DATAPITCH
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NFL FUTURES

Run the season yourself. See what changes.

1This is our simulated season.
2Tap any team or bracket slot to change it -- the season re-runs.
3Share your standings or bracket, top of the page.

The NFL side lives on Discord.

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OUR SIMULATION
AFC
East
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 2SEED 2
BUF
avg 10-7
Wins EastWins East-130
#1 seed +669
Tap to change
WILD CARD 6WILD CARD 6
NE
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-159
#1 seed +1000
Tap to change
NYJ
avg 6-11
-853To miss
#1 seed +10793
Tap to change
MIA
avg 4-13
-1439To miss
#1 seed +21975
Tap to change
North
NO. 1 SEEDNO. 1 SEED
BAL
avg 11-6
Wins NorthWins North+121
#1 seed +527
Tap to change
WILD CARD 7WILD CARD 7
CIN
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-163
#1 seed +893
Tap to change
PIT
avg 8-9
-170To miss
#1 seed +5276
Tap to change
CLE
avg 6-11
-733To miss
#1 seed +21975
Tap to change
South
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 3SEED 3
HOU
avg 10-7
Wins SouthWins South+117
#1 seed +805
Tap to change
JAX
avg 9-8
+102To miss
#1 seed +2554
Tap to change
IND
avg 8-9
-178To miss
#1 seed +2941
Tap to change
TEN
avg 6-11
-545To miss
#1 seed +10793
Tap to change
West
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 4SEED 4
KC
avg 10-7
Wins WestWins West+205
#1 seed +1000
Tap to change
WILD CARD 5WILD CARD 5
LAC
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-154
#1 seed +1000
Tap to change
DEN
avg 10-7
+147To miss
#1 seed +893
Tap to change
LV
avg 6-11
-614To miss
#1 seed +10793
Tap to change

Dimmed teams miss the playoffs in this season; their price is for missing. Records are each club's average over 20,000 simulated seasons, which is why they bunch together. One season is spikier: 80% of the time a club lands within about 2 to 4 wins either side of its average.

NFC
East
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 3SEED 3
PHI
avg 10-7
Wins EastWins East+154
#1 seed +916
Tap to change
DAL
avg 9-8
+125To miss
#1 seed +1813
Tap to change
NYG
avg 7-10
-300To miss
#1 seed +6162
Tap to change
WAS
avg 7-10
-245To miss
#1 seed +6162
Tap to change
North
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 2SEED 2
DET
avg 11-6
Wins NorthWins North+186
#1 seed +821
Tap to change
WILD CARD 7WILD CARD 7
GB
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-108
#1 seed +1183
Tap to change
CHI
avg 9-8
-113To miss
#1 seed +1641
Tap to change
MIN
avg 9-8
-156To miss
#1 seed +2618
Tap to change
South
DIVISION WINNER · SEED 4SEED 4
TB
avg 8-9
Wins SouthWins South+180
#1 seed +2618
Tap to change
NO
avg 8-9
-217To miss
#1 seed +6162
Tap to change
ATL
avg 7-10
-270To miss
#1 seed +6162
Tap to change
CAR
avg 7-10
-270To miss
#1 seed +18384
Tap to change
West
NO. 1 SEEDNO. 1 SEED
LA
avg 11-6
Wins WestWins West+101
#1 seed +300
Tap to change
WILD CARD 5WILD CARD 5
SEA
avg 11-6
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-196
#1 seed +676
Tap to change
WILD CARD 6WILD CARD 6
SF
avg 10-7
Makes playoffsPlayoffs-122
#1 seed +1183
Tap to change
ARI
avg 4-13
-1901To miss
#1 seed +18384
Tap to change

Dimmed teams miss the playoffs in this season; their price is for missing. Records are each club's average over 20,000 simulated seasons, which is why they bunch together. One season is spikier: 80% of the time a club lands within about 2 to 4 wins either side of its average.

Playoffs

Tap a side to change and the season re-runs around that result.

AFC

Wild Card

Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change
BYE

Divisional

Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change

Conference Championship

Ravens to win the AFC+668exchange
Tap a side to change
NFC

Wild Card

Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change
BYE

Divisional

Tap a side to change
Tap a side to change

Conference Championship

Rams to win the NFC+304exchange
Tap a side to change

Super Bowl

Tap a side to change
Rams win the Super Bowl
+516exchange
Largest gaps from this seasonAll gaps →
under 12 wins
Rams +130EXCHANGE
DataPitch 52%Market 43%Gap +9pp
under 11 wins
Texans -106EXCHANGE
DataPitch 60%Market 51%Gap +8pp

Prices are the latest market price for the outcome named on the tile. The dot marks a positive gap: our simulated probability sits above that price's implied one.

Every price here is a real market price, de-vigged; our simulated season is shrunk toward it before any gap is claimed, and a gap we cannot explain is a watch, not a bet.

How this works →

Board run 2026-09-04