vs
Based on our model, this is what we expect for this match: G. Paradis runs average on cards, and the exposure leans evenly between both sides.
Nothing on this match clears our bar against the market tonight, so we are not putting a pick in front of you. The model has still priced the expected eleven. Set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate to re-run these numbers as your own.
Set up your viewNot picks, and nothing here is being offered to you: these are our own percentages for the expected eleven, on the markets the controls below move, our strongest reads first. Move a control below and press Simulate, and any row your settings shift is labelled Your view and becomes yours to keep.
23DataPitch 31%
4DataPitch 20%
22DataPitch 19%
2DataPitch 17%
80DataPitch 16% · Market 20%
11DataPitch 16%
29DataPitch 16%
8DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
6DataPitch 13%
20DataPitch 13% · Market 10%
14DataPitch 11% · Market 24%
24DataPitch 9%
7DataPitch 7% · Market 18%
1DataPitch 4%
11DataPitch 4% · Market 17%
We also send in-play alerts. Set one up for this match.
Set up an alert on TelegramTap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match-level, not per player. Set what you think, then Simulate.
Simulate re-prices every row above against what you set, in your browser, and tells you which ones moved and by how much.
How strict you think G. Paradis will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
Pick an attacker and the defender on him
We apply our matchup pivot to that pair and show you every row it moves. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those two.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 90 matches
League average is 3.98 yellows a match.
Home 1.74/match · Away 2.02/match
4.19/match in tight games · 3.3/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold (book if any, else exchange). Nothing on this match is being offered to you tonight, so no row is set against its price: the percentages below are ours until you re-run the match, and yours after. Both percentages are on every row.
