Álex Baena's player props for Spain v Croatia on 29 Sept: every market we price for him, his last five, and the market price beside our percentage.
UEFA Nations League · Tue 29 Sept, 19:45 UK · Ref Serdar Gozubuyuk · Line-up expected
SpainCM · #15
To commit a foul. Bet365 1.33, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 54%, the price 75%.
2+ fouls committed. Bet365 2.63, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 31%, the price 38%.
His last five 3 v Real Madrid on 20 Sept, 0 v Osasuna on 16 Sept, 0 v Liverpool on 9 Sept, 0 v Athletic Club on 5 Sept, 0 v Sevilla on 29 Aug.
Over 0.5 in 61% of his last 36 starts, over 1.5 in 36%, over 2.5 in 19%.
To be fouled. Paddy Power 1.33, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 59%, the price 75%.
2+ fouls drawn. Bet365 2.00, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 22%, the price 50%.
His last five 1 v Real Madrid on 20 Sept, 2 v Osasuna on 16 Sept, 1 v Liverpool on 9 Sept, 0 v Athletic Club on 5 Sept, 3 v Sevilla on 29 Aug.
Over 0.5 in 67% of his last 36 starts, over 1.5 in 36%, over 2.5 in 6%.
2+ tackles. Bet365 2.63, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 25%, the price 38%.
His last five 1 v Real Madrid on 20 Sept, 1 v Osasuna on 16 Sept, 0 v Liverpool on 9 Sept, 0 v Athletic Club on 5 Sept, 0 v Sevilla on 29 Aug.
Over 0.5 in 50% of his last 36 starts, over 1.5 in 19%, over 2.5 in 3%.
To have a shot. Bet365 1.10, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 93%, the price 91%.
2+ shots. Bet365 1.44, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 62%, the price 69%.
His last five 1 v Real Madrid on 20 Sept, 5 v Osasuna on 16 Sept, 2 v Liverpool on 9 Sept, 2 v Athletic Club on 5 Sept, 3 v Sevilla on 29 Aug.
Over 0.5 in 81% of his last 36 starts, over 1.5 in 39%, over 2.5 in 8%.
To have a shot on target. Bet365 1.61, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 48%, the price 62%.
2+ shots on target. Bet365 4.00, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 22%, the price 25%.
His last five 1 v Real Madrid on 20 Sept, 2 v Osasuna on 16 Sept, 0 v Liverpool on 9 Sept, 1 v Athletic Club on 5 Sept, 2 v Sevilla on 29 Aug.
Over 0.5 in 50% of his last 36 starts, over 1.5 in 14%, over 2.5 in 0%.
To be booked. Paddy Power 6.00, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 31%, the price 17%.We have this one flagged: our number sits above the price.
His last five, yellow cards 0 v Real Madrid on 20 Sept, 0 v Osasuna on 16 Sept, 0 v Liverpool on 9 Sept, 0 v Athletic Club on 5 Sept, 0 v Sevilla on 29 Aug.
Over 0.5 in 11% of his last 36 starts, over 1.5 in 0%, over 2.5 in 0%.
To hit the target from outside the box. Bet365 3.25, taken 07:31 UK. We make it 35%, the price 31%.We have this one flagged: our number sits above the price.
His last five, shots on target 1 v Real Madrid on 20 Sept, 2 v Osasuna on 16 Sept, 0 v Liverpool on 9 Sept, 1 v Athletic Club on 5 Sept, 2 v Sevilla on 29 Aug.
The last five are starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
Every market for this matchArm an alert on him
Álex Baena had 1 v Real Madrid on 20 Sept, 2 v Osasuna on 16 Sept, 0 v Liverpool on 9 Sept, 1 v Athletic Club on 5 Sept, 2 v Sevilla on 29 Aug, most recent first, counted over his starts of 60 minutes or more in the last 365 days. We make him 48% to have a shot on target against Croatia.
Bet365 quote 1.33 on Álex Baena to commit a foul against Croatia, taken at 07:31 UK. We make it 54%.
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