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Your model for Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union

Major League Soccer · Thu 15 Oct, 01:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

117 players across every market.

Fouls committed17
Noah AllenLB · #32+1pp
Robert LewandowskiRS · #9-16pp
More players (15)
Cavan SullivanRM · #6-18pp
Jack ElliottRCB · #3-18pp
Bruno DamianiLS · #9-19pp
Philip ZinckernagelRM · #11-20pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39-20pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-21pp
Maren Haile-SelassieLS · #7-21pp
Jonathan DeanRB · #24-22pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10-24pp
Jonathan BambaLM · #19-28pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44-29pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19-30pp
Anton SalétrosRCM · #6-31pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26-32pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27-39pp
Shots18
Bruno DamianiLS · #9+5pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10+2pp
More players (16)
Anton SalétrosRCM · #6+1pp
Robert LewandowskiRS · #9-1pp
Philip ZinckernagelRM · #11-1pp
Maren Haile-SelassieLS · #7-2pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6-4pp
Jack ElliottRCB · #3-5pp
Jonathan BambaLM · #19-6pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19-8pp
Noah AllenLB · #32-18pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26-23pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39-26pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27-26pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-28pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44-31pp
Jonathan DeanRB · #24-41pp
Mbekezeli MbokaziLCB · #4-42pp
Shots on target18
Noah AllenLB · #32+2pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27+0pp
More players (16)
Francis WestfieldRB · #39-3pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6-4pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26-5pp
Mbekezeli MbokaziLCB · #4-5pp
Anton SalétrosRCM · #6-6pp
Jack ElliottRCB · #3-8pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44-9pp
Jonathan DeanRB · #24-9pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-10pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19-14pp
Bruno DamianiLS · #9-16pp
Philip ZinckernagelRM · #11-17pp
Maren Haile-SelassieLS · #7-20pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10-22pp
Jonathan BambaLM · #19-22pp
Robert LewandowskiRS · #9-29pp
To be booked22

The books expect about 4.5 cards.

Bruno DamianiLS · #9+3pp
Philip ZinckernagelRM · #11+3pp
More players (20)
Jonathan DeanRB · #24+1pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-1pp
Jack ElliottRCB · #3-1pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26-1pp
Jonathan BambaLM · #19-1pp
Noah AllenLB · #32-4pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10-6pp
Anton SalétrosRCM · #6-7pp
Robert LewandowskiRS · #9-7pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19-9pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27-11pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39-11pp
Mbekezeli MbokaziLCB · #4-11pp
Maren Haile-SelassieLS · #7-12pp
Andre BlakeGK · #18-13pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6-16pp
Christopher BradyGK · #1-17pp
Tah D'AvillaLCM · #42
Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21
Neil PierreRCB · #44
Headed shot on target20
Jack ElliottRCB · #3
Neil PierreRCB · #44
More players (18)
Bruno DamianiLS · #9
Robert LewandowskiRS · #9
Christopher BradyGK · #1
Tah D'AvillaLCM · #42
Kai WagnerLB · #27
Andre BlakeGK · #18
Milan IloskiRS · #10
Anton SalétrosRCM · #6
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26
Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21
Maren Haile-SelassieLS · #7
Jonathan DeanRB · #24
Noah AllenLB · #32
Jovan LukićLCM · #4
Indiana VassilevLM · #19
Jonathan BambaLM · #19
Philip ZinckernagelRM · #11
Cavan SullivanRM · #6
Shot on target from outside the box22
Milan IloskiRS · #10
Cavan SullivanRM · #6
More players (20)
Philip ZinckernagelRM · #11
Bruno DamianiLS · #9
Jonathan BambaLM · #19
Anton SalétrosRCM · #6
Maren Haile-SelassieLS · #7
Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21
Robert LewandowskiRS · #9
Neil PierreRCB · #44
Kai WagnerLB · #27
Francis WestfieldRB · #39
Mbekezeli MbokaziLCB · #4
Indiana VassilevLM · #19
Jovan LukićLCM · #4
Tah D'AvillaLCM · #42
Jack ElliottRCB · #3
Andre BlakeGK · #18
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26
Noah AllenLB · #32
Jonathan DeanRB · #24
Christopher BradyGK · #1
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Ricardo Fierro will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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