLB · #3
Dion BeljoST · #20
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
Anthony GordonLM · #11
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8
Bukayo SakaRM · #7
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10
Harry KaneST · #9
Dominik LivakovićGK · #1
Jordan PickfordGK · #1
Shot on target from outside the box22
Lewis HallLB · #3
Luka VuškovićLCB · #5
More players (20)
Ivan SmolčićRB · #2
Marin PongračićRCB · #3
Marc-Israel GuéhiRCB · #6
Trevoh ChalobahRB · #12
Joško GvardiolLB · #4
Dion BeljoST · #20
Ivan PerišićCAM · #14
Elliot AndersonLDM · #8
Martin BaturinaLM · #16
Nico O'ReillyLCB · #3
Mateo KovačićLDM · #8
Petar SučićRM · #17
Harry KaneST · #9
Bukayo SakaRM · #7
Luka ModrićRDM · #10
James GarnerRDM · #18
Anthony GordonLM · #11
Jude BellinghamCAM · #10
Dominik LivakovićGK · #1
Jordan PickfordGK · #1
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Croatia
England

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Sven Jablonski will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

Every match in play, refreshed every two minutesGet told in Telegram when it happensToday's fixtures, priced player by playerSpain v Czechia, UEFA Nations LeagueAtletico-MG v RB Bragantino, Serie A