v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Luca Zufferli runs average on cards, and 3 of the 5 rows we would back are Sassuolo's.
160 players across every market.
Duje Ćaleta-CarRCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Mattia ZaccagniLW · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 66% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Kenneth TaylorLCM · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Gustav IsaksenRW · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Sebastiano EspositoST · #94Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Danilho DoekhiRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Josh DoigLB · #3-12ppJosh DoigLB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Kristian ThorstvedtCAM · #42Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Nuno TavaresLB · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Armand LaurientéLM · #45Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Nemanja MatićLDM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Josip ŠutaloLCB · #37Fouls committed
DataPitch 39% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -17pp
Darryl BakolaRDM · #50Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Ignace Van der BremptRB · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Romano FlorianiRB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -22pp
Domenico BerardiRM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Reda BelahyaneCM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Davide FrattesiRCM · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 44% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Tijjani NoslinST · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Kenneth TaylorLCM · #24Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Reda BelahyaneCM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
Nuno TavaresLB · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Danilho DoekhiRCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 31% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Ignace Van der BremptRB · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 50% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -14pp
Duje Ćaleta-CarRCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 29% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Josip ŠutaloLCB · #37Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -15pp
Armand LaurientéLM · #45Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Davide FrattesiRCM · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Kristian ThorstvedtCAM · #42Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Domenico BerardiRM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Darryl BakolaRDM · #50Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -21pp
Josh DoigLB · #3-23ppJosh DoigLB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 39% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Mattia ZaccagniLW · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 69% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Sebastiano EspositoST · #94Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -26pp
Nemanja MatićLDM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Gustav IsaksenRW · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Tijjani NoslinST · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Romano FlorianiRB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 9% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -46pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -46pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -46pp
Duje Ćaleta-CarRCB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +6pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Armand LaurientéLM · #45Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -1pp
Mattia ZaccagniLW · #10Tackles
DataPitch 52% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -3pp
Josip ŠutaloLCB · #37Tackles
DataPitch 27% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -9pp
Davide FrattesiRCM · #16Tackles
DataPitch 47% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -15pp
Gustav IsaksenRW · #11Tackles
DataPitch 13% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Darryl BakolaRDM · #50Tackles
DataPitch 60% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -17pp
Ignace Van der BremptRB · #20Tackles
DataPitch 52% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -19pp
Danilho DoekhiRCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -19pp
Tijjani NoslinST · #14Tackles
DataPitch 9% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -20pp
Romano FlorianiRB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 44% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -21pp
Kenneth TaylorLCM · #24Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -21pp
Sebastiano EspositoST · #94Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -22pp
Nuno TavaresLB · #17Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -25pp
Nemanja MatićLDM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -29pp
Kristian ThorstvedtCAM · #42Tackles
DataPitch 26% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -29pp
Reda BelahyaneCM · #21Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -30pp
Josh DoigLB · #3-32ppJosh DoigLB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -32pp
Domenico BerardiRM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 16% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -59pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -59pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -59pp
Mattia ZaccagniLW · #10Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 93% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 93% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap +1pp
Reda BelahyaneCM · #21Shots
DataPitch 46% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap +1pp
Gustav IsaksenRW · #11Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 93% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 93% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Tijjani NoslinST · #14Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 92% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 92% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Davide FrattesiRCM · #16Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Kristian ThorstvedtCAM · #42Shots
DataPitch 78% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Darryl BakolaRDM · #50Shots
DataPitch 56% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -2pp
Armand LaurientéLM · #45Shots
DataPitch 87% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 87% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 87% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Sebastiano EspositoST · #94Shots
DataPitch 82% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 82% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 82% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Kenneth TaylorLCM · #24Shots
DataPitch 65% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Ignace Van der BremptRB · #20Shots
DataPitch 19% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -10pp
Danilho DoekhiRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 50% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Duje Ćaleta-CarRCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -12pp
Domenico BerardiRM · #10Shots
DataPitch 77% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 77% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 77% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Josip ŠutaloLCB · #37Shots
DataPitch 7% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Romano FlorianiRB · #15Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Nemanja MatićLDM · #18Shots
DataPitch 15% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -29pp
Nuno TavaresLB · #17Shots
DataPitch 45% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -32pp
Josh DoigLB · #3-36ppJosh DoigLB · #3Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -36pp
Romano FlorianiRB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Duje Ćaleta-CarRCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +8pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +8pp
Nuno TavaresLB · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +7pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +7pp
Reda BelahyaneCM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Josip ŠutaloLCB · #37Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Josh DoigLB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -2pp
Kenneth TaylorLCM · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -4pp
Darryl BakolaRDM · #50Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -4pp
Nemanja MatićLDM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Ignace Van der BremptRB · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Kristian ThorstvedtCAM · #42Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Danilho DoekhiRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Mattia ZaccagniLW · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 46% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -14pp
Sebastiano EspositoST · #94Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -22pp
Davide FrattesiRCM · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -22pp
Tijjani NoslinST · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -23pp
Gustav IsaksenRW · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 47% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
Armand LaurientéLM · #45Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Domenico BerardiRM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -38pp
The books expect about 4 cards.
Armand LaurientéLM · #45To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +7pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +7pp
Domenico BerardiRM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Mattia ZaccagniLW · #10To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +5pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +5pp
Duje Ćaleta-CarRCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Kristian ThorstvedtCAM · #42To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Gustav IsaksenRW · #11To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Tijjani NoslinST · #14To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Kenneth TaylorLCM · #24To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
Sebastiano EspositoST · #94To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Ignace Van der BremptRB · #20To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Nemanja MatićLDM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Josh DoigLB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Nuno TavaresLB · #17To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Darryl BakolaRDM · #50To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Davide FrattesiRCM · #16To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Danilho DoekhiRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -7pp
Reda BelahyaneCM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Romano FlorianiRB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Josip ŠutaloLCB · #37To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Arijanet MurićGK · #49To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Christos MandasGK · #35To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Fedde LeysenLCB · #16Fedde LeysenLCB · #16To be booked
DataPitch 22%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Josip ŠutaloLCB · #37Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
level in the air (190cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +13pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +13pp
Josh DoigLB · #3+12ppJosh DoigLB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
level in the air (189cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Ignace Van der BremptRB · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
level in the air (187cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Duje Ćaleta-CarRCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (192cm over a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +11pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +11pp
Nemanja MatićLDM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (194cm over a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
Nuno TavaresLB · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Danilho DoekhiRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
level in the air (190cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Reda BelahyaneCM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
gives up height in the air (169cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Kenneth TaylorLCM · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Sebastiano EspositoST · #94Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
level in the air (186cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Kristian ThorstvedtCAM · #42Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
level in the air (189cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Domenico BerardiRM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Darryl BakolaRDM · #50Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Armand LaurientéLM · #45Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (171cm against a 188cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Mattia ZaccagniLW · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Gustav IsaksenRW · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Davide FrattesiRCM · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Tijjani NoslinST · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 189cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -27pp
Arijanet MurićGK · #49Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Fedde LeysenLCB · #16Fedde LeysenLCB · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Christos MandasGK · #35Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mattia ZaccagniLW · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 44% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
shoots from range 1.2 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +15pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +15pp
Nuno TavaresLB · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 27% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +20pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +20pp
Kenneth TaylorLCM · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 26% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +13pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +13pp
Reda BelahyaneCM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Romano FlorianiRB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Ignace Van der BremptRB · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 7 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Nemanja MatićLDM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Danilho DoekhiRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Josip ŠutaloLCB · #37Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Duje Ćaleta-CarRCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 34.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 34.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Darryl BakolaRDM · #50Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Armand LaurientéLM · #45Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 32% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 1.3 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -6pp
Josh DoigLB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Davide FrattesiRCM · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Sebastiano EspositoST · #94Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Kristian ThorstvedtCAM · #42Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Gustav IsaksenRW · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -14pp
Tijjani NoslinST · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -22pp
Domenico BerardiRM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -25pp
Christos MandasGK · #35Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Fedde LeysenLCB · #16Fedde LeysenLCB · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Arijanet MurićGK · #49Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Luca Zufferli will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 74 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.68/match · Away 1.95/match
4.06/match in tight games · 3.62/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.