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Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns

Week 3 · Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · Market line CLE +1.5 · total 42.5

How our calls did

Final: Carolina Panthers 18, Cleveland Browns 21

Called before kickoff: 8. Won 2, lost 6.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 27 Sept, 17:00 UK.

Every market we price

29 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards412
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 21+ receiving yardsLost0 yds-113consensus market price

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 83% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +30pp

Under 20.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 50.7, median 46
The line
20.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v TB2026 week 2
26v JAX2026 week 1
17v CIN2025 week 18
54v PIT2025 week 17
12v BUF2025 week 16
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 38+ receiving yardsWon51 yds-113consensus market price

Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 51 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 70% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +17pp

Under 37.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 58.2, median 53
The line
37.5

His last 5, receiving yards

54v TB2026 week 2
21v JAX2026 week 1
30v PIT2025 week 17
34v BUF2025 week 16
48v CHI2025 week 15
More players (10)
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 14+ receiving yardsLost9 yds-117consensus market price

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 68% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +14pp

Under 13.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 25.1, median 21
The line
13.5

His last 5, receiving yards

27v TB2026 week 2
17v JAX2026 week 1
29v BUF2025 week 16
-4v CHI2025 week 15
58v TEN2025 week 14
Blake Whiteheart TE · CLE 6+ receiving yardsLost0 yds-110consensus market price

Blake WhiteheartTE · CLEReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 57% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +5pp

Under 5.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 12.5, median 8
The line
5.5

His last 5, receiving yards

17v TB2026 week 2
14v JAX2026 week 1
0v CIN2025 week 18
0v PIT2025 week 17
0v TEN2025 week 14
Mitchell Evans TE · CAR 5+ receiving yards-108consensus market price

Mitchell EvansTE · CARReceiving yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 36 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 4.5: -108consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 11.1, median 6
The line
4.5

His last 5, receiving yards

13v ATL2026 week 2
9v CHI2026 week 1
0v LA2025 week 19
5v TB2025 week 18
5v SEA2025 week 17
DoubtfulXavier Legette WR · CAR 13+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Xavier LegetteWR · CARReceiving yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Knee - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 at Cleveland

DataPitch 54% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +0pp

Under 12.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 21.3, median 17
The line
12.5

His last 5, receiving yards

64v ATL2026 week 2
0v CHI2026 week 1
8v LA2025 week 19
22v TB2025 week 18
3v SEA2025 week 17
Darren Waller TE · CAR 21+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Darren WallerTE · CARReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 51 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 50% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 20.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 26.2, median 20
The line
20.5

His last 5, receiving yards

33v ATL2026 week 2
28v CHI2026 week 1
0v TB2025 week 17
40v CIN2025 week 16
66v PIT2025 week 15
Tommy Tremble TE · CAR 11+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Tommy TrembleTE · CARReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 41 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 46% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -7pp

Under 10.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 13.8, median 9
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

4v ATL2026 week 2
25v CHI2026 week 1
22v LA2025 week 19
38v TB2025 week 18
6v SEA2025 week 17
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 15+ receiving yards-118consensus market price

Chuba HubbardRB · CARReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 28 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 32% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -22pp

Under 14.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 12.7, median 8
The line
14.5

His last 5, receiving yards

11v ATL2026 week 2
38v CHI2026 week 1
13v LA2025 week 19
7v TB2025 week 18
6v SEA2025 week 17
DoubtfulJalen Coker WR · CAR 59+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Jalen CokerWR · CARReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 18 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Ankle - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 at Cleveland

DataPitch 25% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -29pp

Under 58.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 41.4, median 35
The line
58.5

His last 5, receiving yards

66v ATL2026 week 2
138v CHI2026 week 1
134v LA2025 week 19
47v TB2025 week 18
16v SEA2025 week 17
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 63+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 23% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -30pp

Under 62.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 41.8, median 36
The line
62.5

His last 5, receiving yards

101v ATL2026 week 2
75v CHI2026 week 1
81v LA2025 week 19
85v TB2025 week 18
5v SEA2025 week 17
John Metchie III WR · CAR 11+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-27 capture; an older price is not shown

John Metchie IIIWR · CARReceiving yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 19 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 64%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 21, median 16
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v ATL2026 week 2
20v BUF2025 week 18
41v NE2025 week 17
4v NO2025 week 16
25v JAX2025 week 15
Receptions311
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 2+ receptionsLost0 receptions-134consensus market price

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 87% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap +30pp

Under 1.5: +105consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.8, median 4
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v TB2026 week 2
2v JAX2026 week 1
2v CIN2025 week 18
5v PIT2025 week 17
3v BUF2025 week 16
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 4+ receptionsWon7 receptions-141consensus market price

Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceptions

How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 80% · Market 59%

Against this price: Gap +21pp

Under 3.5: +110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 5.9, median 6
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

5v TB2026 week 2
2v JAX2026 week 1
2v PIT2025 week 17
4v BUF2025 week 16
7v CHI2025 week 15
More players (9)
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 3+ receptionsLost2 receptions-104consensus market price

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 57% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap +6pp

Under 2.5: -126consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.2, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

5v TB2026 week 2
2v JAX2026 week 1
5v BUF2025 week 16
3v CHI2025 week 15
1v TEN2025 week 14
Blake Whiteheart TE · CLE 1+ receptions-170consensus market price

Blake WhiteheartTE · CLEReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 67% · Market 63%

Against this price: Gap +4pp

Under 0.5: +130consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.3, median 1
The line
0.5

His last 5, receptions

1v TB2026 week 2
1v JAX2026 week 1
0v CIN2025 week 18
0v PIT2025 week 17
0v TEN2025 week 14
Mitchell Evans TE · CAR 1+ receptions-183consensus market price

Mitchell EvansTE · CARReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 61% · Market 65%

Against this price: Gap -4pp

Under 0.5: +132consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.1, median 1
The line
0.5

His last 5, receptions

1v ATL2026 week 2
1v CHI2026 week 1
0v LA2025 week 19
1v TB2025 week 18
1v SEA2025 week 17
DoubtfulXavier Legette WR · CAR 2+ receptions+107consensus market price

Xavier LegetteWR · CARReceptions

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Knee - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 at Cleveland

DataPitch 43% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap -5pp

Under 1.5: -143consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.6, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v ATL2026 week 2
0v CHI2026 week 1
1v LA2025 week 19
3v TB2025 week 18
1v SEA2025 week 17
Darren Waller TE · CAR 3+ receptions+115consensus market price

Darren WallerTE · CARReceptions

How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 34% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 2.5: -150consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.1, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v ATL2026 week 2
2v CHI2026 week 1
1v TB2025 week 17
3v CIN2025 week 16
7v PIT2025 week 15
Tommy Tremble TE · CAR 2+ receptions-130consensus market price

Tommy TrembleTE · CARReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 42% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap -15pp

Under 1.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.5, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v ATL2026 week 2
3v CHI2026 week 1
3v LA2025 week 19
3v TB2025 week 18
1v SEA2025 week 17
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 3+ receptions-108consensus market price

Chuba HubbardRB · CARReceptions

How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 21% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -31pp

Under 2.5: -116consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.5, median 1
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v ATL2026 week 2
3v CHI2026 week 1
2v LA2025 week 19
2v TB2025 week 18
3v SEA2025 week 17
DoubtfulJalen Coker WR · CAR 5+ receptions-140consensus market price

Jalen CokerWR · CARReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Ankle - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 at Cleveland

DataPitch 25% · Market 58%

Against this price: Gap -33pp

Under 4.5: +105consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.3, median 3
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

8v ATL2026 week 2
8v CHI2026 week 1
9v LA2025 week 19
6v TB2025 week 18
2v SEA2025 week 17
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 5+ receptions-130consensus market price

Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 18% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap -39pp

Under 4.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.8, median 3
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

5v ATL2026 week 2
5v CHI2026 week 1
5v LA2025 week 19
4v TB2025 week 18
1v SEA2025 week 17
Rushing yards15
Bryce Young QB · CAR 14+ rushing yardsLost0 yds-113consensus market price

Bryce YoungQB · CARRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 77% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +24pp

Under 13.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 35.2, median 29
The line
13.5

His last 5, rushing yards

6v ATL2026 week 2
10v CHI2026 week 1
24v LA2025 week 19
-1v TB2025 week 18
27v SEA2025 week 17
Raheim Sanders RB · CLE 7+ rushing yards-115consensus market price

Raheim SandersRB · CLERushing yards

How it ended: Won, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 62% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 6.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 17.6, median 11
The line
6.5

His last 5, rushing yards

4v TB2026 week 2
1v JAX2026 week 1
26v CIN2025 week 18
21v PIT2025 week 17
42v BUF2025 week 16
More players (3)
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 71+ rushing yards-105consensus market price

Chuba HubbardRB · CARRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 82 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 35% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap -16pp

Under 70.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 61.8, median 56
The line
70.5

His last 5, rushing yards

53v ATL2026 week 2
49v CHI2026 week 1
46v LA2025 week 19
10v TB2025 week 18
12v SEA2025 week 17
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 61+ rushing yards-113consensus market price

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLERushing yards

How it ended: Won, 70 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 17% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -36pp

Under 60.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 36.3, median 30
The line
60.5

His last 5, rushing yards

21v TB2026 week 2
33v JAX2026 week 1
22v BUF2025 week 16
21v CHI2025 week 15
26v TEN2025 week 14
Deshaun Watson QB · CLE 26+ rushing yards-111consensus market price

Deshaun WatsonQB · CLERushing yards

How it ended: Won, 45 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 16% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -37pp

Under 25.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 12, median 5
The line
25.5

His last 5, rushing yards

22v TB2026 week 2
38v JAX2026 week 1
0v CIN2024 week 7
17v PHI2024 week 6
14v WAS2024 week 5
Passing yards1
Bryce Young QB · CAR 224+ passing yards-116consensus market price

Bryce YoungQB · CARPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 291 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 19% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -35pp

Under 223.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 173.2, median 167
The line
223.5

His last 5, passing yards

272v ATL2026 week 2
353v CHI2026 week 1
250v LA2025 week 19
266v TB2025 week 18
40v SEA2025 week 17

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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