DATAPITCH
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NFL FUTURES

Run the season yourself. See what changes.Board run Sun Sep 6, 12:15 PM ET

1This is our simulated season.
2Tap any team or bracket slot to change it -- the season re-runs.
3Share your standings or bracket, top of the page.

The NFL side lives on Discord.

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OUR SIMULATION
AFC
East
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 2SEED 2
BUF
avg 10-7
Wins EastWins East-133
#1 seed +601
Tap to change
WILD CARD 6WILD CARD 6
NE
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-161
#1 seed +973
Tap to change
NYJ
avg 6-11
-952To miss
#1 seed +10295
Tap to change
MIA
avg 4-13
-2227To miss
#1 seed +20821
Tap to change
North
NO. 1 SEEDNO. 1 SEED
BAL
avg 11-6
Wins NorthWins North+124
#1 seed +555
Tap to change
WILD CARD 7WILD CARD 7
CIN
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-171
#1 seed +870
Tap to change
PIT
avg 8-9
-182To miss
#1 seed +5065
Tap to change
CLE
avg 6-11
-770To miss
#1 seed +20821
Tap to change
South
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 3SEED 3
HOU
avg 10-7
Wins SouthWins South+114
#1 seed +714
Tap to change
JAX
avg 9-8
+102To miss
#1 seed +3332
Tap to change
IND
avg 8-9
-178To miss
#1 seed +2838
Tap to change
TEN
avg 6-11
-525To miss
#1 seed +10295
Tap to change
West
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 4SEED 4
KC
avg 10-7
Wins WestWins West+204
#1 seed +973
Tap to change
WILD CARD 5WILD CARD 5
LAC
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-154
#1 seed +973
Tap to change
DEN
avg 10-7
+127To miss
#1 seed +1176
Tap to change
LV
avg 6-11
-770To miss
#1 seed +10295
Tap to change

Dimmed teams miss the playoffs in this season; their price is for missing. Records are each club's average over 20,000 simulated seasons, which is why they bunch together. One season is spikier: 80% of the time a club lands within about 2 to 4 wins either side of its average.

NFC
East
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 3SEED 3
PHI
avg 10-7
Wins EastWins East+154
#1 seed +912
Tap to change
DAL
avg 9-8
+120To miss
#1 seed +1632
Tap to change
NYG
avg 7-10
-277To miss
#1 seed +3659
Tap to change
WAS
avg 7-10
-212To miss
#1 seed +6115
Tap to change
North
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 2SEED 2
DET
avg 11-6
Wins NorthWins North+185
#1 seed +817
Tap to change
WILD CARD 7WILD CARD 7
GB
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-110
#1 seed +1177
Tap to change
CHI
avg 9-8
-117To miss
#1 seed +1632
Tap to change
MIN
avg 9-8
-156To miss
#1 seed +2601
Tap to change
South
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 4SEED 4
TB
avg 8-9
Wins SouthWins South+179
#1 seed +2601
Tap to change
NO
avg 8-9
-217To miss
#1 seed +6115
Tap to change
ATL
avg 7-10
-277To miss
#1 seed +6115
Tap to change
CAR
avg 7-10
-270To miss
#1 seed +18182
Tap to change
West
NO. 1 SEEDNO. 1 SEED
LA
avg 11-6
Wins WestWins West+106
#1 seed +333
Tap to change
WILD CARD 5WILD CARD 5
SEA
avg 11-6
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-198
#1 seed +673
Tap to change
WILD CARD 6WILD CARD 6
SF
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-120
#1 seed +1177
Tap to change
ARI
avg 4-13
-2463To miss
#1 seed +18182
Tap to change

Dimmed teams miss the playoffs in this season; their price is for missing. Records are each club's average over 20,000 simulated seasons, which is why they bunch together. One season is spikier: 80% of the time a club lands within about 2 to 4 wins either side of its average.

Playoffs

Tap a side to change and the season re-runs around that result.

AFC

Wild Card

Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change
BYE

Divisional

Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change

Conference Championship

Ravens to win the AFC+677exchange
Tap a side to change
NFC

Wild Card

Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change
BYE

Divisional

Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change

Conference Championship

Rams to win the NFC+306exchange
Tap a side to change

Super Bowl

Tap a side to change
Rams win the Super Bowl
+524exchange
Largest gaps from this seasonAll gaps →
under 11 wins
Bengals -102EXCHANGE
DataPitch 59%Market 50%Gap +9pp
under 10 wins
Cowboys +117EXCHANGE
DataPitch 54%Market 46%Gap +8pp

Prices are the latest market price for the outcome named on the tile. The dot marks a positive gap: our simulated probability sits above that price's implied one.

Every price here is a real market price, de-vigged; our simulated season is shrunk toward it before any gap is claimed, and a gap we cannot explain is a watch, not a bet.

How this works →