The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.
DataPitch's read
A standard officiating night, and 9 of the 11 rows we would back are Manchester United's.
Match signals
the market's own read of this fixture
Cards signalavoid
Whymatch line 3.00, split 1.50/1.50, allowance 0, game projected too tame for yc props
One-sided match1
Why one-sided1×2 skew 87/4 → home heavy fav; AH -2.75 → home favoured by 1+ goals
Market's cards line3
Market's goals line4
Shots leanhome
Fouls leanbalanced
Tackles leanbalanced
Confidence1
Bookmakers read3
what our model expects, and where it differs from the market
Match contextmid_table
Tempohigh
Shapeone-sided
Expected goals3.99
Expected cards3.37
Expected cards, home1.67
Expected cards, away1.7
Cards leanbalanced
Our cards minus the market0.37
Against the marketaligned
Possessionhome
Angles agreeing10
Confidence0.59
Every market we price
151 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.
Fouls committed010›
Our last 30 days: 13,828 settled, 40% landed, and 2,841 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 5,858 rows, 59% landed.
B. MbeumoRM · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Bet365 1.80 bestPaddy Power 1.57
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.77 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
51% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
2v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 22% · Market 20%price too long5.00Bet365
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Bet365 1.73 bestPaddy Power 1.53
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.64 a start over 44 starts
His record at this line
52% of his last 44 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
1v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Spain6 Jul
0v Croatia2 Jul
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 15% · Market 23%price too long4.33Bet365
More players (8)›
Lisandro MartínezLB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Bet365 1.67 bestPaddy Power 1.50
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.67 a start over 21 starts
His record at this line
38% of his last 21 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
2v Switzerland12 Jul
2v Egypt7 Jul
0v Cape Verde Islands3 Jul
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 25% · Market 25%price too long4.00Bet365
N. MazraouiRB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
His season average in this market
1.09 a start over 23 starts
His record at this line
65% of his last 23 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
1v Hull City22 Aug
1v France9 Jul
0v Canada4 Jul
0v Netherlands30 Jun
1v Scotland19 Jun
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 21% · Market 29%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back3.50Bet365
L. YoroRCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.93 a start over 15 starts
His record at this line
60% of his last 15 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
0v Leeds13 Apr
2v Bournemouth20 Mar
1v Aston Villa15 Mar
0v Newcastle4 Mar
2v Crystal Palace1 Mar
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 26% · Market 27%price too long3.75Bet365
B. ŠeškoST · #30Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Paddy Power 1.62 bestBet365 1.50
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.56 a start over 18 starts
His record at this line
44% of his last 18 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
1v Brentford27 Apr
0v Chelsea18 Apr
0v Leeds13 Apr
1v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 15% · Market 25%price too long4.00Paddy Power
Diogo DalotLCB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Bet365 1.61 bestPaddy Power 1.50
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.94 a start over 32 starts
His record at this line
62% of his last 32 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
3v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Liverpool3 May
2v Brentford27 Apr
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 22% · Market 27%price too long3.75Bet365
Andrey SantosRDM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Bet365 1.50 bestPaddy Power 1.44
price too short
His season average in this market
0.85 a start over 20 starts
His record at this line
60% of his last 20 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
1v Hull City22 Aug
1v Tottenham19 May
0v Liverpool9 May
1v Manchester City12 Apr
1v Port Vale4 Apr
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 17% · Market 31%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back3.25Bet365
K. MainooLDM · #37Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Paddy Power 1.62 bestBet365 1.57
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.53 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line
47% of his last 19 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
2v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Sunderland9 May
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 18% · Market 27%price too long3.75Paddy Power
Matheus CunhaLM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Bet365 1.50 bestPaddy Power 1.50
price too short
His season average in this market
0.94 a start over 33 starts
His record at this line
58% of his last 33 starts
His last 5, fouls committed
0v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
1v Japan29 Jun
0v Scotland24 Jun
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls committedDataPitch 20% · Market 29%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back3.50Paddy Power
Fouls drawn310›
Our last 30 days: 9,873 settled, 39% landed, and 1,300 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 3,827 rows, 59% landed.
N. MazraouiRB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
price too long
His season average in this market
1.74 a start over 23 starts
His record at this line
52% of his last 23 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v France9 Jul
4v Canada4 Jul
0v Netherlands30 Jun
2v Scotland19 Jun
His other lines in this market
To be fouledDataPitch 51% · Market 48%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back2.10Bet365
Lisandro MartínezLB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 26% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Bet365 5.50 bestPaddy Power 5.50
price too long
His season average in this market
0.33 a start over 21 starts
His record at this line
10% of his last 21 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
2v Switzerland12 Jul
2v Egypt7 Jul
0v Cape Verde Islands3 Jul
His other lines in this market
To be fouledDataPitch 42% · Market 48%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back2.10Paddy Power
More players (8)›
B. ŠeškoST · #30Fouls drawn
DataPitch 22% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Paddy Power 5.50 bestBet365 3.25
price too long
His season average in this market
0.33 a start over 18 starts
His record at this line
6% of his last 18 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
2v Brentford27 Apr
0v Chelsea18 Apr
0v Leeds13 Apr
0v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
His other lines in this market
To be fouledDataPitch 42% · Market 48%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back2.10Paddy Power
K. MainooLDM · #37Fouls drawn
DataPitch 71% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Paddy Power 1.44 bestBet365 1.40
price too short
His season average in this market
1.21 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line
63% of his last 19 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
2v Everton6 Sept
2v Ipswich30 Aug
3v Brighton24 May
1v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Sunderland9 May
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls drawnDataPitch 39% · Market 36%at our corrected probability the price is fair2.75Bet365
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Paddy Power 1.53 bestBet365 1.17
price too short
His season average in this market
0.89 a start over 44 starts
His record at this line
61% of his last 44 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
1v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
1v Spain6 Jul
2v Croatia2 Jul
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls drawnDataPitch 30% · Market 42%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back2.40Paddy Power
Andrey SantosRDM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 67% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Paddy Power 1.36 bestBet365 1.28
price too short
His season average in this market
1.45 a start over 20 starts
His record at this line
80% of his last 20 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
2v Hull City22 Aug
1v Tottenham19 May
0v Liverpool9 May
1v Manchester City12 Apr
1v Port Vale4 Apr
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls drawnDataPitch 32% · Market 45%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back2.20Bet365
B. MbeumoRM · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Paddy Power 1.44 bestBet365 1.28
price too short
His season average in this market
0.77 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
51% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
1v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls drawnDataPitch 24% · Market 45%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back2.20Bet365
Matheus CunhaLM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Paddy Power 1.20 bestBet365 1.18
price too short
His season average in this market
1.64 a start over 33 starts
His record at this line
79% of his last 33 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
1v Everton6 Sept
2v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Hull City22 Aug
0v Japan29 Jun
0v Scotland24 Jun
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls drawnDataPitch 30% · Market 55%the price is fair, so there is nothing to back1.83Bet365
Diogo DalotLCB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Paddy Power 1.80 bestBet365 1.57
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.41 a start over 32 starts
His record at this line
31% of his last 32 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Liverpool3 May
0v Brentford27 Apr
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls drawnDataPitch 11% · Market 25%price too long4.00Paddy Power
L. YoroRCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
His season average in this market
0.33 a start over 15 starts
His record at this line
27% of his last 15 starts
His last 5, fouls drawn
2v Leeds13 Apr
0v Bournemouth20 Mar
0v Aston Villa15 Mar
0v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
His other lines in this market
2+ fouls drawnDataPitch 19% · Market 27%price too long3.75Bet365
Tackles110›
Our last 30 days: 2,561 settled, 34% landed, and 339 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 789 rows, 48% landed.
K. MainooLDM · #37Tackles
DataPitch 47% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
His season average in this market
1.63 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line
53% of his last 19 starts
His last 5, tackles
2v Everton6 Sept
3v Ipswich30 Aug
2v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Sunderland9 May
Lisandro MartínezLB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
His season average in this market
1.38 a start over 21 starts
His record at this line
43% of his last 21 starts
His last 5, tackles
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
4v Switzerland12 Jul
4v Egypt7 Jul
0v Cape Verde Islands3 Jul
More players (8)›
B. MbeumoRM · #19Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
price too long
His season average in this market
0.89 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
29% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, tackles
0v Everton6 Sept
3v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
B. ŠeškoST · #30Tackles
DataPitch 13% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
price too long
His season average in this market
0.33 a start over 18 starts
His record at this line
6% of his last 18 starts
His last 5, tackles
0v Brentford27 Apr
0v Chelsea18 Apr
0v Leeds13 Apr
0v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
Matheus CunhaLM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
1.24 a start over 33 starts
His record at this line
36% of his last 33 starts
His last 5, tackles
2v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
1v Japan29 Jun
1v Scotland24 Jun
L. YoroRCB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
1.20 a start over 15 starts
His record at this line
33% of his last 15 starts
His last 5, tackles
0v Leeds13 Apr
1v Bournemouth20 Mar
3v Aston Villa15 Mar
1v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
1.36 a start over 44 starts
His record at this line
43% of his last 44 starts
His last 5, tackles
0v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Spain6 Jul
1v Croatia2 Jul
Andrey SantosRDM · #17Tackles
DataPitch 54% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
His season average in this market
2.60 a start over 20 starts
His record at this line
75% of his last 20 starts
His last 5, tackles
1v Hull City22 Aug
5v Tottenham19 May
2v Liverpool9 May
1v Manchester City12 Apr
4v Port Vale4 Apr
Diogo DalotLCB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
1.50 a start over 32 starts
His record at this line
41% of his last 32 starts
His last 5, tackles
2v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
4v Nottingham Forest17 May
1v Liverpool3 May
3v Brentford27 Apr
N. MazraouiRB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
His season average in this market
2.52 a start over 23 starts
His record at this line
70% of his last 23 starts
His last 5, tackles
1v Hull City22 Aug
1v France9 Jul
2v Canada4 Jul
5v Netherlands30 Jun
0v Scotland19 Jun
Shots010›
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Paddy Power 1.04 bestBet365 1.01
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
1.68 a start over 44 starts
His record at this line
89% of his last 44 starts
His last 5, shots
2v Everton6 Sept
4v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Hull City22 Aug
1v Spain6 Jul
1v Croatia2 Jul
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 59% · Market 93%we evaluate this market and never bet it1.07Bet365
Matheus CunhaLM · #10Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Paddy Power 1.03 bestBet365 1.01
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
1.94 a start over 33 starts
His record at this line
88% of his last 33 starts
His last 5, shots
1v Everton6 Sept
2v Ipswich30 Aug
2v Hull City22 Aug
3v Japan29 Jun
4v Scotland24 Jun
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 73% · Market 93%we evaluate this market and never bet it1.08Bet365
More players (8)›
B. MbeumoRM · #19Shots
DataPitch 98% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Paddy Power 1.04 bestBet365 1.01
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
1.80 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
83% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, shots
1v Everton6 Sept
2v Ipswich30 Aug
3v Hull City22 Aug
1v Brighton24 May
4v Nottingham Forest17 May
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 84% · Market 90%we evaluate this market and never bet it1.11Bet365
L. YoroRCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.33 a start over 15 starts
His record at this line
27% of his last 15 starts
His last 5, shots
2v Leeds13 Apr
1v Bournemouth20 Mar
0v Aston Villa15 Mar
1v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 10% · Market 13%we evaluate this market and never bet it8.00Bet365
Lisandro MartínezLB · #6Shots
DataPitch 45% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Bet365 2.00 bestPaddy Power 1.62
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.33 a start over 21 starts
His record at this line
33% of his last 21 starts
His last 5, shots
0v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Switzerland12 Jul
1v Egypt7 Jul
1v Cape Verde Islands3 Jul
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 4% · Market 17%we evaluate this market and never bet it6.00Bet365
B. ŠeškoST · #30Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
2.39 a start over 18 starts
His record at this line
89% of his last 18 starts
His last 5, shots
1v Brentford27 Apr
0v Chelsea18 Apr
3v Leeds13 Apr
0v Newcastle4 Mar
3v Crystal Palace1 Mar
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 69% · Market 94%we evaluate this market and never bet it1.06Bet365
Andrey SantosRDM · #17Shots
DataPitch 63% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Paddy Power 1.22 bestBet365 1.14
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.45 a start over 20 starts
His record at this line
40% of his last 20 starts
His last 5, shots
0v Hull City22 Aug
1v Tottenham19 May
0v Liverpool9 May
1v Manchester City12 Apr
1v Port Vale4 Apr
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 12% · Market 60%we evaluate this market and never bet it1.67Bet365
Diogo DalotLCB · #2Shots
DataPitch 48% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Paddy Power 1.36 bestBet365 1.22
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.75 a start over 32 starts
His record at this line
53% of his last 32 starts
His last 5, shots
0v Everton6 Sept
3v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Nottingham Forest17 May
1v Liverpool3 May
0v Brentford27 Apr
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 16% · Market 45%we evaluate this market and never bet it2.20Paddy Power
K. MainooLDM · #37Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
Paddy Power 1.36 bestBet365 1.30
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.32 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line
32% of his last 19 starts
His last 5, shots
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
1v Sunderland9 May
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 0% · Market 44%we evaluate this market and never bet it2.25Bet365
N. MazraouiRB · #3Shots
DataPitch 17% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.17 a start over 23 starts
His record at this line
17% of his last 23 starts
His last 5, shots
1v Hull City22 Aug
0v France9 Jul
0v Canada4 Jul
0v Netherlands30 Jun
0v Scotland19 Jun
His other lines in this market
2+ shotsDataPitch 1% · Market 20%we evaluate this market and never bet it5.00Bet365
Shots on target110›
Our last 30 days: 15,329 settled, 19% landed, and 3,411 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 2,017 rows, 53% landed.
L. YoroRCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.20 a start over 15 starts
His record at this line
20% of his last 15 starts
His last 5, shots on target
1v Leeds13 Apr
0v Bournemouth20 Mar
0v Aston Villa15 Mar
1v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
Lisandro MartínezLB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.14 a start over 21 starts
His record at this line
14% of his last 21 starts
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Switzerland12 Jul
0v Egypt7 Jul
1v Cape Verde Islands3 Jul
His other lines in this market
2+ shots on targetDataPitch 0% · Market 5%we evaluate this market and never bet it21.00Bet365
More players (8)›
B. MbeumoRM · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 72% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.94 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
66% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, shots on target
1v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
2v Hull City22 Aug
1v Brighton24 May
1v Nottingham Forest17 May
His other lines in this market
2+ shots on targetDataPitch 29% · Market 48%we evaluate this market and never bet it2.10Bet365
Diogo DalotLCB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.25 a start over 32 starts
His record at this line
25% of his last 32 starts
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Liverpool3 May
0v Brentford27 Apr
His other lines in this market
2+ shots on targetDataPitch 0% · Market 9%we evaluate this market and never bet it11.00Bet365
N. MazraouiRB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.04 a start over 23 starts
His record at this line
4% of his last 23 starts
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v France9 Jul
0v Canada4 Jul
0v Netherlands30 Jun
0v Scotland19 Jun
His other lines in this market
2+ shots on targetDataPitch 0% · Market 5%we evaluate this market and never bet it21.00Bet365
Andrey SantosRDM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.25 a start over 20 starts
His record at this line
25% of his last 20 starts
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hull City22 Aug
1v Tottenham19 May
0v Liverpool9 May
0v Manchester City12 Apr
1v Port Vale4 Apr
His other lines in this market
2+ shots on targetDataPitch 3% · Market 15%we evaluate this market and never bet it6.50Bet365
Matheus CunhaLM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 61% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
1.06 a start over 33 starts
His record at this line
73% of his last 33 starts
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Hull City22 Aug
1v Japan29 Jun
2v Scotland24 Jun
His other lines in this market
2+ shots on targetDataPitch 22% · Market 50%we evaluate this market and never bet it2.00Bet365
B. ŠeškoST · #30Shots on target
DataPitch 63% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
1.67 a start over 18 starts
His record at this line
67% of his last 18 starts
His last 5, shots on target
1v Brentford27 Apr
0v Chelsea18 Apr
3v Leeds13 Apr
0v Newcastle4 Mar
3v Crystal Palace1 Mar
His other lines in this market
2+ shots on targetDataPitch 39% · Market 60%we evaluate this market and never bet it1.67Bet365
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 57% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.84 a start over 44 starts
His record at this line
55% of his last 44 starts
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
3v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Hull City22 Aug
0v Spain6 Jul
1v Croatia2 Jul
His other lines in this market
2+ shots on targetDataPitch 25% · Market 48%we evaluate this market and never bet it2.10Bet365
K. MainooLDM · #37Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market
0.16 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line
16% of his last 19 starts
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Sunderland9 May
His other lines in this market
2+ shots on targetDataPitch 0% · Market 9%we evaluate this market and never bet it11.00Bet365
To be booked019›
The books expect about 3 cards.
Our last 30 days: 12,540 settled, 13% landed, and 3,015 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 123 rows, 21% landed.
I. LepinjicaLDM · #13To be booked
DataPitch 34% · Market 30%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Paddy Power 3.30 bestBet365 3.25
at our corrected probability the price is fair
His season average in this market
0.50 a start over 4 starts
His record at this line
50% of his last 4 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
1v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
1v The New Saints14 Jul
Lisandro MartínezLB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Paddy Power 7.50 bestBet365 5.50
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.05 a start over 21 starts
His record at this line
5% of his last 21 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Switzerland12 Jul
0v Egypt7 Jul
0v Cape Verde Islands3 Jul
More players (17)›
Andrey SantosRDM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Paddy Power 6.50 bestBet365 5.00
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.15 a start over 20 starts
His record at this line
15% of his last 20 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Tottenham19 May
0v Liverpool9 May
0v Manchester City12 Apr
0v Port Vale4 Apr
K. MainooLDM · #37To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Paddy Power 9.00 bestBet365 6.00
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.16 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line
16% of his last 19 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Sunderland9 May
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Paddy Power 7.50 bestBet365 5.50
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.14 a start over 44 starts
His record at this line
14% of his last 44 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Spain6 Jul
0v Croatia2 Jul
Diogo DalotLCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Paddy Power 7.50 bestBet365 6.50
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.19 a start over 32 starts
His record at this line
19% of his last 32 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
1v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Liverpool3 May
0v Brentford27 Apr
B. MbeumoRM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Paddy Power 10.00 bestBet365 9.00
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.17 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
17% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
J. MickelsST · #20To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Paddy Power 5.50 bestBet365 5.00
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.25 a start over 4 starts
His record at this line
25% of his last 4 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
1v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
L. YoroRCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.07 a start over 15 starts
His record at this line
7% of his last 15 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Leeds13 Apr
0v Bournemouth20 Mar
1v Aston Villa15 Mar
0v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
Matheus CunhaLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Paddy Power 8.00 bestBet365 6.00
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.12 a start over 33 starts
His record at this line
12% of his last 33 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Japan29 Jun
0v Scotland24 Jun
N. MazraouiRB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.04 a start over 23 starts
His record at this line
4% of his last 23 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v France9 Jul
0v Canada4 Jul
0v Netherlands30 Jun
0v Scotland19 Jun
V. SimićCAM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Bet365 5.50 bestPaddy Power 4.50
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.25 a start over 4 starts
His record at this line
25% of his last 4 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
1v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
B. ŠeškoST · #30To be booked
DataPitch 3% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Paddy Power 10.00 bestBet365 8.00
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.06 a start over 18 starts
His record at this line
6% of his last 18 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Brentford27 Apr
0v Chelsea18 Apr
0v Leeds13 Apr
0v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
A. ZedadkaRB · #80To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Paddy Power 4.50 bestBet365 4.33
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 4 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 4 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
S. LammensGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 37 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 37 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
T. PuchaczLB · #27To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Bet365 4.75 bestPaddy Power 4.50
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 4 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 4 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
S. SolvetRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Paddy Power 3.50 bestBet365 3.25
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 3 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 3 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
A. IsaevLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 5% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 3 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 3 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
U. RahmonaliyevRDM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 18%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 4 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 4 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
Headed shot on target521›
L. YoroRCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
S. SolvetRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (191cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
More players (19)›
N. MazraouiRB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
level in the air (183cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Diogo DalotLCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
level in the air (183cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
T. PuchaczLB · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
A. ZedadkaRB · #80Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
J. MickelsST · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
level in the air (183cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
K. ParrisRM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
level in the air (184cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Lisandro MartínezLB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (175cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
I. LepinjicaLDM · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
A. IsaevLM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
K. MainooLDM · #37Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
gives up height in the air (175cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
B. MbeumoRM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
V. SimićCAM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Matheus CunhaLM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (184cm over a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Andrey SantosRDM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
level in the air (180cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
B. ŠeškoST · #30Headed shot on target
DataPitch 40% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (194cm over a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
S. LammensGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
S. PokatilovGK · #92Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
U. RahmonaliyevRDM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (170cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Shot on target from outside the box122›
B. MbeumoRM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 44% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
shoots from range 1.3 times a game across 3 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
2v Hull City22 Aug
1v Brighton24 May
1v Nottingham Forest17 May
Lisandro MartínezLB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 11 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Switzerland12 Jul
0v Egypt7 Jul
1v Cape Verde Islands3 Jul
More players (20)›
L. YoroRCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
no shots from outside the box in the 3 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
1v Leeds13 Apr
0v Bournemouth20 Mar
0v Aston Villa15 Mar
1v Newcastle4 Mar
0v Crystal Palace1 Mar
A. ZedadkaRB · #80Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
1v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
T. PuchaczLB · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
I. LepinjicaLDM · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
S. SolvetRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 4 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
1v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
J. MickelsST · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
2v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
4v Aarhus11 Aug
1v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
A. IsaevLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Aarhus11 Aug
1v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
N. MazraouiRB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v France9 Jul
0v Canada4 Jul
0v Netherlands30 Jun
0v Scotland19 Jun
Diogo DalotLCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 8 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Liverpool3 May
0v Brentford27 Apr
K. ParrisRM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
K. MainooLDM · #37Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
no shots from outside the box in the 10 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
0v Sunderland9 May
V. SimićCAM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
1v Aarhus11 Aug
1v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 48% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
shoots from range 1.5 times a game across 8 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
3v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Hull City22 Aug
0v Spain6 Jul
1v Croatia2 Jul
Andrey SantosRDM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
no shots from outside the box in the 3 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hull City22 Aug
1v Tottenham19 May
0v Liverpool9 May
0v Manchester City12 Apr
1v Port Vale4 Apr
Matheus CunhaLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 38% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
shoots from range 1.2 times a game across 8 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
1v Ipswich30 Aug
1v Hull City22 Aug
1v Japan29 Jun
2v Scotland24 Jun
B. ŠeškoST · #30Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
no shots from outside the box in the 3 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
1v Brentford27 Apr
0v Chelsea18 Apr
3v Leeds13 Apr
0v Newcastle4 Mar
3v Crystal Palace1 Mar
U. RahmonaliyevRDM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15%
shoots from range 1.4 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
3v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
1v Aarhus5 Aug
0v The New Saints14 Jul
S. LammensGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 9 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Everton6 Sept
0v Ipswich30 Aug
0v Hull City22 Aug
0v Brighton24 May
0v Nottingham Forest17 May
R. DaşdəmirovLCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 4 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Hapoel Beer Sheva25 Aug
0v Aarhus11 Aug
0v Aarhus5 Aug
0v France16 Nov
S. PokatilovGK · #92Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 5 matches we have logged
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Go deeper: make this match yours
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
1
Referee
How strict you think the referee will be
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
2
How the game goes
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
3
Battles
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
vs
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
4
Use the bookmakers
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
Re-running the match with your changes
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
Referee deck not live for this fixture.
Player
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.