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Final: Green Bay Packers 20, New York Jets 17
Nothing on this game was called before kickoff, so it has no record.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.
28 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Isaiah WilliamsWR · NYJReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 34 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 11.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jonnu SmithTE · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 12.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jayden ReedWR · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 37.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Mason TaylorTE · NYJReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 17.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Christian WatsonWR · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 41 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 59.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tucker KraftTE · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 15 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 44.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 63 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 25% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 34.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Matthew GoldenWR · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 58 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 49.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Breece HallRB · NYJReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 63 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 16% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 18.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 57 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 12% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
Under 68.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Isaiah WilliamsWR · NYJReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 1.5: -127consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jonnu SmithTE · GBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 1.5: -140consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Mason TaylorTE · NYJReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 26% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 2.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 2.5: -103consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tucker KraftTE · GBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 3.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jayden ReedWR · GBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 3.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Christian WatsonWR · GBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 23% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 3.5: +115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Breece HallRB · NYJReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 12% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
Under 2.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 10% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -47pp
Under 5.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Matthew GoldenWR · GBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 12% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -49pp
Under 3.5: +122consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jordan LoveQB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 7.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Breece HallRB · NYJRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 29 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 65.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Geno SmithQB · NYJRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 7.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MarShawn LloydRB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 50.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Chris BrooksRB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 9.5 to 6.5 between the open and the close, 32% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 26% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 24.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Braelon AllenRB · NYJRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 26% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 24.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jordan LoveQB · GBPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 145 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 254.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Geno SmithQB · NYJPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 247 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 207.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.