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Angers vs Rennes

Ligue 1 · Sun 6 Sept, 16:15 UK · Ref

What the model sees

Based on our model, this is what we expect for this match: G. Kubler runs lenient on cards, and the exposure leans evenly between both sides.

Match signals

the market's own read of this fixture

Cards signalnormal
Whymatch line 3.50, split 1.75/1.75, allowance 2, standard yc volume
One-sided match0
Market's cards line3.5
Market's goals line2.75
Shots leanaway
Fouls leanhome
Tackles leanbalanced
Confidence0.4
Bookmakers read0

what our model expects, and where it differs from the market

Match contextmid_table
Tempomedium
Shapetactical
Expected goals2.39
Expected cards3.23
Expected cards, home1.38
Expected cards, away1.85
Cards leanbalanced
Our cards minus the market-0.27
Against the marketaligned
Possessionaway
Angles agreeing12
Confidence0.67

No current angle here. Run your own view of this match

No book has opened a market we price on this match yet, so there is nothing here for us to hold up against a price. The model has still priced the expected eleven. Set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate to re-run these numbers as your own.

Set up your view
What the model makes of this match, 20 rows

Not picks, and nothing here is being offered to you: these are our own percentages for the expected eleven, on the markets the controls below move, our strongest reads first. Move a control below and press Simulate, and any row your settings shift is labelled Your view and becomes yours to keep.

C. Arcus To be booked
No price

DataPitch 27%

His record at this line
25% of his last 28 starts
A. Ait Boudlal To be booked
No price

DataPitch 24%

His record at this line
29% of his last 17 starts
Y. Belkdim To be booked
No price

DataPitch 24%

His record at this line
16% of his last 25 starts
V. Rongier To be booked
No price

DataPitch 22%

His record at this line
16% of his last 31 starts
L. Blas To be booked
No price

DataPitch 18%

His record at this line
13% of his last 15 starts
M. Camara To be booked
No price

DataPitch 18%

His record at this line
12% of his last 32 starts
B. van den Boomen To be booked
No price

DataPitch 17%

His record at this line
25% of his last 16 starts
A. Rouault To be booked
No price

DataPitch 15%

His record at this line
21% of his last 19 starts
Mousa Al Tamari To be booked
No price

DataPitch 15%

His record at this line
13% of his last 30 starts
P. Frankowski To be booked
No price

DataPitch 14%

His record at this line
9% of his last 11 starts
O. Camara To be booked
No price

DataPitch 12%

His record at this line
9% of his last 32 starts
A. Sbaï To be booked
No price

DataPitch 11%

His record at this line
4% of his last 25 starts
E. Lepaul To be booked
No price

DataPitch 11%

His record at this line
10% of his last 31 starts
I. Soumaré To be booked
No price

DataPitch 11%

His record at this line
9% of his last 32 starts
J. Allevinah To be booked
No price

DataPitch 9%

His record at this line
0% of his last 2 starts
J. Lefort To be booked
No price

DataPitch 9%

His record at this line
6% of his last 35 starts
A. El Ouazzani To be booked
No price

DataPitch 7%

His record at this line
10% of his last 10 starts
Q. Merlin To be booked
No price

DataPitch 7%

His record at this line
11% of his last 28 starts
B. Samba To be booked
No price

DataPitch 4%

His record at this line
16% of his last 32 starts
Anthony Lopes To be booked
No price

DataPitch 0%

His record at this line
13% of his last 31 starts

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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Angers
Rennes

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Change the game

Match-level, not per player. Set what you think, then Simulate.

Simulate re-prices every row above against what you set, in your browser, and tells you which ones moved and by how much.

Referee

How strict you think G. Kubler will be tonight

as usual

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

The battle you are watching

Pick an attacker and the defender on him

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to that pair and show you every row it moves. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those two.

Price = the latest market price we hold (book if any, else exchange). Nothing on this match is being offered to you tonight, so no row is set against its price: the percentages below are ours until you re-run the match, and yours after. Both percentages are on every row.