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Based on our model, this is what we expect for this match: G. Kubler runs lenient on cards, and the exposure leans evenly between both sides.
No book has opened a market we price on this match yet, so there is nothing here for us to hold up against a price. The model has still priced the expected eleven. Set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate to re-run these numbers as your own.
Set up your viewNot picks, and nothing here is being offered to you: these are our own percentages for the expected eleven, on the markets the controls below move, our strongest reads first. Move a control below and press Simulate, and any row your settings shift is labelled Your view and becomes yours to keep.

DataPitch 27%

DataPitch 24%

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DataPitch 22%

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DataPitch 15%

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DataPitch 14%

DataPitch 12%

DataPitch 11%

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DataPitch 9%

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DataPitch 7%

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DataPitch 4%

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Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match-level, not per player. Set what you think, then Simulate.
Simulate re-prices every row above against what you set, in your browser, and tells you which ones moved and by how much.
How strict you think G. Kubler will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
Pick an attacker and the defender on him
We apply our matchup pivot to that pair and show you every row it moves. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those two.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
lenient, 8 matches
League average is 3.98 yellows a match.
Home 0.38/match · Away 0.88/match
Price = the latest market price we hold (book if any, else exchange). Nothing on this match is being offered to you tonight, so no row is set against its price: the percentages below are ours until you re-run the match, and yours after. Both percentages are on every row.