v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Nick Walsh runs average on cards, and 4 of the 5 rows we would back are France's.
241 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.
Brandon MecheleLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Jérémy JacquetRCB · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Nathan NgoyRCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
Maxim De CuyperLB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Lucas da CunhaRDM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Pierre KaluluRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
Maxence LacroixLCB · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Michael OliseRM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Dodi LukébakioRM · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Rayan CherkiST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Roméo LaviaRDM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Charles De KetelaereST · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Hans VanakenCAM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Mika GodtsLM · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Nicolas RaskinLDM · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Timothy CastagneRB · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 44% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Ousmane DembéléLM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 41% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Eduardo CamavingaLDM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 66% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Désiré DouéCAM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Hans VanakenCAM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Nathan NgoyRCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Brandon MecheleLCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Mika GodtsLM · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 69% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
Jérémy JacquetRCB · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lucas da CunhaRDM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Maxence LacroixLCB · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Rayan CherkiST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Roméo LaviaRDM · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Timothy CastagneRB · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 24% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Dodi LukébakioRM · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Pierre KaluluRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Charles De KetelaereST · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
Eduardo CamavingaLDM · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Michael OliseRM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
Nicolas RaskinLDM · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
Maxim De CuyperLB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
Désiré DouéCAM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
Ousmane DembéléLM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
Rayan CherkiST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
price too long
Dodi LukébakioRM · #14Tackles
DataPitch 26% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
price too long
Charles De KetelaereST · #17Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Hans VanakenCAM · #20Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Brandon MecheleLCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Michael OliseRM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Mika GodtsLM · #22Tackles
DataPitch 18% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 58% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Lucas da CunhaRDM · #21Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Maxence LacroixLCB · #17Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Nathan NgoyRCB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Ousmane DembéléLM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 17% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Désiré DouéCAM · #20Tackles
DataPitch 45% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
Jérémy JacquetRCB · #22Tackles
DataPitch 45% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
Maxim De CuyperLB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
Roméo LaviaRDM · #6Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
Nicolas RaskinLDM · #23Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
Timothy CastagneRB · #21Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
Eduardo CamavingaLDM · #6Tackles
DataPitch 54% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
Brandon MecheleLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Maxim De CuyperLB · #5Shots
DataPitch 72% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Dodi LukébakioRM · #14Shots
DataPitch 95% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Désiré DouéCAM · #20Shots
DataPitch 97% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Ousmane DembéléLM · #7Shots
DataPitch 98% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Michael OliseRM · #11Shots
DataPitch 96% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Nicolas RaskinLDM · #23Shots
DataPitch 63% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Mika GodtsLM · #22Shots
DataPitch 88% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Rayan CherkiST · #9Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Shots
DataPitch 46% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Charles De KetelaereST · #17Shots
DataPitch 71% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Nathan NgoyRCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lucas da CunhaRDM · #21Shots
DataPitch 64% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Roméo LaviaRDM · #6Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Timothy CastagneRB · #21Shots
DataPitch 17% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Maxence LacroixLCB · #17Shots
DataPitch 29% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Jérémy JacquetRCB · #22Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Hans VanakenCAM · #20Shots
DataPitch 44% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Eduardo CamavingaLDM · #6Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Pierre KaluluRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 17% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Nicolas RaskinLDM · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Roméo LaviaRDM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Brandon MecheleLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Maxim De CuyperLB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Pierre KaluluRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Nathan NgoyRCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Jérémy JacquetRCB · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Timothy CastagneRB · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Hans VanakenCAM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 35% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Mika GodtsLM · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 35% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Dodi LukébakioRM · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Maxence LacroixLCB · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Ousmane DembéléLM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 72% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Eduardo CamavingaLDM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Désiré DouéCAM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 61% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Charles De KetelaereST · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Michael OliseRM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 60% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lucas da CunhaRDM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Rayan CherkiST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
The books expect about 4 cards.
Adrien TruffertLB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Eduardo CamavingaLDM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 35% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Nathan NgoyRCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Maxence LacroixLCB · #17To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Jérémy JacquetRCB · #22To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Dodi LukébakioRM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Maxim De CuyperLB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Michael OliseRM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Roméo LaviaRDM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Rayan CherkiST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Timothy CastagneRB · #21To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Brandon MecheleLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Ousmane DembéléLM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Hans VanakenCAM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Désiré DouéCAM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lucas da CunhaRDM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Charles De KetelaereST · #17To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Mika GodtsLM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Mike MaignanGK · #16To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Pierre KaluluRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Nicolas RaskinLDM · #23To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Senne LammensGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Brandon MecheleLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Charles De KetelaereST · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (192cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Timothy CastagneRB · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Maxence LacroixLCB · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Hans VanakenCAM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Maxim De CuyperLB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
level in the air (182cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Nathan NgoyRCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
level in the air (183cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Dodi LukébakioRM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (187cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Rayan CherkiST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Roméo LaviaRDM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
level in the air (181cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Nicolas RaskinLDM · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Eduardo CamavingaLDM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Mika GodtsLM · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Lucas da CunhaRDM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
gives up height in the air (174cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Michael OliseRM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
level in the air (184cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Désiré DouéCAM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
gives up height in the air (181cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Ousmane DembéléLM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Senne LammensGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Mike MaignanGK · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
wins headers against a smaller marker (191cm over a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Pierre KaluluRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 185cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Lucas da CunhaRDM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 27% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 8 logged matches
Adrien TruffertLB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 9 logged matches
Eduardo CamavingaLDM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 9 logged matches
Timothy CastagneRB · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
Brandon MecheleLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 10 logged matches
Michael OliseRM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 50% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 1.9 times a game across 15 logged matches
Mika GodtsLM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 13 logged matches
Maxence LacroixLCB · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 15 logged matches
Nathan NgoyRCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
no shots from outside the box in the 13 matches we have logged
Nicolas RaskinLDM · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 14 logged matches
Jérémy JacquetRCB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 8 matches we have logged
Ousmane DembéléLM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 50% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 1.7 times a game across 15 logged matches
Hans VanakenCAM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 10 logged matches
Roméo LaviaRDM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
no shots from outside the box in the 8 matches we have logged
Charles De KetelaereST · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 14 logged matches
Rayan CherkiST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
Maxim De CuyperLB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
Dodi LukébakioRM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
Désiré DouéCAM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 27% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 15 logged matches
Pierre KaluluRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 8 logged matches
Mike MaignanGK · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
Senne LammensGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Nick Walsh will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 147 matches
League average is 3.98 yellows a match.
Home 2.16/match · Away 2.33/match
4.55/match in tight games · 3.44/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.