at
Final: Cleveland Browns 6, Pittsburgh Steelers 27
Called before kickoff: 4. Won 2, lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 1 Nov, 11:05 UK.
20 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
JHarold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 35+ receiving yardsWon154 yds-116DraftKingsHarold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 154 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 75% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +21pp
Under 34.5: -110DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDK Metcalf WR · PIT 53+ receiving yardsLost4 yds-113consensus market priceDK MetcalfWR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 52.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJerry Jeudy WR · CLE 22+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJerry JeudyWR · CLEReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 87% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +34pp
Under 21.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDarnell Washington TE · PIT 21+ receiving yards-116Bet365Darnell WashingtonTE · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 94 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 20.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRico Dowdle RB · PIT 15+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceRico DowdleRB · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 14.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FPat Freiermuth TE · PIT 25+ receiving yards-116Bet365Pat FreiermuthTE · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 35 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 24.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Warren RB · PIT 22+ receiving yards-110DraftKingsJaylen WarrenRB · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 21.5: -116DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JHarold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 4+ receptionsWon10 receptions-116Bet365Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 10 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 81% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +27pp
Under 3.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDK Metcalf WR · PIT 5+ receptionsLost1 reception+120Bet365DK MetcalfWR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 4.5: -152Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3+ receptions+135Bet365Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 78% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap +35pp
Under 2.5: -172Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FPat Freiermuth TE · PIT 3+ receptions-125Bet365Pat FreiermuthTE · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 2.5: -105Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDarnell Washington TE · PIT 3+ receptions+111DraftKingsDarnell WashingtonTE · PITReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 2.5: -143DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRico Dowdle RB · PIT 3+ receptions-104DraftKingsRico DowdleRB · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 2.5: -123DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Warren RB · PIT 3+ receptions-161Bet365Jaylen WarrenRB · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 2.5: +125Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRico Dowdle RB · PIT 31+ rushing yards-116Bet365Rico DowdleRB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 56 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 30.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDylan Sampson RB · CLE 12+ rushing yards-120consensus market priceDylan SampsonRB · CLERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 11.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RAaron Rodgers QB · PIT 1+ rushing yards-103DraftKingsAaron RodgersQB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 0.5: -123DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Warren RB · PIT 65+ rushing yards-111DraftKingsJaylen WarrenRB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 143 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 64.5: -114DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDeshaun Watson QB · CLE 26+ rushing yards-116Bet365Deshaun WatsonQB · CLERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 25.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RAaron Rodgers QB · PIT 219+ passing yards-113consensus market priceAaron RodgersQB · PITPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 172 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 218.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
