v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Robert Jones runs average on cards, and 4 of the 6 rows we would back are Sunderland's.
240 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.
Rúben DiasRB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
D. MethalieLDM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 36% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
M. GuéhiRCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
I. NdiayeLM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
R. CherkiRM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
A. SemenyoCAM · #42Fouls committed
DataPitch 74% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
price too short
B. BrobbeyST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 70% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
G. XhakaRDM · #34Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. O'ReillyLB · #33Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
E. FernándezRDM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
E. HaalandST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
J. GvardiolLCB · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
T. MeunierRB · #12Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
D. BallardLB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
N. MukieleRCB · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
K. DansoLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
E. AndersonLDM · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
E. Le FéeCAM · #28Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. AnguloLM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
N. SadikiRM · #27Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
D. BallardLB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 68% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
K. DansoLCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
N. SadikiRM · #27Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
N. MukieleRCB · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 56% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
E. Le FéeCAM · #28Fouls drawn
DataPitch 73% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
price too short
Rúben DiasRB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
E. HaalandST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
E. AndersonLDM · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 74% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
N. AnguloLM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
B. BrobbeyST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
E. FernándezRDM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
I. NdiayeLM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
G. XhakaRDM · #34Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
M. GuéhiRCB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
J. GvardiolLCB · #24Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
T. MeunierRB · #12Fouls drawn
DataPitch 21% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
R. CherkiRM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 56% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
A. SemenyoCAM · #42Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
D. MethalieLDM · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. O'ReillyLB · #33Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
E. HaalandST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 17% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
price too long
J. GvardiolLCB · #24Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Rúben DiasRB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 25% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
price too long
M. GuéhiRCB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
A. SemenyoCAM · #42Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. SadikiRM · #27Tackles
DataPitch 46% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
E. AndersonLDM · #5Tackles
DataPitch 54% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
R. CherkiRM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 27% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
K. DansoLCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
D. BallardLB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
E. FernándezRDM · #17Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. AnguloLM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. MukieleRCB · #20Tackles
DataPitch 55% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
B. BrobbeyST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 0% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too long
I. NdiayeLM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
D. MethalieLDM · #6Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
E. Le FéeCAM · #28Tackles
DataPitch 44% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
N. O'ReillyLB · #33Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
G. XhakaRDM · #34Tackles
DataPitch 20% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
T. MeunierRB · #12Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
price too short
E. HaalandST · #9Shots
DataPitch 100% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
A. SemenyoCAM · #42Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
D. MethalieLDM · #6Shots
DataPitch 39% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
R. CherkiRM · #10Shots
DataPitch 91% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. O'ReillyLB · #33Shots
DataPitch 71% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
I. NdiayeLM · #7Shots
DataPitch 82% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
B. BrobbeyST · #9Shots
DataPitch 77% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
G. XhakaRDM · #34Shots
DataPitch 35% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. SadikiRM · #27Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
K. DansoLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. MukieleRCB · #20Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
E. AndersonLDM · #5Shots
DataPitch 60% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
D. BallardLB · #5Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
T. MeunierRB · #12Shots
DataPitch 55% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Rúben DiasRB · #3Shots
DataPitch 21% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
E. Le FéeCAM · #28Shots
DataPitch 56% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
J. GvardiolLCB · #24Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
M. GuéhiRCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
E. FernándezRDM · #17Shots
DataPitch 56% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. AnguloLM · #10Shots
DataPitch 42% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
T. MeunierRB · #12Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
K. DansoLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Rúben DiasRB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
G. XhakaRDM · #34Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. MukieleRCB · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. SadikiRM · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
D. MethalieLDM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
E. HaalandST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 88% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
E. Le FéeCAM · #28Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
J. GvardiolLCB · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
D. BallardLB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
E. AndersonLDM · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. AnguloLM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
M. GuéhiRCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
A. SemenyoCAM · #42Shots on target
DataPitch 51% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
E. FernándezRDM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 39% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
B. BrobbeyST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. O'ReillyLB · #33Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
I. NdiayeLM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 45% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
R. CherkiRM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
E. FernándezRDM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
A. SemenyoCAM · #42To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Rúben DiasRB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
M. GuéhiRCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
J. GvardiolLCB · #24To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. O'ReillyLB · #33To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
E. AndersonLDM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
E. HaalandST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 8% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
I. NdiayeLM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 8% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
G. XhakaRDM · #34To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
R. CherkiRM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 8% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
D. MethalieLDM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. SadikiRM · #27To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
T. MeunierRB · #12To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
E. Le FéeCAM · #28To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. AnguloLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
D. BallardLB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
K. DansoLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
G. DonnarummaGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. MukieleRCB · #20To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
B. BrobbeyST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
T. MeunierRB · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (191cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
K. DansoLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Rúben DiasRB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
level in the air (187cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
G. XhakaRDM · #34Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (186cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
D. MethalieLDM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (186cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
N. MukieleRCB · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (187cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
J. GvardiolLCB · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
gives up height in the air (185cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
A. SemenyoCAM · #42Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (185cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
E. Le FéeCAM · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (170cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
N. AnguloLM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
level in the air (184cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
I. NdiayeLM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
R. CherkiRM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
D. BallardLB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (187cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
E. AndersonLDM · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
M. GuéhiRCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
E. FernándezRDM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
B. BrobbeyST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
E. HaalandST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
N. O'ReillyLB · #33Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
G. DonnarummaGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
wins headers against a smaller marker (196cm over a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
R. RoefsGK · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
G. XhakaRDM · #34Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 11 logged matches
K. DansoLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
T. MeunierRB · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 12 logged matches
E. Le FéeCAM · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 1.1 times a game across 5 logged matches
N. MukieleRCB · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 5 logged matches
M. GuéhiRCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
D. BallardLB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 6 matches we have logged
N. SadikiRM · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 10 logged matches
J. GvardiolLCB · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 10 logged matches
Rúben DiasRB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 11 logged matches
D. MethalieLDM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
no shots from outside the box in the 4 matches we have logged
E. HaalandST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 12 logged matches
B. BrobbeyST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 8 logged matches
E. AndersonLDM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
N. AnguloLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 9 logged matches
N. O'ReillyLB · #33Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 13 logged matches
A. SemenyoCAM · #42Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 11 logged matches
I. NdiayeLM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 11 logged matches
E. FernándezRDM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 13 logged matches
R. CherkiRM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
G. DonnarummaGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 7 matches we have logged
R. RoefsGK · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 8 matches we have logged
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Robert Jones will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 237 matches
League average is 3.98 yellows a match.
Home 1.74/match · Away 2.04/match
3.25/match in tight games · 3.3/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.