The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.
DataPitch's read
A standard officiating night, and nothing on this match clears our bar tonight, so we are backing none of it.
Match signals
the market's own read of this fixture
Cards signalnormal
Whymatch line 4.00, split 1.75/2.25, allowance 3, standard yc volume
One-sided match0
Market's cards line4
Market's goals line2.75
Shots leanaway
Fouls leanaway
Tackles leanbalanced
Confidence0.475
Bookmakers read0
what our model expects, and where it differs from the market
Match contextmid_table
Tempomedium
Shapetactical
Expected goals3.02
Expected cards3.14
Expected cards, home1.06
Expected cards, away2.08
Cards leanaway
Our cards minus the market-0.86
Against the marketwe_under
Possessionhome
Angles agreeing12
Confidence0.63
Every market we price
62 lines on 3 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.
To be booked022›
The books expect about 4 cards.
AndréLM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 28%
no price
His season average in this market
0.37 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
37% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
0v Port Vale7 Aug
J. JamesRCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 27%
no price
His season average in this market
0.24 a start over 25 starts
His record at this line
24% of his last 25 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Sheffield Wednesday25 Aug
0v Hull City21 Apr
1v Watford21 Mar
0v QPR14 Mar
0v Bristol City10 Mar
More players (20)›
Ladislav Krejčí IICB · #37To be booked
DataPitch 27%
no price
His season average in this market
0.19 a start over 37 starts
His record at this line
16% of his last 37 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v Mexico25 Jun
1v South Africa18 Jun
0v South Korea12 Jun
0v Burnley24 May
Sydie PeckLCM · #42To be booked
DataPitch 24%
no price
His season average in this market
0.14 a start over 37 starts
His record at this line
14% of his last 37 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Norwich5 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
1v Cardiff29 Aug
0v Swansea22 Aug
H. ChoudhuryRCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 22%
no price
His season average in this market
0.33 a start over 15 starts
His record at this line
33% of his last 15 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Norwich5 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Blackburn2 May
1v Millwall24 Apr
1v Portsmouth18 Apr
J. TangangaRB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 22%
no price
His season average in this market
0.23 a start over 43 starts
His record at this line
23% of his last 43 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
1v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Norwich5 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Cardiff29 Aug
1v Swansea22 Aug
L. KitchingLCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 22%
no price
His season average in this market
0.20 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
20% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Blackburn8 Sept
1v Norwich5 Sept
0v Plymouth25 Aug
0v Wrexham26 Apr
0v Portsmouth21 Apr
M. MunetsiLAM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 22%
no price
His season average in this market
0.09 a start over 23 starts
His record at this line
9% of his last 23 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
1v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
1v Preston22 Aug
0v Port Vale7 Aug
M. McGuinnessRCB · #25To be booked
DataPitch 19%
no price
His season average in this market
0.17 a start over 24 starts
His record at this line
17% of his last 24 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Bolton1 Sept
1v Cardiff29 Aug
0v Blackburn25 Aug
0v Swansea22 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
Fer LópezRAM · #28To be booked
DataPitch 18%
no price
His season average in this market
0.11 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line
11% of his last 19 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
0v Port Vale7 Aug
R. JiménezST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 18%
no price
His season average in this market
0.14 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
14% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
0v England6 Jul
R. DonovanRM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 17%
no price
His season average in this market
0.17 a start over 6 starts
His record at this line
17% of his last 6 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
1v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Norwich5 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Blackburn25 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
N. DjigaRCB · #34To be booked
DataPitch 15%
no price
His season average in this market
0.21 a start over 29 starts
His record at this line
21% of his last 29 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Sheffield Wednesday25 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
T. CannonRS · #9To be booked
DataPitch 15%
no price
His season average in this market
0.10 a start over 20 starts
His record at this line
10% of his last 20 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Cardiff29 Aug
0v Blackburn25 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
0v Mansfield Town9 Aug
J. TchatchouaRM · #38To be booked
DataPitch 14%
no price
His season average in this market
0.09 a start over 23 starts
His record at this line
9% of his last 23 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
0v West Ham10 Apr
J. RothwellLM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 12%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 10 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 10 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Cardiff29 Aug
0v Swansea22 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
0v Mansfield Town9 Aug
0v Watford18 Apr
S. McCallumLB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 12%
no price
His season average in this market
0.05 a start over 19 starts
His record at this line
5% of his last 19 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Cardiff29 Aug
0v Swansea22 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
P. BamfordLS · #45To be booked
DataPitch 10%
no price
His season average in this market
0.12 a start over 24 starts
His record at this line
8% of his last 24 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Norwich5 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Swansea22 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
0v Mansfield Town9 Aug
Rodrigo GomesLCM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 10%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 13 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 13 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
0v Port Vale7 Aug
Hugo BuenoLCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 8%
no price
His season average in this market
0.06 a start over 31 starts
His record at this line
6% of his last 31 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
0v Port Vale7 Aug
José SáGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0%
no price
His season average in this market
0.08 a start over 26 starts
His record at this line
8% of his last 26 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Sheffield Wednesday25 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
M. CooperGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0%
no price
His season average in this market
0.00 a start over 35 starts
His record at this line
0% of his last 35 starts
His last 5, yellow cards
0v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Norwich5 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Cardiff29 Aug
0v Swansea22 Aug
Headed shot on target018›
M. McGuinnessRCB · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 28%
wins headers against a smaller marker (194cm over a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
L. KitchingLCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22%
wins headers against a smaller marker (191cm over a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
More players (16)›
R. JiménezST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19%
level in the air (190cm against a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
P. BamfordLS · #45Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
level in the air (185cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Ladislav Krejčí IICB · #37Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
gives up height in the air (187cm against a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
N. DjigaRCB · #34Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
gives up height in the air (187cm against a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
J. TangangaRB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
level in the air (184cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
José SáGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
wins headers against a smaller marker (192cm over a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
M. MunetsiLAM · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
level in the air (188cm against a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Fer LópezRAM · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
level in the air (188cm against a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
M. CooperGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
level in the air (186cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
J. RothwellLM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
level in the air (185cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
J. TchatchouaRM · #38Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
gives up height in the air (186cm against a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Hugo BuenoLCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
H. ChoudhuryRCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
AndréLM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Rodrigo GomesLCM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (171cm against a 190cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Sydie PeckLCM · #42Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Shot on target from outside the box022›
Fer LópezRAM · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24%
shoots from range 1.1 times a game across 6 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
2v Birmingham6 Sept
2v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
2v Preston22 Aug
2v Port Vale7 Aug
M. MunetsiLAM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 6 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Birmingham6 Sept
1v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
1v Port Vale7 Aug
More players (20)›
R. JiménezST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 11 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
2v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
3v England6 Jul
Sydie PeckLCM · #42Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 7 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v Blackburn8 Sept
1v Norwich5 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Cardiff29 Aug
1v Swansea22 Aug
Rodrigo GomesLCM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 6 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
2v Stoke City29 Aug
1v Preston22 Aug
0v Port Vale7 Aug
P. BamfordLS · #45Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 6 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v Norwich5 Sept
2v Bolton1 Sept
0v Swansea22 Aug
1v Birmingham15 Aug
1v Mansfield Town9 Aug
J. RothwellLM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 7 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Cardiff29 Aug
0v Swansea22 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
0v Mansfield Town9 Aug
0v Watford18 Apr
Ladislav Krejčí IICB · #37Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v Birmingham6 Sept
0v Mexico25 Jun
0v South Africa18 Jun
1v South Korea12 Jun
0v Burnley24 May
J. JamesRCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 4 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Sheffield Wednesday25 Aug
1v Hull City21 Apr
0v Watford21 Mar
2v QPR14 Mar
1v Bristol City10 Mar
R. DonovanRM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 7 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Blackburn8 Sept
1v Norwich5 Sept
1v Bolton1 Sept
3v Blackburn25 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
T. CannonRS · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 7 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v Blackburn8 Sept
2v Cardiff29 Aug
1v Blackburn25 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
1v Mansfield Town9 Aug
AndréLM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 6 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
1v Port Vale7 Aug
Hugo BuenoLCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 5 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
0v Port Vale7 Aug
S. McCallumLB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 6 logged matches
His last 5, shots on target
1v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Cardiff29 Aug
1v Swansea22 Aug
0v Birmingham15 Aug
José SáGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 11 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Sheffield Wednesday25 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
J. TchatchouaRM · #38Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 6 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
0v West Ham10 Apr
N. DjigaRCB · #34Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 6 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Birmingham6 Sept
0v West Ham1 Sept
0v Stoke City29 Aug
0v Sheffield Wednesday25 Aug
0v Preston22 Aug
L. KitchingLCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 5 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Norwich5 Sept
0v Plymouth25 Aug
0v Wrexham26 Apr
0v Portsmouth21 Apr
H. ChoudhuryRCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 3 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Norwich5 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Blackburn2 May
0v Millwall24 Apr
0v Portsmouth18 Apr
M. CooperGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 7 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Norwich5 Sept
0v Bolton1 Sept
0v Cardiff29 Aug
0v Swansea22 Aug
J. TangangaRB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 6 matches we have logged
His last 5, shots on target
0v Blackburn8 Sept
0v Norwich5 Sept
1v Bolton1 Sept
0v Cardiff29 Aug
0v Swansea22 Aug
M. McGuinnessRCB · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 6 matches we have logged
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Go deeper: make this match yours
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
1
Referee
How strict you think the referee will be
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
2
How the game goes
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
3
Battles
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
vs
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
4
Use the bookmakers
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
Re-running the match with your changes
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
Referee deck not live for this fixture.
Player
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.