v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima runs average on cards, and nothing on this match is strong enough to back tonight, so we are backing none of it.
156 players across every market.
Vitor HugoLCB · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap +4pp
K. PasciniLB · #36Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap +2pp
7FredCAM · #7+1ppFredCAM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 72% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap +1pp
Léo OrtizRCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Léo PereiraLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -8pp
9PedroST · #9-13ppPedroST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Gonzalo PlataRM · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
21JorginhoRDM · #21-16ppJorginhoRDM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Jorge CarrascalCAM · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Alan FrancoRDM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Erick PulgarLDM · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 66% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Samuel LinoLM · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -19pp
Guillermo VarelaRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
2NatanaelRB · #2-21ppNatanaelRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -24pp
19ReinierST · #19-24ppReinierST · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
8MayconLDM · #8-25ppMayconLDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
6Ayrton LucasLB · #6-26ppAyrton LucasLB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -26pp
11BernardLM · #11-27ppBernardLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -27pp
7FredCAM · #7+0ppFredCAM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 85% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 85% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 85% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap +0pp
Léo PereiraLCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -4pp
BernardLM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -6pp
Jorge CarrascalCAM · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 68% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
21JorginhoRDM · #21-15ppJorginhoRDM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 54% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -15pp
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Fouls drawn
DataPitch 71% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 71% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 71% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Erick PulgarLDM · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -17pp
Vitor HugoLCB · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 21% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -19pp
2NatanaelRB · #2-20ppNatanaelRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Samuel LinoLM · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Guillermo VarelaRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 39% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -25pp
Gonzalo PlataRM · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -26pp
6Ayrton LucasLB · #6-26ppAyrton LucasLB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 43% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -26pp
19ReinierST · #19-27ppReinierST · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Alan FrancoRDM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 28% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -27pp
3Léo OrtizRCB · #3-31ppLéo OrtizRCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 21% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
9PedroST · #9-35ppPedroST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
8MayconLDM · #8-46ppMayconLDM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 19% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -46pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -46pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -46pp
36K. PasciniLB · #36-55ppK. PasciniLB · #36Fouls drawn
DataPitch 9% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -55pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -55pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -55pp
4Léo PereiraLCB · #4+28ppLéo PereiraLCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 51% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +28pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +28pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +28pp
Alan FrancoRDM · #21Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -6pp
7FredCAM · #7-7ppFredCAM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -7pp
Vitor HugoLCB · #14Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -12pp
Samuel LinoLM · #16Tackles
DataPitch 47% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -15pp
11BernardLM · #11-17ppBernardLM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -17pp
Gonzalo PlataRM · #19Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -18pp
21JorginhoRDM · #21-19ppJorginhoRDM · #21Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -19pp
36K. PasciniLB · #36-20ppK. PasciniLB · #36Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -20pp
6Ayrton LucasLB · #6-24ppAyrton LucasLB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 47% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -24pp
Erick PulgarLDM · #5Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -37pp
3Léo OrtizRCB · #3-38ppLéo OrtizRCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 22% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -38pp
Jorge CarrascalCAM · #15Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -41pp
Guillermo VarelaRB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -46pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -46pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -46pp
36K. PasciniLB · #36+15ppK. PasciniLB · #36Shots
DataPitch 48% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +15pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +15pp
9PedroST · #9+0ppPedroST · #9Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 99% at 1.01 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 99% at 1.01 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
7FredCAM · #7-1ppFredCAM · #7Shots
DataPitch 70% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -1pp
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Samuel LinoLM · #16Shots
DataPitch 90% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 90% · Market 99% at 1.01 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 90% · Market 99% at 1.01 Bet365, gap -9pp
Jorge CarrascalCAM · #15Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
2NatanaelRB · #2-13ppNatanaelRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 47% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
6Ayrton LucasLB · #6-14ppAyrton LucasLB · #6Shots
DataPitch 69% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -14pp
Vitor HugoLCB · #14Shots
DataPitch 30% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 44% at 2.25 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 44% at 2.25 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
4Léo PereiraLCB · #4-16ppLéo PereiraLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
3Léo OrtizRCB · #3-16ppLéo OrtizRCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 42% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -16pp
Guillermo VarelaRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -19pp
11BernardLM · #11-22ppBernardLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -22pp
21JorginhoRDM · #21-22ppJorginhoRDM · #21Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -22pp
Gonzalo PlataRM · #19Shots
DataPitch 73% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 73% · Market 96% at 1.04 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 73% · Market 96% at 1.04 Bet365, gap -23pp
Alan FrancoRDM · #21Shots
DataPitch 10% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -23pp
Erick PulgarLDM · #5Shots
DataPitch 43% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -24pp
8MayconLDM · #8-30ppMayconLDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
19ReinierST · #19-32ppReinierST · #19Shots
DataPitch 56% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -32pp
K. PasciniLB · #36Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Guillermo VarelaRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
2NatanaelRB · #2+0ppNatanaelRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 29% at 3.40 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 29% at 3.40 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
7FredCAM · #7+0ppFredCAM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +0pp
Alan FrancoRDM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Vitor HugoLCB · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
BernardLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Shots on target
DataPitch 46% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Erick PulgarLDM · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -5pp
Léo OrtizRCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Léo PereiraLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
21JorginhoRDM · #21-11ppJorginhoRDM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -11pp
8MayconLDM · #8-13ppMayconLDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
9PedroST · #9-16ppPedroST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 77% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 77% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 77% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Samuel LinoLM · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 55% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -23pp
Jorge CarrascalCAM · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Gonzalo PlataRM · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 45% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -26pp
6Ayrton LucasLB · #6-26ppAyrton LucasLB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
19ReinierST · #19-30ppReinierST · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
The books expect about 5 cards.
Gonzalo PlataRM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
7FredCAM · #7+0ppFredCAM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 38% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap +0pp
Ayrton LucasLB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Erick PulgarLDM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 44% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -8pp
Samuel LinoLM · #16To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Agustín RossiGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 8% at 12.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 8% at 12.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Jorge CarrascalCAM · #15To be booked
DataPitch 33% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -9pp
Alan FrancoRDM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap -10pp
21JorginhoRDM · #21-10ppJorginhoRDM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
4Léo PereiraLCB · #4-11ppLéo PereiraLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Vitor HugoLCB · #14To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -12pp
11BernardLM · #11-12ppBernardLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Guillermo VarelaRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
3Léo OrtizRCB · #3-12ppLéo OrtizRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Tomás CuelloRM · #28To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -15pp
36K. PasciniLB · #36-16ppK. PasciniLB · #36To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap -16pp
22EversonGK · #22-17ppEversonGK · #22To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
4RuanRCB · #4RuanRCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 43%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
NatanaelRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MayconLDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
PedroST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
ReinierST · #19To be booked
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Léo PereiraLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
PedroST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Agustín RossiGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Léo OrtizRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Erick PulgarLDM · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Vitor HugoLCB · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
4RuanRCB · #4RuanRCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
ReinierST · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ayrton LucasLB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
EversonGK · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Guillermo VarelaRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
JorginhoRDM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jorge CarrascalCAM · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gonzalo PlataRM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Samuel LinoLM · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
NatanaelRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MayconLDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
FredCAM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alan FrancoRDM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
BernardLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Samuel LinoLM · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 43%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gonzalo PlataRM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 33%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Erick PulgarLDM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
PedroST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ayrton LucasLB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
JorginhoRDM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Léo PereiraLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
BernardLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
FredCAM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
NatanaelRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
ReinierST · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MayconLDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jorge CarrascalCAM · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Guillermo VarelaRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Léo OrtizRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Agustín RossiGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alan FrancoRDM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Vitor HugoLCB · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
EversonGK · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
4RuanRCB · #4RuanRCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
K. PasciniLB · #36Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 123 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.54/match · Away 2.41/match
4.54/match in tight games · 3.79/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
