
31 captures so far, 2026-08-17 to 2026-09-06. Every point is de-vigged; a bookmaker point is the consensus of the books quoting this runner that day.
Settles: End of Super Bowl LXI. Market-consistent, prices as of 2026-09-06T16:14:34+00:00.
At +1246 we only get a 0.2 point gap after shrink, and once we strip out the tilt on the whole market there is only 0.4 points left on Baltimore, well under the 1.5 point bar we need to fire. The new staff, a defense that ranked 24th in yards with a weak pass rush, and red zone issues with Jackson and Henry mean there is plenty that still has to click before this becomes a bet.
Sim it yourself →Board run 2026-09-06