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Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns

Week 3 · Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · Market line CLE +2.5 · total 42.5

Our read on this game

5 of the 23 rows we price on this game clear our bar tonight, and all of them are Cleveland Browns players.

Strongest of themJerry JeudyWR · CLE2+ receptions-152consensus market price

Prices taken Thu 24 Sept, 09:34 UK.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 5. Pending 5.

23 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards29
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 13+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceiving yards

DataPitch 70% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +17pp

Under 12.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 25.2, median 21
The line
12.5

His last 5, receiving yards

27v TB2026 week 2
17v JAX2026 week 1
29v BUF2025 week 16
-4v CHI2025 week 15
58v TEN2025 week 14
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 38+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceiving yards

DataPitch 70% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +17pp

Under 37.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 58.3, median 53
The line
37.5

His last 5, receiving yards

54v TB2026 week 2
21v JAX2026 week 1
30v PIT2025 week 17
34v BUF2025 week 16
48v CHI2025 week 15
More players (7)
Darren Waller TE · CAR 21+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Darren WallerTE · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 46% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -7pp

Under 20.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 23.9, median 18
The line
20.5

His last 5, receiving yards

33v ATL2026 week 2
28v CHI2026 week 1
0v TB2025 week 17
40v CIN2025 week 16
66v PIT2025 week 15
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 16+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Chuba HubbardRB · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 27% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -26pp

Under 15.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 11.6, median 7
The line
15.5

His last 5, receiving yards

11v ATL2026 week 2
38v CHI2026 week 1
13v LA2025 week 19
7v TB2025 week 18
6v SEA2025 week 17
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 59+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 21% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -32pp

Under 58.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 38, median 32
The line
58.5

His last 5, receiving yards

101v ATL2026 week 2
75v CHI2026 week 1
81v LA2025 week 19
85v TB2025 week 18
5v SEA2025 week 17
Jalen Coker WR · CAR 62+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Jalen CokerWR · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 21% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -32pp

Under 61.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 40.3, median 34
The line
61.5

His last 5, receiving yards

66v ATL2026 week 2
138v CHI2026 week 1
134v LA2025 week 19
47v TB2025 week 18
16v SEA2025 week 17
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 20+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shown

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceiving yards

DataPitch 84%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 50.8, median 46
The line
19.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v TB2026 week 2
26v JAX2026 week 1
17v CIN2025 week 18
54v PIT2025 week 17
12v BUF2025 week 16
Xavier Legette WR · CAR 16+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shown

Xavier LegetteWR · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 47%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 19, median 13
The line
15.5

His last 5, receiving yards

64v ATL2026 week 2
0v CHI2026 week 1
8v LA2025 week 19
22v TB2025 week 18
3v SEA2025 week 17
Tommy Tremble TE · CAR 13+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shown

Tommy TrembleTE · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 37%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 12.3, median 8
The line
12.5

His last 5, receiving yards

4v ATL2026 week 2
25v CHI2026 week 1
22v LA2025 week 19
38v TB2025 week 18
6v SEA2025 week 17
Receptions39
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 2+ receptions-152consensus market price

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceptions

DataPitch 87% · Market 60%

Against this price: Gap +27pp

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.8, median 4
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v TB2026 week 2
2v JAX2026 week 1
2v CIN2025 week 18
5v PIT2025 week 17
3v BUF2025 week 16
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 4+ receptions-135consensus market price

Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceptions

DataPitch 80% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap +23pp

Under 3.5: +103consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 5.9, median 6
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

5v TB2026 week 2
2v JAX2026 week 1
2v PIT2025 week 17
4v BUF2025 week 16
7v CHI2025 week 15
More players (7)
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 3+ receptions+102consensus market price

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceptions

DataPitch 57% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap +7pp

Under 2.5: -135consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.2, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

5v TB2026 week 2
2v JAX2026 week 1
5v BUF2025 week 16
3v CHI2025 week 15
1v TEN2025 week 14
Darren Waller TE · CAR 3+ receptions+112consensus market price

Darren WallerTE · CARReceptions

DataPitch 30% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap -17pp

Under 2.5: -145consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v ATL2026 week 2
2v CHI2026 week 1
1v TB2025 week 17
3v CIN2025 week 16
7v PIT2025 week 15
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 3+ receptions+105consensus market price

Chuba HubbardRB · CARReceptions

DataPitch 19% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap -30pp

Under 2.5: -139consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.4, median 1
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v ATL2026 week 2
3v CHI2026 week 1
2v LA2025 week 19
2v TB2025 week 18
3v SEA2025 week 17
Jalen Coker WR · CAR 6+ receptions+120consensus market price

Jalen CokerWR · CARReceptions

DataPitch 11% · Market 46%

Against this price: Gap -35pp

Under 5.5: -160consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3, median 3
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

8v ATL2026 week 2
8v CHI2026 week 1
9v LA2025 week 19
6v TB2025 week 18
2v SEA2025 week 17
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 5+ receptions-103consensus market price

Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARReceptions

DataPitch 14% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap -37pp

Under 4.5: -124consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.6, median 2
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

5v ATL2026 week 2
5v CHI2026 week 1
5v LA2025 week 19
4v TB2025 week 18
1v SEA2025 week 17
Xavier Legette WR · CAR 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shown

Xavier LegetteWR · CARReceptions

DataPitch 40%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.4, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v ATL2026 week 2
0v CHI2026 week 1
1v LA2025 week 19
3v TB2025 week 18
1v SEA2025 week 17
Tommy Tremble TE · CAR 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shown

Tommy TrembleTE · CARReceptions

DataPitch 39%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.4, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v ATL2026 week 2
3v CHI2026 week 1
3v LA2025 week 19
3v TB2025 week 18
1v SEA2025 week 17
Rushing yards4
Bryce Young QB · CAR 15+ rushing yards-115consensus market price

Bryce YoungQB · CARRushing yards

DataPitch 46% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -8pp

Under 14.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 18.8, median 13
The line
14.5

His last 5, rushing yards

6v ATL2026 week 2
10v CHI2026 week 1
24v LA2025 week 19
-1v TB2025 week 18
27v SEA2025 week 17
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 57+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLERushing yards

DataPitch 20% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -33pp

Under 56.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 36.1, median 30
The line
56.5

His last 5, rushing yards

21v TB2026 week 2
33v JAX2026 week 1
22v BUF2025 week 16
21v CHI2025 week 15
26v TEN2025 week 14
More players (2)
Deshaun Watson QB · CLE 26+ rushing yards-115consensus market price

Deshaun WatsonQB · CLERushing yards

DataPitch 16% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -38pp

Under 25.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 12.1, median 5
The line
25.5

His last 5, rushing yards

22v TB2026 week 2
38v JAX2026 week 1
0v CIN2024 week 7
17v PHI2024 week 6
14v WAS2024 week 5
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 72+ rushing yards-113consensus market price

Chuba HubbardRB · CARRushing yards

DataPitch 8% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -45pp

Under 71.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 32, median 26
The line
71.5

His last 5, rushing yards

53v ATL2026 week 2
49v CHI2026 week 1
46v LA2025 week 19
10v TB2025 week 18
12v SEA2025 week 17
Passing yards1
Bryce Young QB · CAR 224+ passing yards-114consensus market price

Bryce YoungQB · CARPassing yards

DataPitch 20% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -33pp

Under 223.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 172.2, median 166
The line
223.5

His last 5, passing yards

272v ATL2026 week 2
353v CHI2026 week 1
250v LA2025 week 19
266v TB2025 week 18
40v SEA2025 week 17

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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