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Your model for Vitoria v Gremio

Serie A · Tue 8 Sept, 00:00 UK · Ref

Every number below is yours to move. Turn on DataPitch's read for ours, and for the one flag we put on a price.

Your dials

Match level, never per player. Set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row below in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think S. Sampaio will be tonight

as usual

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

The battle you are watching

Pick an attacker and the defender on him

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to that pair and show you every row it moves. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those two.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Every row we price

120 rows on 5 markets, all of them, nothing folded away. Tap What drives this on a row to move that row on its own.

To be booked

22

The books expect about 5 cards.

Our last 30 days: 11,294 settled, 13% landed, and 2,268 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 121 rows, 22% landed.

Wallace To be booked
No price yet

DataPitch 33%

no price

His record at this line
22% of his last 9 starts
Alert me
E. Brítez To be booked
2.63Bet365Gap -8pp

DataPitch 30% · Market 38%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
38% of his last 32 starts
Alert me
E. Martínez To be booked
4.00Bet365Gap +2pp

DataPitch 27% · Market 25%

at our corrected probability the price is fair

His record at this line
18% of his last 17 starts
Alert me
J. Enamorado To be booked
2.88Bet365Gap -12pp

DataPitch 23% · Market 35%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
25% of his last 8 starts
Alert me
Ramon To be booked
No price yet

DataPitch 23%

no price

His record at this line
17% of his last 36 starts
Alert me
J. Nardoni To be booked
2.60Bet365Gap -16pp

DataPitch 22% · Market 38%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
21% of his last 14 starts
Alert me
Cacá To be booked
2.88Bet365Gap -14pp

DataPitch 21% · Market 35%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
25% of his last 24 starts
Alert me
Carlos Vinícius To be booked
3.60Bet365Gap -7pp

DataPitch 21% · Market 28%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
17% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
Gustavo Martins To be booked
2.88Bet365Gap -15pp

DataPitch 20% · Market 35%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
26% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Marlon To be booked
No price yet

DataPitch 20%

no price

His record at this line
27% of his last 26 starts
Alert me
D. Tarzia To be booked
5.50Bet365Gap +1pp

DataPitch 19% · Market 18%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
20% of his last 5 starts
Alert me
Marinho To be booked
2.88Bet365Gap -16pp

DataPitch 19% · Market 35%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
0% of his last 2 starts
Alert me
C. Pavón To be booked
4.33Bet365Gap -6pp

DataPitch 17% · Market 23%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
26% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Luan Cândido To be booked
3.60Bet365Gap -11pp

DataPitch 17% · Market 28%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
10% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
Rene To be booked
No price yet

DataPitch 17%

no price

His record at this line
20% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
Jovane Cabral To be booked
4.00Bet365Gap -9pp

DataPitch 16% · Market 25%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
7% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
Erick To be booked
No price yet

DataPitch 12%

no price

His record at this line
12% of his last 33 starts
Alert me
F. Amuzu To be booked
3.60Bet365Gap -17pp

DataPitch 11% · Market 28%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
4% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Matheuzinho To be booked
No price yet

DataPitch 11%

no price

His record at this line
14% of his last 22 starts
Alert me
Tetê To be booked
No price yet

DataPitch 8%

no price

His record at this line
13% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Lucas Arcanjo To be booked
8.50Bet365Gap -12pp

DataPitch 0% · Market 12%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
3% of his last 31 starts
Weverton To be booked
6.00Bet365Gap -17pp

DataPitch 0% · Market 17%

the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

His record at this line
10% of his last 31 starts

Shots on target

29

Our last 30 days: 13,433 settled, 18% landed, and 3,171 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 1,732 rows, 53% landed.

Carlos Vinícius To have a shot on target
1.50Bet365Gap -10pp

DataPitch 57% · Market 67%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
67% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
D. Tarzia To have a shot on target
1.62Bet365Gap -17pp

DataPitch 45% · Market 62%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
60% of his last 5 starts
Alert me
Rene To have a shot on target
1.33Bet365Gap -33pp

DataPitch 42% · Market 75%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
73% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
Marinho To have a shot on target
1.44Bet365Gap -30pp

DataPitch 39% · Market 69%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
50% of his last 2 starts
Alert me
Jovane Cabral To have a shot on target
2.25Bet365Gap -6pp

DataPitch 38% · Market 44%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
73% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
Tetê To have a shot on target
1.83Bet365Gap -22pp

DataPitch 33% · Market 55%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
57% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
C. Pavón To have a shot on target
3.40Bet365Gap +3pp

DataPitch 32% · Market 29%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
26% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
F. Amuzu To have a shot on target
2.00Bet365Gap -19pp

DataPitch 31% · Market 50%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
43% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Gustavo Martins To have a shot on target
2.75Bet365Gap -7pp

DataPitch 29% · Market 36%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
26% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Rene 2+ shots on target
2.50Bet365Gap -13pp

DataPitch 27% · Market 40%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
40% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
E. Martínez To have a shot on target
2.00Bet365Gap -25pp

DataPitch 25% · Market 50%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
12% of his last 17 starts
Alert me
J. Enamorado To have a shot on target
2.25Bet365Gap -20pp

DataPitch 24% · Market 44%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
25% of his last 8 starts
Alert me
Carlos Vinícius 2+ shots on target
3.40Bet365Gap -5pp

DataPitch 24% · Market 29%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
30% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
Luan Cândido To have a shot on target
2.63Bet365Gap -18pp

DataPitch 20% · Market 38%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
23% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
Marinho 2+ shots on target
3.25Bet365Gap -13pp

DataPitch 18% · Market 31%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
0% of his last 2 starts
Alert me
E. Brítez To have a shot on target
5.00Bet365Gap -2pp

DataPitch 18% · Market 20%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
9% of his last 32 starts
Alert me
D. Tarzia 2+ shots on target
4.00Bet365Gap -8pp

DataPitch 17% · Market 25%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
20% of his last 5 starts
Alert me
Jovane Cabral 2+ shots on target
9.00Bet365Gap +5pp

DataPitch 16% · Market 11%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
27% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
Cacá To have a shot on target
2.50Bet365Gap -24pp

DataPitch 16% · Market 40%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
12% of his last 24 starts
Alert me
F. Amuzu 2+ shots on target
6.50Bet365Gap +0pp

DataPitch 15% · Market 15%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
22% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Gustavo Martins 2+ shots on target
13.00Bet365Gap +6pp

DataPitch 14% · Market 8%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
4% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
J. Nardoni To have a shot on target
2.63Bet365Gap -24pp

DataPitch 14% · Market 38%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
7% of his last 14 starts
Alert me
Tetê 2+ shots on target
5.50Bet365Gap -6pp

DataPitch 12% · Market 18%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
26% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
C. Pavón 2+ shots on target
17.00Bet365Gap +0pp

DataPitch 6% · Market 6%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
4% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
E. Martínez 2+ shots on target
6.50Bet365Gap -10pp

DataPitch 5% · Market 15%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
0% of his last 17 starts
Alert me
Luan Cândido 2+ shots on target
11.00Bet365Gap -4pp

DataPitch 5% · Market 9%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
3% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
Cacá 2+ shots on target
10.00Bet365Gap -8pp

DataPitch 2% · Market 10%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
0% of his last 24 starts
Alert me
J. Enamorado 2+ shots on target
9.00Bet365Gap -11pp

DataPitch 0% · Market 11%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
0% of his last 8 starts
J. Nardoni 2+ shots on target
11.00Bet365Gap -9pp

DataPitch 0% · Market 9%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
0% of his last 14 starts

Headed shot on target

19
Cacá To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 21%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Carlos Vinícius To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 17%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Gustavo Martins To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 17%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Luan Cândido To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 16%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

E. Brítez To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 8%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Ramon To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 8%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Weverton To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 8%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

C. Pavón To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 5%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Marlon To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 5%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Erick To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 4%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Marinho To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 4%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

E. Martínez To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 4%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Matheuzinho To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 4%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

D. Tarzia To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 4%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

J. Nardoni To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 3%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Tetê To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 3%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

F. Amuzu To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 3%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Jovane Cabral To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 3%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

J. Enamorado To have a headed shot on target
No price yet

DataPitch 3%

a structural read; there is no history to grade it

Shots

30
Rene To have a shot
1.03Bet365Gap +2pp

DataPitch 99% · Market 97%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
93% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
Carlos Vinícius To have a shot
1.05Bet365Gap -7pp

DataPitch 88% · Market 95%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
77% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
Tetê To have a shot
1.11Bet365Gap -11pp

DataPitch 79% · Market 90%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
74% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Marinho To have a shot
1.03Bet365Gap -19pp

DataPitch 78% · Market 97%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
100% of his last 2 starts
Alert me
Jovane Cabral To have a shot
1.25Bet365Gap -5pp

DataPitch 75% · Market 80%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
87% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
D. Tarzia To have a shot
1.03Bet365Gap -27pp

DataPitch 70% · Market 97%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
80% of his last 5 starts
Alert me
Rene 2+ shots
1.14Bet365Gap -19pp

DataPitch 69% · Market 88%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
67% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
Carlos Vinícius 2+ shots
1.29Bet365Gap -9pp

DataPitch 69% · Market 78%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
57% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
Marinho 2+ shots
1.18Bet365Gap -25pp

DataPitch 60% · Market 85%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
100% of his last 2 starts
Alert me
D. Tarzia 2+ shots
1.20Bet365Gap -26pp

DataPitch 57% · Market 83%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
60% of his last 5 starts
Alert me
C. Pavón To have a shot
1.36Bet365Gap -17pp

DataPitch 57% · Market 74%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
52% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
F. Amuzu To have a shot
1.18Bet365Gap -31pp

DataPitch 54% · Market 85%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
78% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
J. Enamorado To have a shot
1.25Bet365Gap -33pp

DataPitch 47% · Market 80%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
75% of his last 8 starts
Alert me
Cacá To have a shot
1.30Bet365Gap -33pp

DataPitch 44% · Market 77%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

Against this opponent
4 of his last 5 meetings
His record at this line
29% of his last 24 starts
Alert me
F. Amuzu 2+ shots
1.80Bet365Gap -16pp

DataPitch 40% · Market 56%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
57% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Gustavo Martins To have a shot
1.44Bet365Gap -31pp

DataPitch 38% · Market 69%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
48% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Jovane Cabral 2+ shots
2.10Bet365Gap -12pp

DataPitch 36% · Market 48%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
67% of his last 15 starts
Alert me
Tetê 2+ shots
1.53Bet365Gap -31pp

DataPitch 34% · Market 65%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
61% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
E. Martínez To have a shot
1.18Bet365Gap -52pp

DataPitch 33% · Market 85%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
29% of his last 17 starts
Alert me
E. Brítez To have a shot
1.73Bet365Gap -26pp

DataPitch 32% · Market 58%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
31% of his last 32 starts
Alert me
J. Nardoni To have a shot
1.25Bet365Gap -50pp

DataPitch 30% · Market 80%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
50% of his last 14 starts
Alert me
Luan Cândido To have a shot
1.22Bet365Gap -57pp

DataPitch 25% · Market 82%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
43% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
Gustavo Martins 2+ shots
3.00Bet365Gap -15pp

DataPitch 18% · Market 33%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
13% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
E. Martínez 2+ shots
1.80Bet365Gap -40pp

DataPitch 16% · Market 56%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

Against this opponent
1 of his last 4 meetings
His record at this line
0% of his last 17 starts
Alert me
J. Enamorado 2+ shots
2.10Bet365Gap -37pp

DataPitch 11% · Market 48%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
25% of his last 8 starts
Alert me
C. Pavón 2+ shots
2.63Bet365Gap -28pp

DataPitch 10% · Market 38%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
13% of his last 23 starts
Alert me
Luan Cândido 2+ shots
2.00Bet365Gap -42pp

DataPitch 8% · Market 50%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
10% of his last 30 starts
Alert me
E. Brítez 2+ shots
4.33Bet365Gap -17pp

DataPitch 6% · Market 23%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
9% of his last 32 starts
Alert me
Cacá 2+ shots
2.38Bet365Gap -39pp

DataPitch 3% · Market 42%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
0% of his last 24 starts
Alert me
J. Nardoni 2+ shots
2.00Bet365Gap -48pp

DataPitch 2% · Market 50%

we evaluate this market and never bet it

His record at this line
7% of his last 14 starts
Alert me

Shot on target from outside the box

20
Marinho To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 31%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Erick To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 24%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Tetê To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 24%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Rene To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 22%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Jovane Cabral To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 19%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Carlos Vinícius To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 19%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
D. Tarzia To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 18%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Matheuzinho To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 17%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Wallace To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 17%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
F. Amuzu To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 14%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
E. Martínez To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 11%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
J. Enamorado To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 10%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
C. Pavón To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 10%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Luan Cândido To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 6%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
J. Nardoni To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 6%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Ramon To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 5%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
E. Brítez To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 5%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Cacá To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 3%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Gustavo Martins To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 2%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Marlon To hit the target from outside the box
No price yet

DataPitch 2%

a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

Alert me
Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Vitoria
Gremio

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are shown and the best is marked. Your percentage is the model replayed with your dials and your knobs, in your browser; DataPitch is the same model with ours. Gap is the percentage shown minus the price's own implied one, in percentage points. Our own flag appears on a price only under DataPitch's read.