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Every number below is yours to move. Turn on DataPitch's read for ours, and for the one flag we put on a price.
S. Sampaio runs average on cards, and 2 of the 2 rows we would back are Gremio's.
Match level, never per player. Set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row below in your browser.
How strict you think S. Sampaio will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
Pick an attacker and the defender on him
We apply our matchup pivot to that pair and show you every row it moves. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those two.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
120 rows on 5 markets, all of them, nothing folded away. Tap What drives this on a row to move that row on its own.
The books expect about 5 cards.
Our last 30 days: 11,294 settled, 13% landed, and 2,268 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 121 rows, 22% landed.

DataPitch 33%
no price

DataPitch 30% · Market 38%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 27% · Market 25%
at our corrected probability the price is fair

DataPitch 23% · Market 35%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 23%
no price

DataPitch 22% · Market 38%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 21% · Market 35%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 21% · Market 28%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 20% · Market 35%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 20%
no price

DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 19% · Market 35%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 17% · Market 23%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 17% · Market 28%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 17%
no price

DataPitch 16% · Market 25%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 12%
no price

DataPitch 11% · Market 28%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 11%
no price

DataPitch 8%
no price

DataPitch 0% · Market 12%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back

DataPitch 0% · Market 17%
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Our last 30 days: 13,433 settled, 18% landed, and 3,171 that never ran or could not be graded. When we said over 50%: 1,732 rows, 53% landed.

DataPitch 57% · Market 67%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 45% · Market 62%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 42% · Market 75%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 39% · Market 69%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 38% · Market 44%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 33% · Market 55%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 32% · Market 29%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 31% · Market 50%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 29% · Market 36%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 27% · Market 40%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 25% · Market 50%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 24% · Market 44%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 24% · Market 29%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 20% · Market 38%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 18% · Market 31%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 18% · Market 20%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 16% · Market 11%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 16% · Market 40%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 15% · Market 15%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 14% · Market 8%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 14% · Market 38%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 12% · Market 18%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 6% · Market 6%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 5% · Market 15%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 5% · Market 9%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 2% · Market 10%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 0% · Market 11%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 0% · Market 9%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 21%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 17%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 17%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 16%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 8%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 8%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 8%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 5%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 5%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 4%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 4%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 4%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 4%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 4%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 3%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 3%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 3%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 3%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 3%
a structural read; there is no history to grade it

DataPitch 99% · Market 97%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 88% · Market 95%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 79% · Market 90%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 78% · Market 97%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 75% · Market 80%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 70% · Market 97%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 69% · Market 88%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 69% · Market 78%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 60% · Market 85%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 57% · Market 83%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 57% · Market 74%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 54% · Market 85%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 47% · Market 80%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 44% · Market 77%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 40% · Market 56%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 38% · Market 69%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 36% · Market 48%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 34% · Market 65%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 33% · Market 85%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 32% · Market 58%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 30% · Market 80%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 25% · Market 82%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 18% · Market 33%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 16% · Market 56%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 11% · Market 48%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 10% · Market 38%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 8% · Market 50%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 6% · Market 23%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 3% · Market 42%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 2% · Market 50%
we evaluate this market and never bet it

DataPitch 31%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 24%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 24%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 22%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 19%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 19%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 18%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 17%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 17%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 14%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 11%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 10%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 10%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 6%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 6%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 5%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 5%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 3%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 2%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability

DataPitch 2%
a ranked read, not a calibrated probability
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
average, 6 matches
League average is 3.98 yellows a match.
Home 1.83/match · Away 3.00/match
4.75/match in tight games · 3.75/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are shown and the best is marked. Your percentage is the model replayed with your dials and your knobs, in your browser; DataPitch is the same model with ours. Gap is the percentage shown minus the price's own implied one, in percentage points. Our own flag appears on a price only under DataPitch's read.