The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.
DataPitch's read
A standard officiating night, and nothing on this match clears our bar tonight, so we are backing none of it.
Match signals
the market's own read of this fixture
Cards signalavoid
Whymatch line 2.50, split 1.25/1.25, allowance 0, game projected too tame for yc props
One-sided match1
Why one-sided1×2 skew 87/5 → home heavy fav
Market's cards line2.5
Market's goals line4.75
Shots leanhome
Fouls leanaway
Tackles leanbalanced
Confidence0.5
Bookmakers read0
what our model expects, and where it differs from the market
Match contextrelegation_battle
Tempohigh
Shapeone-sided
Expected goals5.85
Expected cards2.93
Expected cards, home1.37
Expected cards, away1.56
Cards leanbalanced
Our cards minus the market0.43
Against the marketaligned
Possessionhome
Angles agreeing12
Confidence0.63
Every market we price
61 lines on 3 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.
To be booked021›
The books expect about 2.5 cards.
Our last 30 days: 12,540 settled, 13% landed, and 3,015 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 123 rows, 21% landed.
K. LaimerRB · #27To be booked
DataPitch 27%
no price
His season average in this market
0.23 a start over 40 starts
His record at this line
22% of his last 40 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Spain2 Jul
0v Algeria28 Jun
1v Argentina22 Jun
S. AuklendRCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 27%
no price
His season average in this market
0.50 a start over 6 starts
His record at this line
50% of his last 6 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
1v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
1v Monaco4 Nov
0v Galatasaray22 Oct
1v Tottenham30 Sept
More players (19)›
A. PavlovićLDM · #45To be booked
DataPitch 19%
no price
His season average in this market
0.12 a start over 40 starts
His record at this line
12% of his last 40 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
1v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Paraguay29 Jun
0v Ivory Coast20 Jun
0v Curaçao14 Jun
J. TahLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 17%
no price
His season average in this market
0.16 a start over 49 starts
His record at this line
16% of his last 49 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
0v Paraguay29 Jun
0v Ecuador25 Jun
0v Ivory Coast20 Jun
D. UpamecanoRCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 15%
no price
His season average in this market
0.15 a start over 47 starts
His record at this line
15% of his last 47 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
1v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Spain14 Jul
0v Morocco9 Jul
0v Paraguay4 Jul
L. DíazLM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 13%
no price
His season average in this market
0.20 a start over 46 starts
His record at this line
17% of his last 46 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Switzerland7 Jul
0v Ghana4 Jul
H. KaneST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 12%
no price
His season average in this market
0.06 a start over 52 starts
His record at this line
6% of his last 52 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Norway11 Jul
1v Mexico6 Jul
0v Congo DR1 Jul
P. BergCM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 12%
no price
His season average in this market
0.14 a start over 21 starts
His record at this line
14% of his last 21 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v England11 Jul
0v Brazil5 Jul
0v Ivory Coast30 Jun
M. OliseRM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 11%
no price
His season average in this market
0.14 a start over 51 starts
His record at this line
14% of his last 51 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v England18 Jul
0v Spain14 Jul
0v Morocco9 Jul
F. BjørkanLB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 9%
no price
His season average in this market
0.08 a start over 12 starts
His record at this line
8% of his last 12 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
O. BjørtuftLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 9%
no price
His season average in this market
0.07 a start over 14 starts
His record at this line
7% of his last 14 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
J. KimmichRDM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 8%
no price
His season average in this market
0.10 a start over 51 starts
His record at this line
10% of his last 51 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Paraguay29 Jun
0v Ecuador25 Jun
O. Didrik BlombergRW · #11To be booked
DataPitch 8%
no price
His season average in this market
0.20 a start over 10 starts
His record at this line
20% of his last 10 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
1v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
A. DaviesLB · #19To be booked
DataPitch 6%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 7 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 7 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v VfB Stuttgart19 Apr
0v RB Leipzig11 Feb
0v 1899 Hoffenheim8 Feb
F. SjøvoldRB · #20To be booked
DataPitch 6%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 14 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 14 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
J. HaugeLW · #10To be booked
DataPitch 6%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 13 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 13 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
J. MusialaCAM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 6%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 15 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 15 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Ecuador25 Jun
0v Ivory Coast20 Jun
0v Curaçao14 Jun
0v USA6 Jun
0v Finland31 May
S. FetLCM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 6%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 12 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 12 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
V. NielsenRCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 4%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 1 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 1 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
M. NeuerGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0%
no price
His season average in this market
0.08 a start over 38 starts
His record at this line
8% of his last 38 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Paraguay29 Jun
0v Ecuador25 Jun
0v Ivory Coast20 Jun
N. HaikinGK · #12To be booked
DataPitch 0%
no price
His season average in this market
0.07 a start over 14 starts
His record at this line
7% of his last 14 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
Headed shot on target018›
J. TahLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 40%
wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
H. KaneST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 30%
wins headers against a smaller marker (188cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
More players (16)›
D. UpamecanoRCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23%
wins headers against a smaller marker (186cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
A. HelmersenST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21%
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
M. NeuerGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19%
wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
A. DaviesLB · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17%
wins headers against a smaller marker (183cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
K. LaimerRB · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
wins headers against a smaller marker (180cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
J. HaugeLW · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
M. OliseRM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
wins headers against a smaller marker (184cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
N. HaikinGK · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
level in the air (185cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
F. BjørkanLB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
J. MusialaCAM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
wins headers against a smaller marker (180cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
O. Didrik BlombergRW · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
F. SjøvoldRB · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
gives up height in the air (168cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
L. DíazLM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
wins headers against a smaller marker (178cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
J. KimmichRDM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
wins headers against a smaller marker (177cm over a 174cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
P. BergCM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
S. FetLCM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Shot on target from outside the box022›
M. OliseRM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 30%
shoots from range 1.0 times a game across 11 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
3v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
2v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v England18 Jul
0v Spain14 Jul
0v Morocco9 Jul
L. DíazLM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 30%
shoots from range 1.0 times a game across 8 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v FC Schalke 045 Sept
1v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
2v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
1v Switzerland7 Jul
2v Ghana4 Jul
More players (20)›
H. KaneST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 29%
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 11 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
2v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
2v Norway11 Jul
1v Mexico6 Jul
3v Congo DR1 Jul
J. KimmichRDM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18%
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 6 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
1v Paraguay29 Jun
0v Ecuador25 Jun
P. BergCM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13%
shoots from range 1.2 times a game across 9 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
3v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
2v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v England11 Jul
0v Brazil5 Jul
0v Ivory Coast30 Jun
D. UpamecanoRCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 11 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
1v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Spain14 Jul
1v Morocco9 Jul
0v Paraguay4 Jul
A. HelmersenST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 3 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
A. PavlovićLDM · #45Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 6 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
2v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Paraguay29 Jun
0v Ivory Coast20 Jun
1v Curaçao14 Jun
J. MusialaCAM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 4 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Ecuador25 Jun
0v Ivory Coast20 Jun
1v Curaçao14 Jun
1v USA6 Jun
2v Finland31 May
O. Didrik BlombergRW · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 3 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
1v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
1v Sporting CP11 Mar
1v Inter24 Feb
J. TahLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 6 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfL Osnabrück2 Sept
1v Paraguay29 Jun
0v Ecuador25 Jun
0v Ivory Coast20 Jun
S. FetLCM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 3 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
1v Sporting CP17 Mar
1v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
K. LaimerRB · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 7 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
1v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Spain2 Jul
0v Algeria28 Jun
0v Argentina22 Jun
F. SjøvoldRB · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 3 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
1v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
M. NeuerGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 6 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
0v Paraguay29 Jun
0v Ecuador25 Jun
0v Ivory Coast20 Jun
A. DaviesLB · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 8 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v FC Schalke 045 Sept
0v VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
1v VfB Stuttgart19 Apr
0v RB Leipzig11 Feb
0v 1899 Hoffenheim8 Feb
S. AuklendRCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 3 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
3v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Monaco4 Nov
0v Galatasaray22 Oct
0v Tottenham30 Sept
J. HaugeLW · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
1v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
2v Inter24 Feb
N. HaikinGK · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 3 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
F. BjørkanLB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 9 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
1v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
0v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
O. BjørtuftLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 3 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
1v Union St. Gilloise11 Aug
0v Sporting CP17 Mar
0v Sporting CP11 Mar
0v Inter24 Feb
V. NielsenRCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 3 matches we have logged
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Go deeper: make this match yours
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
1
Referee
How strict you think the referee will be
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
2
How the game goes
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
3
Battles
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
vs
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
4
Use the bookmakers
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
Re-running the match with your changes
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
Referee deck not live for this fixture.
Player
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.