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21 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 39% · Market 54% · Gap -15pp
Under 65.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 60.8, median 54. The line is 65.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 54% · Gap -20pp
Under 17.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 15.9, median 9. The line is 17.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 32% · Market 54% · Gap -22pp
Under 47.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 39.2, median 31. The line is 47.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. WilsonWR · NYJ | ||||
| B. HallRB · NYJ | ||||
| W. RobinsonWR · TEN |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 74% · Market 46% · Gap +28pp
Under 1.5: -155 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.2, median 3. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 59% · Market 58% · Gap +1pp
Under 2.5: +101 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.3, median 3. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 47% · Market 49% · Gap -2pp
Under 2.5: -135 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.8, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 36% · Market 42% · Gap -6pp
Under 2.5: -198 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.2, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 44% · Market 53% · Gap -9pp
Under 1.5: -115 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 1.8, median 1. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 48% · Market 61% · Gap -13pp
Under 2.5: +116 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 43% · Market 61% · Gap -18pp
Under 2.5: +115 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.7, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53% · Gap -22pp
Under 5.5: -112 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4.5, median 4. The line is 5.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 25% · Market 50% · Gap -25pp
Under 2.5: -130 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 1.7, median 1. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 22% · Market 50% · Gap -27pp
Under 4.5: -130 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3, median 3. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah WilliamsWR · NYJ | · | · | · | |
| Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ | ||||
| Mason TaylorTE · NYJ | ||||
| Calvin RidleyWR · TEN | ||||
| Tony PollardRB · TEN | ||||
| Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN | ||||
| Gunnar HelmTE · TEN | ||||
| Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ | · | |||
| Breece HallRB · NYJ | ||||
| Wan'dale RobinsonWR · TEN |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 59% · Market 53% · Gap +6pp
Under 5.5: -120 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 12, median 8. The line is 5.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 59% · Market 53% · Gap +6pp
Under 54.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 68.2, median 62. The line is 54.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53% · Gap -1pp
Under 64.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 71.4, median 66. The line is 64.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 44% · Market 54% · Gap -10pp
Under 17.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 18.8, median 15. The line is 17.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 43% · Market 55% · Gap -11pp
Under 8.5: -112 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 11.1, median 7. The line is 8.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 38% · Market 54% · Gap -15pp
Under 20.5: -115 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 19.9, median 15. The line is 20.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno SmithQB · NYJ | ||||
| Tony PollardRB · TEN | ||||
| Breece HallRB · NYJ | · | |||
| Braelon AllenRB · NYJ | ||||
| Cameron WardQB · TEN | · | |||
| Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 43% · Market 54% · Gap -10pp
Under 206.5: -113 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 200.9, median 194. The line is 206.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53% · Gap -14pp
Under 206.5: -115 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 194.7, median 187. The line is 206.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 200+ | 207+ | 210+ | 220+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno SmithQB · NYJ | ||||
| Cameron WardQB · TEN |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
