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Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 24, Cleveland Browns 27
Called before kickoff: 4. Won 2, lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Wed 30 Sept, 14:12 UK.
24 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 43 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 72% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 12.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 27 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 40.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 36 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 94% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +40pp
Under 13.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DK MetcalfWR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 115 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 41.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Darnell WashingtonTE · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 27 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 16.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Michael Pittman Jr.WR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 15 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 32.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Roman WilsonWR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 74 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 22.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Pat FreiermuthTE · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 28.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jaylen WarrenRB · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 33 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 16% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 22.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 2.5: -185consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 4.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 92% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +46pp
Under 1.5: -153consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DK MetcalfWR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 3.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Darnell WashingtonTE · PITReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 1.5: +140consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Michael Pittman Jr.WR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 25% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 3.5: -137consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Roman WilsonWR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 2.5: -134consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Pat FreiermuthTE · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 17% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 3.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jaylen WarrenRB · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 9% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
Under 3.5: -146consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jaylen WarrenRB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 93 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 67.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Aaron RodgersQB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 1.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Travis HomerRB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, -1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 4% · Market 19%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 39.5: -5158consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 53 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 26% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 55.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Deshaun WatsonQB · CLERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 22 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 29.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Aaron RodgersQB · PITPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 299 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 212.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.