v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Lorenzo Hernandez runs average on cards, and 1 of the 1 rows we would back are New York City FC's.
126 players across every market.
James SandsLCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 38% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 32% at 3.10 Paddy Power, gap +6pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 32% at 3.10 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 66% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Lionel MessiRW · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Hannes WolfLM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Luis SuárezST · #9-13ppLuis SuárezST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Germán BerterameLW · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 69% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 66% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Yannick BrightCM · #42Fouls committed
DataPitch 72% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
CasemiroRCB · #5-18ppCasemiroRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 68% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
MicaelLCB · #16-22ppMicaelLCB · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 66% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Ian FrayLB · #17-22ppIan FrayLB · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 66% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Axel OjedaRM · #26-22ppAxel OjedaRM · #26Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Bénie TraoréST · #9-23ppBénie TraoréST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Nico CavalloLB · #2-25ppNico CavalloLB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Facundo MuraRCM · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap +9pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap +9pp
Lionel MessiRW · #10Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Germán BerterameLW · #19Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Luis SuárezST · #9Shots
DataPitch 97% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 97% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 97% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Shots
DataPitch 35% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 38% at 2.60 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 38% at 2.60 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 70% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Bénie TraoréST · #9-10ppBénie TraoréST · #9Shots
DataPitch 73% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 73% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 73% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Axel OjedaRM · #26-10ppAxel OjedaRM · #26Shots
DataPitch 65% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Shots
DataPitch 19% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
CasemiroRCB · #5-17ppCasemiroRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 65% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Hannes WolfLM · #17Shots
DataPitch 60% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
James SandsLCB · #6-25ppJames SandsLCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 18% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Nico CavalloLB · #2-26ppNico CavalloLB · #2Shots
DataPitch 11% · Market 37%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7Shots
DataPitch 52% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Ian FrayLB · #17-40ppIan FrayLB · #17Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
Facundo MuraRCM · #4Shots
DataPitch 19% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Yannick BrightCM · #42Shots
DataPitch 13% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -47pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -47pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -47pp
MicaelLCB · #16-49ppMicaelLCB · #16Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -49pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -49pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -49pp
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 14% at 7.00 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 14% at 7.00 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
James SandsLCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -8pp
Lionel MessiRW · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 85% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 85% · Market 96% at 1.04 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 85% · Market 96% at 1.04 Bet365, gap -11pp
Axel OjedaRM · #26-11ppAxel OjedaRM · #26Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
MicaelLCB · #16-12ppMicaelLCB · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 54% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -15pp
Nico CavalloLB · #2-15ppNico CavalloLB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Facundo MuraRCM · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.40 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.40 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Yannick BrightCM · #42Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -19pp
Bénie TraoréST · #9-20ppBénie TraoréST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 35% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Hannes WolfLM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Luis SuárezST · #9-27ppLuis SuárezST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 61% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -27pp
CasemiroRCB · #5-27ppCasemiroRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 35% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Ian FrayLB · #17-29ppIan FrayLB · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -29pp
Germán BerterameLW · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 61% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -30pp
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Ian FrayLB · #17To be booked
DataPitch 38% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap +3pp
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +2pp
Hannes WolfLM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 33% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -2pp
CasemiroRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 34% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -4pp
Yannick BrightCM · #42To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Germán BerterameLW · #19To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Luis SuárezST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -7pp
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -8pp
Facundo MuraRCM · #4To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Bénie TraoréST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -9pp
James SandsLCB · #6-10ppJames SandsLCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -10pp
Lionel MessiRW · #10To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Andrés PereaLDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap -11pp
Axel OjedaRM · #26-13ppAxel OjedaRM · #26To be booked
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -14pp
Dayne St. ClairGK · #97To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Nico CavalloLB · #2-16ppNico CavalloLB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -16pp
Matthew FreeseGK · #49To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
Tayvon GrayRB · #24To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -27pp
MicaelLCB · #16To be booked
DataPitch 32%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MicaelLCB · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
CasemiroRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James SandsLCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dayne St. ClairGK · #97Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nico CavalloLB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ian FrayLB · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Luis SuárezST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew FreeseGK · #49Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Yannick BrightCM · #42Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lionel MessiRW · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Germán BerterameLW · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bénie TraoréST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hannes WolfLM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Facundo MuraRCM · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Axel OjedaRM · #26Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lionel MessiRW · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 50%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Germán BerterameLW · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 32%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Luis SuárezST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
CasemiroRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bénie TraoréST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Facundo MuraRCM · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dayne St. ClairGK · #97Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ian FrayLB · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MicaelLCB · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Yannick BrightCM · #42Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Axel OjedaRM · #26Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James SandsLCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hannes WolfLM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew FreeseGK · #49Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nico CavalloLB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Lorenzo Hernandez will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 34 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.09/match · Away 2.38/match
4.63/match in tight games · 4.56/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.