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Final: Miami Dolphins 13, San Francisco 49ers 35
Called before kickoff: 4. Won 3, lost 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.
25 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
George KittleTE · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 80 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 40.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Greg DulcichTE · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 22.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Christian McCaffreyRB · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 43 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 39.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Demarcus RobinsonWR · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 34 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 26.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
De'Von AchaneRB · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 19 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 27.5: -109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 31 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 35.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Mike EvansWR · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 54 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 49.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Malik WashingtonWR · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 43 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 33.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyle JuszczykRB · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 27 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 66%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
George KittleTE · SFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 3.5: -103consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Greg DulcichTE · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 2.5: -151consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyle JuszczykRB · SFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap +22pp
Under 1.5: -250consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Christian McCaffreyRB · SFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 4.5: +104consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Demarcus RobinsonWR · SFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 1.5: +125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 3.5: -146consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Malik WashingtonWR · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 3.5: -125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
De'Von AchaneRB · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 4.5: -162consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Mike EvansWR · SFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 3.5: +106consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
De'Von AchaneRB · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Won, 74 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 70% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 58.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyle JuszczykRB · SFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 7% · Market 19%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 0.5: -667consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Christian McCaffreyRB · SFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 60.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Brock PurdyQB · SFRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 30 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 13.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Malik WillisQB · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 38.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 5.5: -101consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Brock PurdyQB · SFPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 287 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 238.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.