← All fixtures v Your model for Celta Vigo v Malaga La Liga · Sun 13 Sept, 13:00 UK
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The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
✕ + The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
› Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽ Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.
DataPitch's read A standard officiating night, and 1 of the 1 rows we would back are Celta Vigo's.
Match signals the market's own read of this fixture Cards signal priority
Why match line 4.50, split 2.25/2.25, allowance 3, high-volume yc fixture (both sides ≥2.0)
One-sided match 0
Market's cards line 4.5
Market's goals line 2.25
Shots lean home
Fouls lean balanced
Tackles lean balanced
Confidence 0.962
Bookmakers read 3
what our model expects, and where it differs from the market Match context relegation_battle
Tempo medium
Shape one-sided
Expected goals 1.99
Expected cards 2.67
Expected cards, home 1.17
Expected cards, away 1.5
Cards lean balanced
Our cards minus the market -1.83
Against the market we_under
Possession balanced
Angles agreeing 9
Confidence 0.53
Every market we price 132 lines on 7 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.
Green rows only Top three into a slip
Fouls committed 0 9 › 10 Iago Aspas RW · #10 To commit a foul 1.73 Paddy Power › + Iago Aspas RW · #10 Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.56 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 31% of his last 16 starts His last 5, fouls committed 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
2 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Levante 12 May
1 v Elche 3 May
0 v PAOK 26 Feb
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls committed DataPitch 21% · Market 22% price too long 4.50 Paddy Power +
3 Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 To commit a foul 1.53 Paddy Power › + Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
His season average in this market 0.79 a start over 43 starts
His record at this line 53% of his last 43 starts His last 5, fouls committed 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
2 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
1 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Athletic Club 17 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls committed DataPitch 23% · Market 32% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 3.10 Paddy Power +
More players (7)› 2 C. Starfelt CB · #2 To commit a foul 1.44 Paddy Power › + C. Starfelt CB · #2 Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
His season average in this market 0.83 a start over 29 starts
His record at this line 55% of his last 29 starts His last 5, fouls committed 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Athletic Club 30 Aug
1 v Poland 31 Mar
0 v Real Betis 15 Mar
0 v Lyon 12 Mar
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls committed DataPitch 24% · Market 37% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 2.70 Paddy Power +
22 Javi Galán LM · #22 To commit a foul 1.36 Paddy Power › + Javi Galán LM · #22 Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
His season average in this market 1.40 a start over 25 starts
His record at this line 76% of his last 25 starts His last 5, fouls committed 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
1 v Osasuna 27 Aug
1 v Valencia 22 Aug
3 v Getafe 23 May
1 v Atletico Madrid 12 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls committed DataPitch 28% · Market 45% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 2.20 Paddy Power +
18 Pablo Martínez DM · #18 To commit a foul 1.33 Paddy Power › + Pablo Martínez DM · #18 Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
His season average in this market 1.11 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line 74% of his last 19 starts His last 5, fouls committed 1 v Real Betis 23 May
1 v Mallorca 17 May
0 v Celta Vigo 12 May
1 v Osasuna 8 May
1 v Villarreal 2 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls committed DataPitch 20% · Market 48% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 2.10 Paddy Power +
8 Miguel Román RCM · #8 To commit a foul 1.44 Paddy Power › + Miguel Román RCM · #8 Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
His season average in this market 1.05 a start over 22 starts
His record at this line 64% of his last 22 starts His last 5, fouls committed 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
1 v Osasuna 27 Aug
1 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Real Madrid 6 Mar
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls committed DataPitch 15% · Market 37% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 2.70 Paddy Power +
18 Yoel Lago RCB · #18 To commit a foul 1.25 Paddy Power › + Yoel Lago RCB · #18 Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
His season average in this market 2.00 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 81% of his last 16 starts His last 5, fouls committed 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
2 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
2 v Osasuna 27 Aug
2 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Sevilla 23 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls committed DataPitch 43% · Market 58% at our corrected probability the price is fair 1.73 Paddy Power +
11 Pablo Durán ST · #11 To commit a foul 1.30 Paddy Power › + Pablo Durán ST · #11 Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
His season average in this market 1.14 a start over 14 starts
His record at this line 64% of his last 14 starts His last 5, fouls committed 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
1 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Atletico Madrid 9 May
0 v Barcelona 22 Apr
0 v Oviedo 12 Apr
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls committed DataPitch 20% · Market 52% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 1.91 Paddy Power +
6 I. Moriba LCM · #6 To commit a foul 1.30 Paddy Power › + I. Moriba LCM · #6 Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
His season average in this market 1.47 a start over 34 starts
His record at this line 71% of his last 34 starts His last 5, fouls committed 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
1 v Sevilla 23 May
4 v Athletic Club 17 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls committed DataPitch 22% · Market 52% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 1.91 Paddy Power +
Fouls drawn 0 9 › 10 Iago Aspas RW · #10 To be fouled 1.36 Paddy Power › + Iago Aspas RW · #10 Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
His season average in this market 1.06 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 75% of his last 16 starts His last 5, fouls drawn 2 v Getafe 7 Sept
2 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Levante 12 May
2 v Elche 3 May
0 v PAOK 26 Feb
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls drawn DataPitch 38% · Market 42% at our corrected probability the price is fair 2.40 Paddy Power +
8 Miguel Román RCM · #8 To be fouled 1.44 Paddy Power › + Miguel Román RCM · #8 Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
His season average in this market 0.68 a start over 22 starts
His record at this line 59% of his last 22 starts His last 5, fouls drawn 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
1 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
1 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
1 v Real Madrid 6 Mar
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls drawn DataPitch 12% · Market 36% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 2.75 Paddy Power +
More players (7)› 3 Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 To be fouled 1.67 Paddy Power › + Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 Fouls drawn
DataPitch 50% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.67 a start over 43 starts
His record at this line 49% of his last 43 starts His last 5, fouls drawn 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
2 v Valencia 22 Aug
1 v Sevilla 23 May
1 v Athletic Club 17 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls drawn DataPitch 24% · Market 27% price too long 3.75 Paddy Power +
2 C. Starfelt CB · #2 To be fouled 1.83 Paddy Power › + C. Starfelt CB · #2 Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.45 a start over 29 starts
His record at this line 41% of his last 29 starts His last 5, fouls drawn 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Athletic Club 30 Aug
0 v Poland 31 Mar
0 v Real Betis 15 Mar
0 v Lyon 12 Mar
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls drawn DataPitch 12% · Market 22% price too long 4.50 Paddy Power +
18 Pablo Martínez DM · #18 To be fouled 1.73 Paddy Power › + Pablo Martínez DM · #18 Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.47 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line 37% of his last 19 starts His last 5, fouls drawn 0 v Real Betis 23 May
0 v Mallorca 17 May
1 v Celta Vigo 12 May
0 v Osasuna 8 May
0 v Villarreal 2 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls drawn DataPitch 8% · Market 25% price too long 4.00 Paddy Power +
22 Javi Galán LM · #22 To be fouled 1.13 Paddy Power › + Javi Galán LM · #22 Fouls drawn
DataPitch 67% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
His season average in this market 1.72 a start over 25 starts
His record at this line 84% of his last 25 starts His last 5, fouls drawn 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
2 v Osasuna 27 Aug
2 v Valencia 22 Aug
3 v Getafe 23 May
1 v Atletico Madrid 12 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls drawn DataPitch 46% · Market 69% price too short 1.44 Paddy Power +
18 Yoel Lago RCB · #18 To be fouled 1.36 Paddy Power › + Yoel Lago RCB · #18 Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
His season average in this market 1.00 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 69% of his last 16 starts His last 5, fouls drawn 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
2 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
1 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Sevilla 23 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls drawn DataPitch 27% · Market 42% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 2.40 Paddy Power +
6 I. Moriba LCM · #6 To be fouled 1.07 Paddy Power › + I. Moriba LCM · #6 Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
His season average in this market 2.00 a start over 34 starts
His record at this line 94% of his last 34 starts His last 5, fouls drawn 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
1 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
2 v Osasuna 27 Aug
2 v Sevilla 23 May
1 v Athletic Club 17 May
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls drawn DataPitch 39% · Market 80% price too short 1.25 Paddy Power +
11 Pablo Durán ST · #11 To be fouled 1.20 Paddy Power › + Pablo Durán ST · #11 Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
His season average in this market 0.79 a start over 14 starts
His record at this line 57% of his last 14 starts His last 5, fouls drawn 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
1 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Atletico Madrid 9 May
1 v Barcelona 22 Apr
2 v Oviedo 12 Apr
His other lines in this market 2+ fouls drawn DataPitch 17% · Market 56% the price is fair, so there is nothing to back 1.80 Paddy Power +
Shots 0 10 › 10 Iago Aspas RW · #10 To have a shot 1.07 Paddy Power › + Iago Aspas RW · #10 Shots
DataPitch 90% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Paddy Power 1.07 best Bet365 1.03
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 1.00 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 81% of his last 16 starts His last 5, shots 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Sevilla 23 May
1 v Levante 12 May
1 v Elche 3 May
1 v PAOK 26 Feb
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 25% · Market 83% we evaluate this market and never bet it 1.20 Bet365 +
11 Pablo Durán ST · #11 To have a shot 1.08 Paddy Power › + Pablo Durán ST · #11 Shots
DataPitch 77% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Paddy Power 1.08 best Bet365 1.05
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 1.07 a start over 14 starts
His record at this line 71% of his last 14 starts His last 5, shots 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Atletico Madrid 9 May
3 v Barcelona 22 Apr
1 v Oviedo 12 Apr
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 29% · Market 78% we evaluate this market and never bet it 1.29 Bet365 +
More players (8)› 6 I. Moriba LCM · #6 To have a shot 1.44 Bet365 › + I. Moriba LCM · #6 Shots
DataPitch 48% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Bet365 1.44 best Paddy Power 1.33
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.71 a start over 34 starts
His record at this line 44% of his last 34 starts His last 5, shots 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
2 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
1 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Athletic Club 17 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 18% · Market 33% we evaluate this market and never bet it 3.00 Bet365 +
2 C. Starfelt CB · #2 To have a shot 2.10 Paddy Power › + C. Starfelt CB · #2 Shots
DataPitch 24% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Paddy Power 2.10 best Bet365 1.83
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.28 a start over 29 starts
His record at this line 21% of his last 29 starts His last 5, shots 2 v Getafe 7 Sept
1 v Athletic Club 30 Aug
0 v Poland 31 Mar
0 v Real Betis 15 Mar
0 v Lyon 12 Mar
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 10% · Market 18% we evaluate this market and never bet it 5.50 Paddy Power +
3 Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 To have a shot 1.50 Bet365 › + Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Bet365 1.50 best Paddy Power 1.44
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.44 a start over 43 starts
His record at this line 33% of his last 43 starts His last 5, shots 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
2 v Valencia 22 Aug
1 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Athletic Club 17 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 14% · Market 31% we evaluate this market and never bet it 3.25 Bet365 +
22 Javi Galán LM · #22 To have a shot 1.83 Paddy Power › + Javi Galán LM · #22 Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.20 a start over 25 starts
His record at this line 16% of his last 25 starts His last 5, shots 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
1 v Getafe 23 May
0 v Atletico Madrid 12 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 2% · Market 23% we evaluate this market and never bet it 4.33 Paddy Power +
18 Yoel Lago RCB · #18 To have a shot 2.00 Bet365 › + Yoel Lago RCB · #18 Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
Bet365 2.00 best Paddy Power 2.00
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.12 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 12% of his last 16 starts His last 5, shots 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
1 v Sevilla 23 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 0% · Market 17% we evaluate this market and never bet it 6.00 Bet365 +
39 J. El Abdellaoui RM · #39 To have a shot 1.14 Paddy Power › + J. El Abdellaoui RM · #39 Shots
DataPitch 48% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.70 a start over 10 starts
His record at this line 50% of his last 10 starts His last 5, shots 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
1 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Alaves 22 Mar
0 v Getafe 1 Feb
1 v Real Sociedad 25 Jan
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 5% · Market 80% we evaluate this market and never bet it 1.25 Paddy Power +
18 Pablo Martínez DM · #18 To have a shot 1.53 Paddy Power › + Pablo Martínez DM · #18 Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Paddy Power 1.53 best Bet365 1.17
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.79 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line 47% of his last 19 starts His last 5, shots 0 v Real Betis 23 May
0 v Mallorca 17 May
0 v Celta Vigo 12 May
2 v Osasuna 8 May
1 v Villarreal 2 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 14% · Market 42% we evaluate this market and never bet it 2.40 Paddy Power +
8 Miguel Román RCM · #8 To have a shot 1.57 Bet365 › + Miguel Román RCM · #8 Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -50pp
Bet365 1.57 best Paddy Power 1.44
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.27 a start over 22 starts
His record at this line 27% of his last 22 starts His last 5, shots 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Real Madrid 6 Mar
His other lines in this market 2+ shots DataPitch 0% · Market 29% we evaluate this market and never bet it 3.50 Bet365 +
Shots on target 0 10 › 2 C. Starfelt CB · #2 To have a shot on target 5.50 Paddy Power › + C. Starfelt CB · #2 Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Paddy Power 5.50 best Bet365 3.75
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.07 a start over 29 starts
His record at this line 7% of his last 29 starts His last 5, shots on target 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Athletic Club 30 Aug
0 v Poland 31 Mar
0 v Real Betis 15 Mar
0 v Lyon 12 Mar
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 0% · Market 2% we evaluate this market and never bet it 41.00 Paddy Power +
6 I. Moriba LCM · #6 To have a shot on target 3.00 Bet365 › + I. Moriba LCM · #6 Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Bet365 3.00 best Paddy Power 2.40
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.26 a start over 34 starts
His record at this line 21% of his last 34 starts His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
1 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Athletic Club 17 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 7% · Market 8% we evaluate this market and never bet it 13.00 Bet365 +
More players (8)› 18 Yoel Lago RCB · #18 To have a shot on target 5.00 Paddy Power › + Yoel Lago RCB · #18 Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Paddy Power 5.00 best Bet365 4.33
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.06 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 6% of his last 16 starts His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Sevilla 23 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 0% · Market 3% we evaluate this market and never bet it 36.00 Paddy Power +
3 Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 To have a shot on target 3.00 Bet365 › + Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Bet365 3.00 best Paddy Power 2.88
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.09 a start over 43 starts
His record at this line 9% of his last 43 starts His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Athletic Club 17 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 5% · Market 7% we evaluate this market and never bet it 15.00 Bet365 +
22 Javi Galán LM · #22 To have a shot on target 3.75 Paddy Power › + Javi Galán LM · #22 Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.04 a start over 25 starts
His record at this line 4% of his last 25 starts His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Getafe 23 May
0 v Atletico Madrid 12 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 0% · Market 5% we evaluate this market and never bet it 19.00 Paddy Power +
18 Pablo Martínez DM · #18 To have a shot on target 3.25 Paddy Power › + Pablo Martínez DM · #18 Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Paddy Power 3.25 best Bet365 2.38
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.16 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line 16% of his last 19 starts His last 5, shots on target 0 v Real Betis 23 May
0 v Mallorca 17 May
0 v Celta Vigo 12 May
0 v Osasuna 8 May
0 v Villarreal 2 May
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 0% · Market 7% we evaluate this market and never bet it 14.00 Paddy Power +
8 Miguel Román RCM · #8 To have a shot on target 3.30 Paddy Power › + Miguel Román RCM · #8 Shots on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 30%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Paddy Power 3.30 best Bet365 3.25
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.09 a start over 22 starts
His record at this line 9% of his last 22 starts His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Real Madrid 6 Mar
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 0% · Market 6% we evaluate this market and never bet it 17.00 Bet365 +
10 Iago Aspas RW · #10 To have a shot on target 1.40 Bet365 › + Iago Aspas RW · #10 Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Bet365 1.40 best Paddy Power 1.30
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.62 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 50% of his last 16 starts His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Levante 12 May
1 v Elche 3 May
1 v PAOK 26 Feb
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 15% · Market 36% we evaluate this market and never bet it 2.75 Bet365 +
11 Pablo Durán ST · #11 To have a shot on target 1.44 Bet365 › + Pablo Durán ST · #11 Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
Bet365 1.44 best Paddy Power 1.25
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.71 a start over 14 starts
His record at this line 50% of his last 14 starts His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Atletico Madrid 9 May
3 v Barcelona 22 Apr
1 v Oviedo 12 Apr
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 20% · Market 31% we evaluate this market and never bet it 3.25 Bet365 +
39 J. El Abdellaoui RM · #39 To have a shot on target 1.91 Paddy Power › + J. El Abdellaoui RM · #39 Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
His season average in this market 0.20 a start over 10 starts
His record at this line 10% of his last 10 starts His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Alaves 22 Mar
0 v Getafe 1 Feb
0 v Real Sociedad 25 Jan
His other lines in this market 2+ shots on target DataPitch 10% · Market 18% we evaluate this market and never bet it 5.50 Paddy Power +
To be booked 1 16 › The books expect about 4.5 cards.
18 Yoel Lago RCB · #18 To be booked 5.00 Bet365 › + Yoel Lago RCB · #18 To be booked
DataPitch 34% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
His season average in this market 0.38 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 38% of his last 16 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
1 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Sevilla 23 May
6 I. Moriba LCM · #6 To be booked 4.00 Bet365 › + I. Moriba LCM · #6 To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
His season average in this market 0.29 a start over 34 starts
His record at this line 29% of his last 34 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
1 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Athletic Club 17 May
More players (14)› 11 Pablo Durán ST · #11 To be booked 7.50 Bet365 › + Pablo Durán ST · #11 To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.00 a start over 14 starts
His record at this line 0% of his last 14 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Atletico Madrid 9 May
0 v Barcelona 22 Apr
0 v Oviedo 12 Apr
22 Javi Galán LM · #22 To be booked 4.00 Bet365 › + Javi Galán LM · #22 To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.12 a start over 25 starts
His record at this line 12% of his last 25 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Getafe 23 May
1 v Atletico Madrid 12 May
2 C. Starfelt CB · #2 To be booked 5.50 Bet365 › + C. Starfelt CB · #2 To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.07 a start over 29 starts
His record at this line 7% of his last 29 starts His last 5, yellow cards 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Athletic Club 30 Aug
0 v Poland 31 Mar
0 v Real Betis 15 Mar
0 v Lyon 12 Mar
10 Iago Aspas RW · #10 To be booked 4.50 Bet365 › + Iago Aspas RW · #10 To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.06 a start over 16 starts
His record at this line 6% of his last 16 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Levante 12 May
0 v Elche 3 May
0 v PAOK 26 Feb
22 Dani Lorenzo LM · #22 To be booked 4.00 Bet365 › + Dani Lorenzo LM · #22 To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.50 a start over 2 starts
His record at this line 50% of his last 2 starts His last 5, yellow cards 1 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
3 Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 To be booked 3.50 Bet365 › + Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.19 a start over 43 starts
His record at this line 19% of his last 43 starts His last 5, yellow cards 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
1 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Athletic Club 17 May
8 Miguel Román RCM · #8 To be booked 4.00 Bet365 › + Miguel Román RCM · #8 To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.09 a start over 22 starts
His record at this line 9% of his last 22 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Real Madrid 6 Mar
18 Pablo Martínez DM · #18 To be booked 3.10 Bet365 › + Pablo Martínez DM · #18 To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.11 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line 11% of his last 19 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Real Betis 23 May
0 v Mallorca 17 May
0 v Celta Vigo 12 May
0 v Osasuna 8 May
0 v Villarreal 2 May
1 Alfonso Herrero GK · #1 To be booked 7.50 Bet365 › + Alfonso Herrero GK · #1 To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.00 a start over 3 starts
His record at this line 0% of his last 3 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
0 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
12 José Salinas LB · #12 To be booked 2.50 Bet365 › + José Salinas LB · #12 To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.50 a start over 4 starts
His record at this line 50% of his last 4 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Levante 6 Sept
1 v Villarreal 9 Feb
1 v Atlético Baleares 4 Dec
0 v Villarreal 8 Nov
8 Carlos Dotor RCM · #8 To be booked 3.10 Bet365 › + Carlos Dotor RCM · #8 To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
His season average in this market 0.00 a start over 3 starts
His record at this line 0% of his last 3 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
0 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
19 Juan Cruz LCM · #19 To be booked 3.50 Bet365 › + Juan Cruz LCM · #19 To be booked
DataPitch 5% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
4 Einar Galilea RCB · #4 To be booked No price yet › Einar Galilea RCB · #4 To be booked
DataPitch 32%
no price
His season average in this market 0.00 a start over 3 starts
His record at this line 0% of his last 3 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
0 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
13 I. Radu GK · #13 To be booked No price yet › I. Radu GK · #13 To be booked
DataPitch 0%
no price
His season average in this market 0.09 a start over 54 starts
His record at this line 9% of his last 54 starts His last 5, yellow cards 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Athletic Club 30 Aug
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
1 v Valencia 22 Aug
Headed shot on target 0 18 › 3 Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20%
wins headers against a smaller marker (188cm over a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
2 C. Starfelt CB · #2 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › C. Starfelt CB · #2 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
More players (16)› 18 Yoel Lago RCB · #18 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Yoel Lago RCB · #18 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
9 Chupe ST · #9 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Chupe ST · #9 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
level in the air (185cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
13 I. Radu GK · #13 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › I. Radu GK · #13 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
wins headers against a smaller marker (188cm over a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
4 Einar Galilea RCB · #4 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Einar Galilea RCB · #4 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
6 I. Moriba LCM · #6 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › I. Moriba LCM · #6 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
39 J. El Abdellaoui RM · #39 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › J. El Abdellaoui RM · #39 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
wins headers against a smaller marker (184cm over a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
10 Iago Aspas RW · #10 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Iago Aspas RW · #10 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
11 Pablo Durán ST · #11 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Pablo Durán ST · #11 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
12 José Salinas LB · #12 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › José Salinas LB · #12 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
1 Alfonso Herrero GK · #1 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Alfonso Herrero GK · #1 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
18 Pablo Martínez DM · #18 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Pablo Martínez DM · #18 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
8 Carlos Dotor RCM · #8 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Carlos Dotor RCM · #8 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
22 Javi Galán LM · #22 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Javi Galán LM · #22 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (172cm against a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
19 Juan Cruz LCM · #19 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Juan Cruz LCM · #19 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
10 David Larrubia RM · #10 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › David Larrubia RM · #10 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (172cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
22 Dani Lorenzo LM · #22 To have a headed shot on target No price yet › Dani Lorenzo LM · #22 Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (175cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Shot on target from outside the box 0 22 › 9 Chupe ST · #9 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Chupe ST · #9 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 32%
shoots from range 2.0 times a game across 4 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 2 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
1 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
8 Miguel Román RCM · #8 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Miguel Román RCM · #8 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 25%
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Real Madrid 6 Mar
More players (20)› 6 I. Moriba LCM · #6 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › I. Moriba LCM · #6 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24%
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
1 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Athletic Club 17 May
39 J. El Abdellaoui RM · #39 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › J. El Abdellaoui RM · #39 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18%
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Alaves 22 Mar
0 v Getafe 1 Feb
0 v Real Sociedad 25 Jan
16 Hugo González LW · #16 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Hugo González LW · #16 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17%
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 2 v Getafe 7 Sept
19 Juan Cruz LCM · #19 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Juan Cruz LCM · #19 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 4 logged matches
10 Iago Aspas RW · #10 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Iago Aspas RW · #10 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Levante 12 May
1 v Elche 3 May
1 v PAOK 26 Feb
18 Pablo Martínez DM · #18 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Pablo Martínez DM · #18 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 3 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Real Betis 23 May
0 v Mallorca 17 May
0 v Celta Vigo 12 May
0 v Osasuna 8 May
0 v Villarreal 2 May
15 Ángel Recio RB · #15 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Ángel Recio RB · #15 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 4 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 1 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
0 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
10 David Larrubia RM · #10 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › David Larrubia RM · #10 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 4 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Levante 6 Sept
1 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
8 Carlos Dotor RCM · #8 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Carlos Dotor RCM · #8 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 4 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
1 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
2 C. Starfelt CB · #2 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › C. Starfelt CB · #2 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 1 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Athletic Club 30 Aug
0 v Poland 31 Mar
0 v Real Betis 15 Mar
0 v Lyon 12 Mar
3 Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Marcos Alonso LCB · #3 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 4 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Sevilla 23 May
0 v Athletic Club 17 May
22 Dani Lorenzo LM · #22 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Dani Lorenzo LM · #22 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 3 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
13 I. Radu GK · #13 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › I. Radu GK · #13 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 5 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Athletic Club 30 Aug
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
22 Javi Galán LM · #22 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Javi Galán LM · #22 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 5 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Getafe 23 May
0 v Atletico Madrid 12 May
11 Pablo Durán ST · #11 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Pablo Durán ST · #11 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 5 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Atletico Madrid 9 May
3 v Barcelona 22 Apr
1 v Oviedo 12 Apr
18 Yoel Lago RCB · #18 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Yoel Lago RCB · #18 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 5 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Getafe 7 Sept
0 v Real Sociedad 3 Sept
0 v Osasuna 27 Aug
0 v Valencia 22 Aug
0 v Sevilla 23 May
4 Einar Galilea RCB · #4 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Einar Galilea RCB · #4 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 4 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
0 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
1 Alfonso Herrero GK · #1 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Alfonso Herrero GK · #1 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 4 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
0 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
12 José Salinas LB · #12 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › José Salinas LB · #12 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 4 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Villarreal 9 Feb
1 v Atlético Baleares 4 Dec
0 v Villarreal 8 Nov
31 Rafita LCB · #31 To hit the target from outside the box No price yet › Rafita LCB · #31 Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 4 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target 0 v Levante 6 Sept
0 v Real Madrid 30 Aug
0 v Deportivo La Coruna 24 Aug
Create an alert for this match Pick a player or a market in the studio and we watch it live for you. No sign up. → Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers ☛ Tap any player for his numbers
Celta Vigo
3 Marcos Alonso
LCB
13 I. Radu
GK
10 Iago Aspas
RW
22 Javi Galán
LM
2 C. Starfelt
CB
16 Hugo González
LW
6 I. Moriba
LCM
11 Pablo Durán
ST
18 Yoel Lago
RCB
8 Miguel Román
RCM
39 J. El Abdellaoui
RM
Malaga
4 Einar Galilea
RCB
1 Alfonso Herrero
GK
18 Pablo Martínez
DM
8 Carlos Dotor
RCM
12 José Salinas
LB
19 Juan Cruz
LCM
10 David Larrubia
RM
15 Ángel Recio
RB
22 Dani Lorenzo
LM
9 Chupe
ST
31 Rafita
LCB
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Go deeper: make this match yours Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think the referee will be
Strict tonight Stricter than usual As usual Lets some go Lets play run
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
Even game Celta Vigo dominate Malaga dominate
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
Pick an attacker Iago Aspas (RW) Hugo González (LW) Pablo Durán (ST) Carlos Dotor (RCM) Juan Cruz (LCM) David Larrubia (RM) Dani Lorenzo (LM) Chupe (ST) vs Pick a defender Marcos Alonso (LCB) Javi Galán (LM) C. Starfelt (CB) I. Moriba (LCM) Yoel Lago (RCB) Miguel Román (RCM) J. El Abdellaoui (RM) Einar Galilea (RCB) Pablo Martínez (DM) José Salinas (LB) Ángel Recio (RB) Rafita (LCB)
Add this battle We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Included Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
5 SimulateRe-running the match with your changes
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
✕ Referee deck not live for this fixture.
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
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