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Nothing on this game clears our bar tonight. Every market we price is below anyway, each row with the market's own price and what our read rests on.
Strongest of themJayden ReedWR · GB30+ receiving yards-115consensus market pricePrices taken Tue 15 Sept, 14:25 UK.
20 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
RJayden Reed WR · GB 30+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJayden ReedWR · GBReceiving yards
DataPitch 49% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 29.5: -118consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TMason Taylor TE · NYJ 18+ receiving yards-108consensus market priceMason TaylorTE · NYJReceiving yards
DataPitch 39% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 17.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTucker Kraft TE · GB 44+ receiving yards-110consensus market priceTucker KraftTE · GBReceiving yards
DataPitch 33% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 43.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WChristian Watson WR · GB 64+ receiving yards-110consensus market priceChristian WatsonWR · GBReceiving yards
DataPitch 32% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 63.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GMatthew Golden WR · GB 45+ receiving yards-116consensus market priceMatthew GoldenWR · GBReceiving yards
DataPitch 27% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 44.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HBreece Hall RB · NYJ 17+ receiving yards-116consensus market priceBreece HallRB · NYJReceiving yards
DataPitch 21% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 16.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WGarrett Wilson WR · NYJ 61+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceGarrett WilsonWR · NYJReceiving yards
DataPitch 20% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 60.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HBreece Hall RB · NYJ 3+ receptions-105consensus market priceBreece HallRB · NYJReceptions
DataPitch 15% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
Under 2.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TMason Taylor TE · NYJ 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownMason TaylorTE · NYJReceptions
DataPitch 52%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTucker Kraft TE · GB 4+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownTucker KraftTE · GBReceptions
DataPitch 34%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WChristian Watson WR · GB 4+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownChristian WatsonWR · GBReceptions
DataPitch 27%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RJayden Reed WR · GB 4+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownJayden ReedWR · GBReceptions
DataPitch 26%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WGarrett Wilson WR · NYJ 5+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownGarrett WilsonWR · NYJReceptions
DataPitch 23%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GMatthew Golden WR · GB 5+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownMatthew GoldenWR · GBReceptions
DataPitch 8%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SGeno Smith QB · NYJ 9+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceGeno SmithQB · NYJRushing yards
DataPitch 34% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 8.5: -125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LJordan Love QB · GB 8+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownJordan LoveQB · GBRushing yards
DataPitch 49%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HBreece Hall RB · NYJ 68+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownBreece HallRB · NYJRushing yards
DataPitch 39%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LMarShawn Lloyd RB · GB 46+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownMarShawn LloydRB · GBRushing yards
DataPitch 32%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LJordan Love QB · GB 247+ passing yards-110consensus market priceJordan LoveQB · GBPassing yards
DataPitch 44% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 246.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SGeno Smith QB · NYJ 206+ passing yards-116consensus market priceGeno SmithQB · NYJPassing yards
DataPitch 28% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 205.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
